DTrees024

REVENGE GAME 😈 🏀 PK Dish #3 (3/21) 🍽️ 𝐉𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐧 𝐊𝐮𝐦𝐢𝐧𝐠𝐚 𝐨𝟏𝟓.𝟓 𝐏𝐭𝐬+𝐑𝐞𝐛 (-𝟏𝟐𝟓) Cooked w/ @DDOGGSTACKS 🤝 LIKE IF TAILING ❤️ Lines moving quickly, 17.5 PRA works as well! • Love backing Kuminga in this spot as he faces his former team, Golden State. Revenge angle here and these are typically spots where you see increased aggression and usage. • On the season, Kuminga is averaging: – 12.7 PPG on 9.5 FGA – 6.2 rebounds on 9.9 chances (63% rebound rate) Strong efficiency + consistent role with production supported by underlying volume. • The matchup provides multiple paths: – Warriors rank 5th in points allowed to PFs (21.5), but 13th over the last 7 days – Warriors rank 24th in rebounds allowed to PFs (10.8) Rebounding alone gives Kuminga a strong floor to pair with his scoring. • The playtype + shot profile aligns clean: 📈 Transition (15% of his points) → Warriors rank 24th 📈 Free Throws (15%) → Warriors rank 11th 📈 Spot Up (10%) → Warriors rank 18th 📈 Restricted Area (45% of shots) → Warriors rank 10th 📈 Paint (non-RA) (23%) → Warriors rank 27th • Warriors struggle specifically in non-restricted paint scoring and transition defense, both key areas Kuminga generates offense. • Between strong rebounding opportunity, clear stylistic advantages, and added motivation in a revenge spot, Kuminga has multiple paths to clear this number. S/O @PonderingPicks — saw him get this out first. Great analysis on his page! 📣 Turn notifications on for the BEST Props served by the BEST Chefs on X! 📊 All Data is powered by @propsdotcash ~ Use Code PK25 for 25% off your first month of subscription! #GamblingX #PrizePicks #NBA #Props

TRUST THE MATCHUP 🎯 🏀 PK Dish #2 (3/21) 🍽️ 𝐒𝐚𝐦 𝐌𝐞𝐫𝐫𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐨𝟗.𝟓 𝐏𝐨𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐬 (-𝟏𝟐𝟎) Cooked w/ @ChronicBets 🤝@DDOGGSTACKS LIKE IF TAILING ❤️ • Merrill already showed success in this exact matchup earlier this season, dropping 22 points vs New Orleans on 7/12 shooting and 6/10 from three. • This is a perfect schematic matchup for how Merrill generates his offense. Looking at the Pels defensive data, they rank: – 29th vs SG points – 25th vs catch & shoot – 27th vs restricted area defense – 24th in overall defensive rating This is perfect for Merrill as 64% of his shots come from above-the-break threes and 63% are catch & shoot looks which is exactly where New Orleans has struggled defensively this season. • His scoring profile aligns clean across the board: 📈 38% of his points come from spot-up → Pelicans rank 21st 📈 17% in transition → Pelicans rank 27th • We’ve consistently seen similar archetype players clear in this spot: ✅ Luke Kennard: 9 Pts (Line: 8.5) ✅ Moses Moody: 24 pts (Line: 16.5) ✅ AJ Green: 20 Points (Line: 11.5) ✅ Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: 11 pts (Line: 8.5) ✅ Vince Williams Jr.: 13 pts (Line: 7.5) ✅ Isaiah Joe: 17 pts (Line: 12.5) ✅ Lu Dort: 12 pts (Line: 10.5) • Without Craig Porter Jr, Merrill is 8/8 to the over this season, averaging 13.4 PPG in those games. • Cleveland is also without Tyrese Proctor, while Jaylon Tyson and Donovan Mitchell are questionable which could open up even more of a clear path for Merrill to take on additional scoring responsibility alongside Mobley and Harden. • Between elite role splits, perfect shot profile, and a defense ranking near the bottom in every area Merrill attacks, he has multiple paths to clear this number once again. 📣 Turn notifications on for the BEST Props served by the BEST Chefs on X! 📊 All Data is powered by @propsdotcash ~ Use Code PK25 for 25% off your first month of subscription! #GamblingX #PrizePicks #NBA #Props

@HarryLockPicks Let’s go!!!!