Entro_py

@TMTLongShort What actually will happen: Europe will pay the oil tolls, Iran will limit oil shipments to keep prices at $100+, 10y US treasury yields will get to 5%, recession is guaranteed, there will be no US boots on the ground.

Americans don’t have tolerance for American sailors dying to secure energy for Europeans. Americans have plenty of tolerance for European sailors dying to secure energy for Europeans. If you think after a week or two of rolling blackouts Europeans won’t conclude they need to put themselves in harms way to secure that energy or go back on their principled stance against buying Russian energy …. You might actually be right… but then you haven’t thought through what kind of message that will send to American voters around the lack of value there is in having any sort of military “alliance” with Europeans. So either you have Europeans stepping in front of tankers removing irans leverage against Trump or you give Trump the mother of all political theatrics and an excuse to gut NATO. Heads he wins. Tails he wins. Not 4D chess. Not not 4D chess. Some third thing.

@TheDissipation @FirstSquawk Long/short is the way to go. Kicking myself because I thought airlines still hedged oil. Long $DAL / Short $AAL would have been great if I had known about this: reuters.com/business/energ…

@FirstSquawk JFC trump wears me out with this bullshit. Like I don't want to be in the market long or short. It's one rolling crisis with this moron.

CNN reports Trump is considering military escalation against Iran should talks break down.

@sidprabhu "Short term pain for long term gain"

@jbulltard1 Does Trump TACO if no deal is agreed upon? (There wont be a deal)

trump just said we estimated it would take 4-6 weeks to do this and we're ahead of schedule......but we're on week 4

THIS IS THE WORST THING TO HAPPEN TO AIR TRAVEL SINCE THEY BANNED SMOKING ON PLANES Let me explain. Modernity actively encourages you to not lock in. It encourages you to take it easy. To relax. To take a nap. To let off the gas. To loaf. This announcement by United is yet another example of this. If you want to go anywhere in life, you must ignore the propaganda. You must ignore the urge to take it easy. You must lock in. To do so, you must put yourself in environments that actively encourage you to lock in. The middle seat in basic economy group 9 is one of the few remaining bastions of locking tf in. If United wanted you to grind, they'd create a grinders only flight package, remove every seat except the middle ones from a plane, use the extra space to turn the flight into a networking opportunity. Will they do this? No. Open your eyes and ask yourself why. Resist the urge.

@NanoAcka @GoUncensored @ScottPresler If Trump isn't capable of overcoming "the swamp" in his 6th year in office, he shouldn't have ran again

@GoUncensored @ScottPresler It’s not Trump. It’s the swamp. Don’t get it twisted.

Sometimes, I wonder why I do this work. I wonder why I work so hard to elect Republican majorities into office & — when we are in power — our very elected officials don’t wield or harness that power. I wonder why I lose sleep, miss family vacations, & put my personal life on hold, so wealthy Senators can go on paid vacations after not achieving the very promises they campaigned on. Sometimes, I wonder if they truly care about us & if they actually want to represent the will of the very people that elected them into positions of authority. I will tell you this: if the Senate ultimately does not pass the SAVE America Act, I will use all of the energy, hustle, & organizing efforts we used to elect these Senators into office as tools to peacefully & respectfully defeat them in their upcoming elections.

@DanDavi47038421 @jbulltard1 Libyan civil war took 6.5 years and they had 1/11 the population of Iran. The wars in Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan took decades. Even if a civil war occurs and the IRGC is in disarray, they will be capable of shooting rockets and drones at the strait for years.

@jbulltard1 "Worst case" is we take out their power infrastructure. Water pumps stop running. Gas and oil pumps for the pipelines stop. Gas stations can't pump. Electronic communication halts. Chaos and devastation as people panic. Libya 2.0 Hormuz opens, sans Iranian oil and gas.

I know its unamerican to even mention it but i hate to break it to you, at this moment iran is winning and here is why. The TLDR is trump is a moron and is fighting people who think a better life exists once they die. Trump is stuck, we've obliterated them from the sky, big deal, he says there's a new regime, there isn't, there's a bullpen full of islamists who hate us. Iran doesn't have to agree to anything, do you think they care if we keep bombing them? These people give zero shits about the people of their country, they will go down with the ship. If they hold on, they can force trump to save face with a ground invasion which would be wildly unpopular at home and cause havoc to our economy, both would be wins for iran in a war they cannot win by actually defeating us militarily. They can however win by destroying our economy and clearly Trump is blinking at his stupid threats of destroying infrastructure bc that would escalate things to levels gulf states would hate us for. If Iran sits back and causes havoc in hormuz for another month even, the US economy is getting rekt, Trump is already at record low popularity and if American soldier deaths pile up, the republican party will get railroaded come November. This is such a stupid war all around which is why we've ignored Iran forever. They are a threat to everyone in the middle east and to europe long before they're a threat to the mainland of the US. Trump thought this would be easy after the maduro capture and didn't realize this is a country that has been preparing for 50 years for this exact moment. We are the biggest and baddest military on earth, that isn't in doubt, what is in doubt is what it takes for Iran to win and that is simply hunkering down and causing oil to spike, US markets to sell off, and inflation wrecking western economies. Iran's economy has been shit for years, they do not care. They will kill protestors for a long time, the IRGC has a massive number of soldiers and all armed. Iran is fukt, this is what happens when a populace is unarmed and cannot defend itself against an armed government, americans should take notes because while you think its all moderation today, you never know what regime will be in charge here 30 years down the road and an armed populace is what keeps government in check. Iran,Venezuela, North Korea all the same shit with terrible governments and no guns for the locals to overthrow them. This situation is royally fukt in all honesty and the only way out is where we leave before inflation really kicks in and we say we set them back a few years. There is zero chance of regime change like Israel wants in any reasonable timeframe that doesn't destroy the US economy. What trump said about a new regime in place is utterly stupid. If we wipeout the top 100 democrats in the US does that mean whatever democrats left aren't also leftists?

@rjj8910ks @JOHNNYR0ASTBEEF @realnatejeune @disclosetv @PatriotMarie70 Afghan war had a 92% approval rating after 9/11. Afghanistan is smaller, was less technologically advanced, and had 1/3 the population of Iran. Not a fair comparison imo

@JOHNNYR0ASTBEEF @realnatejeune @disclosetv @PatriotMarie70 Drafts have to be signed by Congress and if we didn’t draft during GWOT, they’re not going to do it for fucking Iran.

JUST IN - Effective April 20, 2026, the U.S. Army is increasing the maximum enlistment age from 34 to 42 and eliminating waiver requirements for a single conviction of possession of marijuana.

@tbpn @MartinShkreli Reta's problem is that even though it has a higher weight loss %, the % of PTs who have vomiting, nausea, and diarrhea is higher than Zepbound/Ozempic. Is it a superior drug or are the side effects inflating the weight loss number? Plus rapid weight loss = more excess skin

.@MartinShkreli says taking retatrutide is the "worst risk-reward decision you could possibly make": "The people that are taking peptides, and have these 'peptide stacks,' are mostly people in SF, maybe in NY. They're very wealthy people. They don't know what the rest of the world looks like." "Nobody else in Middle America is excited to do this. It's not normal to inject yourself with things. This isn't a thing everyone should be doing." "What is your upside to taking illegally manufactured retatrutide — you can't verify it, etc. — versus just taking Ozempic?"

@gfodor @steelineYT If the negotiations aren't unanimously accepted by the IRGC and it splinters into a civil war, the SOH will remain closed, GCC will remain targeted. Libya, Syria, Yemen, Iraq fought for a decade after their regimes were overthrown. This isn't Venezuela.

@Entro__py @steelineYT of course, you do realize it doesn't matter at all in terms of a negotiated surrender, right?

People laughing about TACO or whatever are not realizing Trump may have just forced a factional split in Iran’s leadership via a tweet If that’s true, he can now promise that faction the world, if they can neutralize the Supreme Leader’s power base

@spyoptionspick @FirstSquawk How high do you expect the price of oil to hit?

@FirstSquawk Looks like the US and Israel will be blowing up their power grids soon. If those wackos think those demands are going to me met they have to remember, good old poopy pants ain't in the white house anymore, there's a new sheriff in town.

SENIOR IRANIAN OFFICIAL: WASHINGTON STILL REFUSES TO ACCEPT TWO ESSENTIAL CONDITIONS: PAYING REPARATIONS AND ACKNOWLEDGING THE AGGRESSION AGAINST US. - AL JAZEERA

@MarcJBrooker How can the prospective engineers be sure they won't get laid off soon after they are hired? It's Day 2 at Amazon under Jassey, worst performing stock amongst the FAANGs

Thanks for sharing our job post, Sam! I can confirm that we're hiring great folks to expand the Aurora DSQL team, especially folks with experience in query optimization and distributed query execution.

@BBFORTRUMP0822 @RepNancyMace He was an Air Force lawyer. The military says "Every role is important" to boost recruitment numbers. Doesn't make it true.

Hey you dumb C**T, Graham served in the military 33 f'ing years! SHUT YOUR GD MOUTH! He knows enough about our military and what it takes to gain PEACE in the world! All you f'ing know how to do is cry "I'm a VICTIM" Quit your job and go work at a women's shelter! You can tell them ALL about your VICTIMHOOD!

Senator Graham, why don't you deploy to Iran yourself if you're so eager to send everyone else over there?

@gfodor @steelineYT You realize the missile and drone operators near the SOH don't have to listen to anyone right?

@steelineYT I have withheld judgement on this war and I’m almost convinced at this point Trump is going to ultimately get literally everything he wanted after another week or so. If that happens I don’t know how anyone could say it was a TACO.

@LOGOinvestor Guess we’re gonna find out in 2 days bc I know they won’t open up

@lexmutatio @datarade We'll see how many Israelis deploy to Iran. Bookmarked

Nice try, buddy. Israelis don’t know how to fight is a ridiculous and stupid statement and devoid of any context. 40% friendly fire is not true, easily checked. Projectiles that are left to fall are done so because trajectory shows they will land in a populated area or in the sea so no point wasting interceptors.

Israelis don't really know how to fight, but are brilliant spies as far as I can garner from Erik Prince. Erik Prince of BlackWater said 3 things that never left me on an interview with Shawn Ryan. He's never met a Jewish roughneck. Israel has 40% friendly fire deaths in the IDF. 50% of projectiles lobbed over from the North bypass the Israeli defense systems.

@16Mischief @FrankLuntz He blocked me so I guess the little guy wont enlist

@16Mischief @FrankLuntz Will you enlist?

The U.S. wants Iran to make 6 commitments: 1️⃣ No missile program for 5 years. 2️⃣ Zero uranium enrichment. 3️⃣ Decommissioning of nuclear reactors. 4️⃣ Arms control treaties with regional countries. 5️⃣ No financing for regional proxies. 6️⃣ Strict outside observation protocols around the creation and use of centrifuges.

@ScubertDubert70 @long_shot_45 @FrankLuntz See you on Monday at 930 eastern

@long_shot_45 @FrankLuntz Why would the US care if Iran controls Hormuz?