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purely theoretical research
3.6K posts

purely theoretical research
@cryptocobasis
elaboration on 'macro' and 'micro economic trends.' not investment advice. new austrian school of economics.
london Sumali Mayıs 2019
7 Sinusundan87 Mga Tagasunod

walmart $WMT, interest/fcf goes from 15% to 28%+... as net debt swells to pay for divs/buybacks (covered only 0.55x by fcf)... at $130 currently: 11x strip, whereas $20 puts it at 1.5x...

purely theoretical research@cryptocobasis
sainsbury update: fcf increases to £1.52bn v £1.28 - but most of that was from change in w/c getting more -ve: by £209m. currently at 1.2x strip. 200p puts it at 0.8x, whereas 500p puts it at 1.8x, whilst walmart $WMT (us peer) currently trades at 11.3x.
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bmw bank: sharp reduction in loan book by €3.7bn (v increase of €6.7bn 24/23!) accompanied by €1.2bn extra in cash prov.: yet still, after all of that, net position drops by €1.7bn to €3.5bn v €5.1bn!
and 'asset' to turn into 'liability'...
$SPX $NDX $F

purely theoretical research@cryptocobasis
bmw relative: about to move from 34.40x to 21x... and probably quite quickly... having been as high as 68x in mid'23...
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