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@jerrix111

@Polymarket trader | @zscdao member | Crypto(5min, 15min & 1hour), Event, politics & sports markets | Sharing entries, exits and risk thoughts in real time.

Sumali Kasım 2015
432 Sinusundan528 Mga Tagasunod
黄先森web3.0
黄先森web3.0@mteegala·
早上好!一觉醒来1852了个关注所有关注的人都会逐一互关,关注有时间限制也可以逐一给予归属互关 #互关 不是蓝v也可以互关哦,让我们一起进步一起成长! 感谢各位老师的支持
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Andy
Andy@Andylin2024·
知道世界上最现实的事情是什么么?你没有蓝v别人都不和你互关。蓝v互关。在线回。希望今天涨1000粉丝!
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Gen0x.eth
Gen0x.eth@Gen0x_eth·
Need 99+ New Followers?📈🚀 Just say "Helloo" 👋 We'll follow you.
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阿sir爱大饼
阿sir爱大饼@teacherasir·
今天挑战500个蓝V 进度346/500 还差154 1000个关注 进度769/1000 还差231 follow me and follow you #互关focus互赞 #互关必回
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IRON MAN
IRON MAN@IRONMANpupn·
Need 779+ Active friends ? Drop Hi 👋 We grab you now🤍
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Follow Hub X
Follow Hub X@FollowHubX·
If you need 5M impression now 🔥 Just Drop - YOO 💟 I will boost your page under this post 📷 🚀
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cvxv666
cvxv666@antpalkin·
Crypto hate at absolute peak. Launch delays, project shutdowns. Vanity Fair dragging us like we’re literal clowns. Whole timeline pivot to AI. I’m turning this backlash into $10k -> $60k single trade with ridiculously low risk. Thanks to @polyboostxyz for the cheat code - bundle every undervalued Polymarket outcome into one parlay. 600% ROI just because these projects are finally launching. Largest crypto wallet ever at $300M FDV. Largest NFT marketplace ever at $100M FDV. Just a few months ago everyone was valuing these things in the BILLIONS. Today the market is handing us 6x simply for them to launch trading at all. At least at Tier-3 crypto project prices. I literally cannot imagine a universe where they’re worth even a penny less. This is the most insane market inefficiency I’ve ever seen - and I closed it in two clicks with a parlay by this guys: polyboost.xyz/?ref=cvxv666 Be sure to check it out - Polyboost also features a powerful AI betting assistant, 60-second markets and various bonuses. Access is by invitation only, only 25 FCFS spots available via my link.
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Said
Said@said116dao·
Over the past 7 days, liquidity rewards have increased by 650%! Just a few days ago, only $26,000 was distributed daily in the form of rewards And over the past 24 hours, $173,000 has been distributed! But you continue to openly ignore LP farming
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Mr. Buzzoni
Mr. Buzzoni@polydao·
THIS IS WHY MOST TRADERS ARE JUST LUCKY people see: > win rate = 89.6% and assume they found an edge but one number without variance means nothing > you need the distribution of θ̂, not a single estimate instead of one run: > run N = 10,000 bootstrap simulations > θ̂ = (1/n) ∑ᵢ 𝟙{tradeᵢ > 0} this gives you a range: > CI₀.₉₅ = [q₂.₅(θ̂*), q₉₇.₅(θ̂*)] now you’re not guessing anymore > if 0.5 ∈ CI₀.₉₅ → no real edge next step: don’t just measure outcomes - model the process price moves like a Markov chain: > P(Xₜ₊₁ = j | Xₜ = i) = Pᵢⱼ so instead of predicting “up or down” > you estimate transition probabilities and get: > p_resolve = probability of reaching "resolved" state from current state i after k steps then trading becomes mechanical: > Edge = p_model − p_market > EV = p·W − (1−p)·L plus risk: > Sharpe = 𝔼[R] / σ(R) and one detail most people ignore: > discard t ≤ T₀ (early noise / burn-in) what changed for me: > I stopped trusting single results > and started thinking in ranges and processes because in reality: > one backtest = one lucky path > 10,000 simulations ≈ how it actually behaves
Noisy@noisyb0y1

x.com/i/article/2034…

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d1namit
d1namit@0xd1namit·
Yesterday I made ~$270 in LP rewards using $12k, that’s 2.25% in a single day (820% APY) You hit 50 likes yesterday, so here’s the guide I’d break it down into 2 approaches: 1. Chill farming With this approach you just check your positions sometimes and move them 2–3 times a day. That’s what I personally do I look for markets where there are already several million shares sitting in limit orders. That way the risk of your order getting filled drops a lot (this is for 1c tick markets) For 0.1c tick markets I place limit orders far from the mid price. I also look for huge orders and just join them 2. Active farming like a full-time job Differences vs method 1: - You place orders on both sides across basically all markets with high rewards regardless of liquidity - You reopen orders at least once per hour, preferably more often - You farm during live matches (this is for pros with strong info sources). You can also farm during breaks in games Here the risks are much higher, but so are the rewards. Top 1 farmer made $19.5k in the last 24 hours.
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d1namit@0xd1namit

LP rewards ATH on Polymarket Top 1 trader made 7k$ on farming for last 24h, I made ~80$ yesterday and already 116$ today 50 likes and I'll make a guide on how I do it

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AshenSoul
AshenSoul@0xashensoul·
if oil hits $200 in the next 12 days, we are in nuclear ww3 and money doesnt matter anyway if it doesnt, i get paid a 48% annualized yield on polymarket the market: "will oil hit $200 by march 31?" my bet: NO. oil is at $96 to hit the strike price in 12 days, a multi-trillion dollar commodity needs to move like a low-cap memecoin (+108%). why this is a structural impossibility: > oil has never hit $200. at $150, the global economy simply stops working > exchanges will literally freeze trading if it pumps too fast > you need a literal world war or destroyed oil rigs for this to happen $16 on $1004 in 12 days = ~48% apy. 10x better than your bank account, just for betting the world won't end.
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Kyle the Writer
Kyle the Writer@KyleDeWriter·
Unknown Trader bought $57,000 of US invading Cuba this year. but he screwed up: overliquid non stop purchase caused odds spike to ~86%, now it's rolled back to 26% he's already 50% down from inits. thanks for donation, learn how orderbook works. insiders do not act like that but does he really need trading rules understanding if he owns a million dollar information?
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Kyle the Writer@KyleDeWriter

someone bought ~$177,000 of Netanyahu out by March 31. he might join the top 0.01% traders club in case of odds double. right now "dudududu" owns ~30% of total YES shares. this makes him possible to get paid of $3,779,000 in case of win. his account: @dududududu22?via=kyledewriter" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@dududududu22?… last purchase was 25 minutes ago, market is heating up.

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Miss Port
Miss Port@Kicklee89·
Suspected insider bomb $2.14M on Polymarket - the biggest one yet. One wallet cluster. 38 accounts. Same Coinbase exit. Started loading Feb 22 - exactly 6 days before the Iran strikes. Held “NO” right until the final hours… then flipped HARD to “YES” at 11 PM UTC on Feb 27. 46 straight military wins. 100% hit rate. Here’s what makes it look even weirder: The guy behaved like a teenager who just crawled out from under the table in a Pentagon briefing room. Why bet “NO” until literally Day X when the payout was tiny and the exposure was maximum? Because information dropped suddenly and unexpectedly. What began as petty theft on 'NO' bets flipped into a hungry, greedy sprint for cheap 'YES' odds. Psychologically, this is textbook proof of insider trading - they had verified intel that appeared out of nowhere. And the level of concern about getting caught was literally zero. He worked sleeves rolled up, full confidence: “money from regular traders’ pockets is mine now, and I can do this.” Either a military insider who’s used to operating without consequences… or some cocky kid who flew in with a hot tip and zero fear. This isn’t “smart money”. This is the slyest fox - not the smartest player. Real place for him? Right next to the robbers in a proper prison cell. What do you think - military guy or just a ballsy kid with a leak?
Andrew 10 GWEI@Andrey_10gwei

Suspected insider made $2.14 million betting on a U.S. strike on Iran - using 38 accounts on Polymarket. > $2.14M Profit > 38 accounts with PNL ranging from $30k to $230k > 4–10 bets on military events > ~100% win rate >All accounts belong to the same person. Prep started on February 22 = Knew everything in advance!? I'm about to break down this insane story - the biggest suspected insider win in Polymarket history - in this thread. Like/bookmark/retweet/quote to support Full details in the thread below ->>>

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YuChen 大王
YuChen 大王@YuChen·
一直在回大家的关注 我现在粉丝 7500 我现在特别想上一万粉丝 持续 #蓝V互关 一直在回大家的关注 只要你 Xhunt有排名,或者粉丝大于1000,我都会回关 当然,那些搞黄色的,我不会回复 没有回关的评论区留言。 --------------------------------------- 因为X限制 我一天只能回差不多100人的关注。 没有及时回关,不要着急哦!
YuChen 大王@YuChen

最近粉丝一直再掉,都不知道发生什么了 来一篇互关帖 #蓝V互关 蓝V互关 粉丝大于1000,或者有Xhunt的排名的,我都会回关 之前有漏掉的,可以评论区留言一下 互关走起 ! #蓝V互关

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Bunny区块链
Bunny区块链@Bunnybtc100·
每日一张互关贴 诚信互关 永不取关 点赞和关注我都会回关,永不取关! #蓝V互关
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Sheriff
Sheriff@CoinSherif·
Under 1k followers say Hi 👋 We’ll follow you 😁
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Joe Crypto
Joe Crypto@aussiehaggie·
How many followers do you need today?🫵💭✍️😉🧡 watch your numbers🧐📈🚀 we follow you 🤝💯💥💥💥💥💥💥💥💥
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Oscar
Oscar@callmeoscar_1·
If you need more 100+ verified followers. ✊ Just say hello, & turn on post 🔔 Lets follow you now,🤝📈
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