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@unusual_whales Meeting happening and deal happening are two very different things though.

There is an 85% chance of an Iran x US diplomatic meeting by April 30, per Polymarket. See more: polymarket.com/event/us-x-ira…

@zerohedge And that number doesn't include college.

Raising A Child Now Costs About $303,000: Study zerohedge.com/personal-finan…

@zerohedge Rates not dropping much keeps feeding this. Still unclear how far it spreads from here.

"Shocking Levels Of Distress": CMBS Delinquencies Unexpectedly Soar To Covid Highs zerohedge.com/economics/shoc…

The part to watch now is whether there's any response — from trade partners, from policymakers, or from the data. The initial move is one thing. What happens in the weeks after tends to matter more for positioning. Right now that's still developing.

What was noticeable was how fast the reaction came. Markets didn't wait for clarity. That's worth paying attention to. When positioning shifts quickly on a policy announcement, it usually means participants were already sensitive to that risk. It wasn't a surprise that came from nowhere.

This week the main story was tariffs. The US announced new tariffs on a range of imports. That was the event markets had to respond to.

@coinbureau The May 19 hearing is the one to watch — if the label sticks, it starts setting a precedent for how the government can constrain private AI companies without a formal ban.

🚨ANTHROPIC FAILS TO BLOCK PENTAGON "SUPPLY-CHAIN RISK" LABEL A U.S. appeals court declined to pause Pentagon's declaration of Anthropic as a "national security supply-chain risk". Anthropic says the decision is legally flawed and will challenge it at May 19 oral arguments.

@themarketear Hard to know yet if the structure is holding or starting to shift.

The easy move is over… this is where mistakes start. zerohedge.com/the-market-ear…

Tariffs are back in the news. The US has announced new tariffs on goods coming in from several countries. Markets have reacted with some sharp moves over the past few days. Here is the simple version of what tariffs do to markets. When tariffs go up, it costs more to bring goods into a country. Companies that rely on imported parts or products see their costs rise. That can squeeze profits. Markets tend to price that in quickly. It also creates uncertainty. Businesses do not know how long the tariffs will last or whether they will go higher. When businesses are uncertain, they slow down decisions. That uncertainty tends to show up in market volatility. The other thing to watch is how other countries respond. Tariffs often lead to counter-tariffs. That can affect a wider range of sectors and companies than the original announcement. Right now the situation is still developing. The full list of affected goods and the response from other governments is not settled yet. For a developing trader, the key thing here is not to react to the headline. The key is to watch what actually changes in earnings expectations, supply chains, and central bank responses over the coming weeks. That is where the real positioning happens. Not on the day of the announcement.

@coinbureau "operationally viable with proper governance" is doing a lot of heavy lifting given the governance turmoil they just mentioned in the same breath.

🔥AAVE GETS BACKING FROM GRAYSCALE AND BANK OF CANADA Grayscale’s Zach Pandl says Aave could become a household name, while a Bank of Canada study calls DeFi lending with proper governance “operationally viable.” $AAVE trades near $93 after recent governance turmoil in 2026.

@zerohedge That's a long way off and enterprise sales cycles are slow — a lot can change before they get there.

*OPENAI ENTERPRISE REV. TO REACH PARITY WITH CONSUMER BY '26 END

@coinbureau $34M on day 1 from one firm is fine, but the more interesting number is what it looks like in 3 months once the novelty fades.

🔥BULLISH: MORGAN STANLEY’S BITCOIN ETF DRAWS $34 MILLION ON DAY 1.

@zerohedge Retail gets whatever's left once the big funds fill up.

*OPENAI CFO SAYS TO ALLOCATE IPO SHARES TO RETAIL INVESTORS:CNBC

@zerohedge This feels like the slow version of capital controls that's been building, not some sudden wall.

The New Financial Iron Curtain: Taxes, Capital Controls, & The War On Your Wealth zerohedge.com/personal-finan…

@zerohedge The problem is it gets cited as real data and then just circulates as fact.

No Real People Were Polled: AI Is Now Fabricating What "The Public Thinks" zerohedge.com/political/no-r…

@coinbureau 5k ETH is small relative to daily volume so these usually get absorbed quietly.

🚨ETH FOUNDATION SWAPS 5K ETH FOR STABLECOINS Ethereum Foundation swaps 5,000 $ETH into stablecoins for operations and grant funding via CoWSwap TWAP transactions, per Arkham Intelligence.

@BobLoukas This is where newer traders usually chase too late.

A rally to suck them all in.

@coinbureau Not clear yet if this one sticks or if we're still ranging

🚨ALERT: BITCOIN FALLS BELOW $71,000

@unusual_whales This lines up with why power demand forecasts keep getting revised higher and some utilities have caught a bid.

Spending on data center projects in the US has surpassed spending on offices for the first time, per Bloomberg.