Sergey

@clement_molin J’ai arrêté de lire après le premier point… « objectif de RU était territorial, d’Odessa a Kharkov.. » c’était l’objectif des hardlines RU mais pas du pouvoir politique. Il se seraient contenté d’un changement de politique extérieure Ukrainienne vers une neutralisation.

La guerre en Ukraine 🇺🇦/🇷🇺 a désormais dépassé la durée de la Première Guerre mondiale et pourrait encore durer plusieurs années. Voici ce qu’il faut savoir en juin 2026 de ce conflit généralisé aux portes de l’Europe 🇪🇺 qui n'en finit plus. 🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️

@tavisupleba @STatikyan This is becoming a bit silly but if you want to compare fully fledged customs unions with so called association agreement which bring nothing than promises. Anyway, I made my point that if a EU member or Partner is looking elsewhere, the EU applies similar sanctions as RU.

@CryptoSerguei @STatikyan Ever heard of the EU association agreement and DCFTA for Armenia, ready to sign in 2013?

1. The difference between Brussels and Moscow. When Yerevan, after 5 years of negotiations, changed its mind overnight under Putin's pressure and joined his custom's union (later EAEU), EU was frustrated but it did not threaten Armenia with sanctions.

@tavisupleba @STatikyan Is CEPA a free trade agreement /customs union like the EAEU or EU? CEPA is effective since 2021…why does EU only represent less than 10% of Armenias exports and around 11% of imports?

@CryptoSerguei @STatikyan Ever heard of CEPA?

@leonidragozin What are the communist era symbols?

This is the controversial Russian armed forces cathedral which mixes Christian and Communist-era symbols. The cult of war masqeurading as Christian faith.

@Glenn_Diesen Nothing special will happen. They might target some additional minor governmental buildings in the night. This kind of threat are expressed daily.

Russia appears to have decided that retaliation is required to restore its deterrence

@hayqmets Being allied to RU would be the right way for ARM to remain independent from Turkey and AZE but not with this RU. It is weaker than ever with gerontocratic leadership which is showing its weakness even when they launch ballistic missiles… and that’s quite difficult to achieve.

I don't understand why the "sovereignty"-ist dogs in Armenia are so nervous and pressed by certain Russian moves. You've been barking for years to "cut" Russia and become an "independent" state, to "free" Armenia from Russian "slavery". The regime in Armenia has held that position since the 2018 color revolution, but in later years has formally adopted it. Now Russia is just taking minor retaliatory steps, not "threatening" as some describe it. Just simply adopting its position since the Armenian regime adopted theirs. An actual sovereign state decides to do whatever it finds necessary. Aren't you also a "sovereign" state, why all this rattling? Or does your "sovereignty" in reality have nothing to do with sovereignty, but is in practice turning Armenia into a Turkish-Azerbaijani sanjak under the godfathership of the West?

@squatsons Nobody believes this new narrative.. not even the Russian mil bloggers. If you check their reaction it goes from “bullshit” to “ let’s wait and see”.

It only took 5 years but the Russians have decided on a political level to go after Ukraines decision making centers. If this is serious and carried out properly it will be a messy few weeks ahead of us. Collateral damage will likely be higher than usual. The Ukrainian response will be more significant as I believe decisions making centers currently lie out of Russian reach. Be wary of false info as it will be flying fast and quick. Please excuse the odd mistake from myself, corrections will be made.

@fcb_nolan Kuyt

Name the Missing player? Level; Difficult.

@pati_marins64 I think even if a carrier was in reach nobody would sink it fearing ground operations or nuclear response. Maximum damaging it or the jets on deck which is why the us avoids this straight.

If you ask me what the point of this is, I would say that while the public discourse is all about confrontation and victory, the evidence shows that the commanders actually have much more balanced and cautious positions. The sinking of a ship from this CSG in the Red Sea would put any other operation in jeopardy. But this highlights that even a major military force fears that strait, which is infinitely less armed than Hormuz. And that’s the reasoning I invite you to make in this post.

It is in the details that we truly understand the real situation. The USS George H.W. Bush and its carrier strike group are currently off the coast of Namibia as they take the long route to avoid the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait. If the American CSG is afraid to pass through the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait and risk being targeted by the Houthis, what kind of security can possibly be provided to cargo ships? The Houthis’ equipment is of Iranian origin, but inferior to what Iran itself uses. Following this reasoning, how does this force intend to enter the Strait of Hormuz, which is infinitely more challenging? Illustrative video

@grok @Damianmanhatto @julius__boehm @grok was riskiert er an Strafen damit?

Es geht um einen gelöschten Tweet, in dem Kanzler Merz als „Pinocchio-Kanzler“ (also Lügner) bezeichnet wurde. Das Social-Media-Team der Polizei Heilbronn hat ihn angezeigt, der Tweet ist weg und die Staatsanwaltschaft prüft noch auf Beleidigung (§ 185 StGB). Julius Böhm kommentiert das sarkastisch als übertriebenen Vorgang. (Double Standard zu ähnlichen Aussagen von Grünen wird in Replies thematisiert.)

🤥-Tweet gelöscht. Staatsanwaltschaft prüft noch.

@murad_ismael It will always end up like this if you rely on a foreign power for your security. In the past it was inevitable but today with all the cheap drones fighting in Ukraine, the SDF obviously ignored this historic change in warfare and so has no leverage in any negotiations.

SDF gave more than 11,000 martyrs in defense of mankind against ISIS. Yes, maybe they are not perfect, but give me any perfect armed force in a region soaked with blood for thousands of years?!. Not just the sacrifice has been with lives of men and women, but also the people of northeast Syria—and all Syria—have endured years of blockade and famine, and a severe shortage of medicine, they have endured migration & unimaginable suffering. Let’s just hope the next chapter is safe for all Syrians, with at least the bare minimum of respect for religious and ethnic diversity.

@pati_marins64 @grok what is the payload of the two bombers?

Su-34M vs F-16 Block 70/72 Radar - Su-34M: Modernized PESA radar (type B004/Novella or variants), target detection up to 250-300 km - F-16 Block 70/72: AESA AN/APG-83 (scaled from F-22/F-35), typical detection ~250-350 km for large targets, superior in multi-target tracking and jamming resistance. Maximum Speed - Su-34M: Mach 1.8 (1,900 km/h). - F-16 Block 70/72: Mach 2.05 (2,100 km/h). Range - Combat range (radius): Su-34M 1,100 km (with typical load); F-16 550-700 km (hi-lo-hi mission). - Ferry range (maximum with tanks): Both 4,000-4,200 km. Avionics (main quantitative metrics) - Su-34M: Modernized digital avionics (2025), with EW Himalaya/Redut, reconnaissance pods (Sych/UKR-RT), improved processing but generation 4+. - F-16 Block 70/72: Advanced generation 4++ avionics, with high-capacity mission computer, integrated Viper Shield EW, Auto GCAS, and advanced data link (common with F-35). Weight - Empty weight: Su-34M 22,500 kg; F-16 ~9,000-9,500 kg. - Maximum takeoff weight (MTOW): Su-34M ~45,100 kg; F-16 ~21,800 kg. Altitude (service ceiling) - Su-34M: 15,000 m (49,200 ft). - F-16 Block 70/72: 15,240 m (50,000+ ft).

@AMK_Mapping_ I saw videos of nearly all ru missiles impacting over since 2022 but I never saw the s300 missile ground to ground impact filmed. And I’m not talking about missed interceptions of s300 impacting buildings..

To all the geniuses who accuse me of reporting Tornado-S strikes to S-300 ground-to-ground strikes, notice how there is no ballistic threat this time? When there is a ballistic threat, a non-Iskander target is detected flying and an explosion is heard, that is almost always an S-300 ground-to-ground. Don't ask me why Russia does this, but it happens.

Two more explosions were heard. A total of 4 Tornado-S strikes were carried out on the industrial zone of the Slobidskyi district in southern Kharkiv City.

@BitZander @TimKoffiziell Ein Schröder 2 wäre Not bad

@TimKoffiziell SPD wird nie wieder einen Kanzler stellen.

Mehr geht nicht!!! 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 #Bas #Sommerinterview

@Poet_der_Welt Interessantes Gespräch aber viel philosophieren ohne Verlinkungen zur Realität.. habe im gesamten Gespräch keine konkrete Argumente gegen Krah‘s Aussagen gehört..

Christian Illner im Gespräch mit Götz Kubitschek. Ein fulminanter Dialog über deutsches Denken, den libertären Typ im rechten Lager, über tiefe Mythen, falsche und richtige Strategien und deren rechte Verwindung. ⤵️ Link

@SHomburg Haben Sie die Pressekonferenz gesehen? Dann haben Sie bestimmt auch bemerkt, dass die Frage bezüglich der Rückher der vertriebenen Armenier in ihre Heimat in Karabach komplett ignoriert wurde.

Sehr gute Nachricht zum Sonntag: Armenien und Aserbaidschan vereinbaren „ewigen Frieden” und wirtschaftliche Kooperation. Punkt für Trump, der anders als seine Vorgänger immer wieder vermittelt. Die EU spielte keine Rolle, hat den Friedensschluss aber wenigstens nicht blockiert.

@pati_marins64 @MujoMujon Did you include the cost for developing starlink, gps, us drones and nato ships and planes gathering information in the Black Sea?

@MujoMujon This is what the Ukrainian sea drone project costed.

Time to Observe and Adapt It’s a time to observe carefully and spend little. I’d say it’s a time to think about adapting what already exists and saving resources. The Ukrainians, spending 1/100 of what the Russians do, drove the Russian fleet out of the Black Sea, causing losses of hundreds of millions of dollars. All existing naval doctrines are being reconsidered, and the same applies on land. As I’ve mentioned before, the era of armored convoys is over, and I highly doubt it will return. Instead, these forces are becoming more support-oriented for AI-equipped drones, which will handle all ISR tasks, exchanging information in real-time with various swarms, recognizing camouflage patterns, flags, uniforms, and deciding whether or not to engage enemies. That doesn’t mean tanks and armored vehicles are obsolete, but modern warfare is giving them a different role. What about large orders from Europe, India, and China, for example? They need to be resized and integrated into this modern battlefield, where agility, networked AI drones, and new concepts will take over. The infantry accompanying tanks will give way to drones that recharge their batteries and rotate in reconnaissance and protection roles. I see infantry evolving into a stage focused mainly on occupying terrain, which will save many lives. In the air, although Ukraine hasn’t demonstrated this yet, the trend points toward massive use of drones for reconnaissance and target acquisition, operating at altitudes far above traditional aircraft, in 2D and 3D. This will lead to a complete overhaul of aerial doctrine. We are in a transition phase that the Ukraine war is clearly showing, and it will likely last a few years, but it’s a path we cannot turn back from. Logistics will also be transformed, with much faster equipment deliveries via aerial highways, and even evacuations will increasingly be carried out by drones. In Ukraine, some experiments with ground drones are already underway, but it’s just the beginning. The only certainty is that now isn’t the moment for large weapon and equipment procurements; instead, it’s time to organize the sector, study the shifting dynamics, adapt what we already have, and develop more active state management.

@thinkingwest Subutai Khan

Greatest general of all time? Hard to argue against: -Napoleon -Alexander -Hannibal

@GeromanAT The only “weak” things here are the RU and IR responses to very destructive attacks on their territories… strength is shown through actions and not “red banners” or strikes with 0 or minimal effect for the show. Israel has demonstrated how to strike “Decision making Centers”.

Both - the war in Ukraine AND the war in Israel are now Trump's wars - because he is weak. He is a big mouth - who is telling this today and the opposite tomorrow. So yes - he is a mad king.