Prometeus Consulting

12.2K posts

Prometeus Consulting

@PrometeusCT

شامل ہوئے Ekim 2024

89 فالونگ168 فالوورز

Prometeus Consulting@PrometeusCT·2m

#Earnings 📍Today Apr 08 Expected to Miss Estimates: $APLD Upcoming Volatility: $APLD $DAL $STZ $RPM

Prometeus Consulting@PrometeusCT

#Earnings 📍Week Apr 06 - 12 $APLD $STZ $AEHR $DAL $BB $SMPL $GBX $LEVI $NEOG $KRUS $SKIL $WDFC $RELL $ERGP $LOT $XELB $RPM $SLP $CLIR $EVO $IQST $BYRN $PXED

English

Prometeus Consulting@PrometeusCT·3m

#Earnings #EarningsResults 📍Apr 07 Earnings Results Beat Expectations: $AEHR $ASO $PXED Guides in-line: - Missed Expectations: $GBX $SKIL

Prometeus Consulting@PrometeusCT

#Earnings 📍Week Apr 06 - 12 $APLD $STZ $AEHR $DAL $BB $SMPL $GBX $LEVI $NEOG $KRUS $SKIL $WDFC $RELL $ERGP $LOT $XELB $RPM $SLP $CLIR $EVO $IQST $BYRN $PXED

English

Prometeus Consulting@PrometeusCT·10m

Put skew in EURUSD has blown out to extremes. If tonight does not produce further escalation and CPI does not come in catastrophically hot on core, the unwind in EURUSD positioning could be sharp. The pair is already showing signs of stabilization at these levels.

English

Prometeus Consulting@PrometeusCT·10m

#EURUSD is pricing a lot of bad news that may not materialize. The Euro has sold off hard because Europe is a net energy importer. When crude spikes, Europe faces an inflation shock that the US does not face in the same way because the US is a net exporter.

English

Prometeus Consulting@PrometeusCT·12m

The covariance between stocks, rates, and the dollar has been weakening over the last week. That weakening is the signal that the macro impulse is losing momentum. Mean reversion becomes the higher probability setup from here, not continuation of the regime.

English

Prometeus Consulting@PrometeusCT·12m

#Treasury Treasury vol is spiking but the setup is for a positioning unwind, not a continuation. 10Y fut vol has surged. That is not a breakout signal. It is a reflection of hedging pressure in the rates market ahead of CPI and whatever happens with Iran situation.

English

Prometeus Consulting@PrometeusCT·16m

Watch the Z6 contract. If it spikes back up toward that level this week, that is a fade.

English

Prometeus Consulting@PrometeusCT·16m

Right now, one-year swaps have moved up with crude but five and ten-year swaps have barely moved. That is the structural reason why the Fed is not hiking this year even though the forward curve briefly priced a 25bps hike last week. The market corrected that quickly.

English

Prometeus Consulting@PrometeusCT·19m

#CPI 📍CPI this Friday is a clearing event, and core is the variable that matters. Headline CPI is expected to come in at 3.4% year over year. Core is expected to accelerate from 2.5% to 2.7%. The question that will actually move markets is not whether headline comes in hot.

English

Prometeus Consulting@PrometeusCT·22m

ZXX

Prometeus Consulting@PrometeusCT·23m

A spread this wide reflects a real supply and demand imbalance in how crude is priced across geographies. Traders watching this spread are watching something the spot price does not tell you.

English

Prometeus Consulting@PrometeusCT·23m

#WTI #OIL 🛢️⛽️ 📍The WTI-Brent spread is now at its widest since 2008. This is not just a number. The spread between these two contracts maps physical market dislocations in real time.

English

Prometeus Consulting@PrometeusCT·25m

(…) rather than expressing directional conviction on the barrel. That is a different signal than outright bullish crude positioning

English

Prometeus Consulting@PrometeusCT·25m

That matters because the positioning behavior around crude right now is connected to hedging activity. Large allocators who are long-duration or running inflation-sensitive portfolios are using crude calls to hedge geopolitical risk (…)

English

Prometeus Consulting@PrometeusCT·25m

#OIL 🛢️⛽️ Crude implied vol is not telling the same story as spot. The spot price of WTI is back near highs, but call skew is not spiking the way it did on the first two moves up. Vol is elevated but the premium structure has changed.

English

Prometeus Consulting@PrometeusCT·42m

Polski

Prometeus Consulting@PrometeusCT·53m

#BTC 📍Update: BTC hold POC. Looking for support back into VAH. Needs to hold to push into next resistance. There is MF entering, so if keeps entering, and cross resistance BTC could go for LVN. In the other hand, resistance at 72-74k is a good area to look for shorts

Prometeus Consulting@PrometeusCT

#BTC 📍Update: Our top target was taken taking Wnpoc. Tried to cross our main range’s VAH and VWAP but rejected at resistance. Now testing 50Ema in confluence with local range POC. To keep climbing way to 72k needs to hold this zone, if not, full range rotation down.

English

دریافت کریں

@elonmusk @BarackObama @taylorswift13 @cristiano @BillGates @NASA @nikifrancismediavine @katyperry