Adam
223 posts

Adam
@WalrusQuant
Quantifying mollusks with statistical significance
Wisconsin, USA شامل ہوئے Ekim 2023
310 فالونگ222 فالوورز

@barstoolsports These baseball tournaments are ALL DAY , what else am I supposed to do ? Drink water and be a bum?
English

REPORT: Parents Getting Drunk At Little League Baseball Games And Harassing Umpires All Across America Is The Latest Stain On Youth Sports Culture s.barstool.link/c/article-3568…

English

I was looking through old projects and found one i though would make for a good desktop app. rewrote it in rust + tauri. it runs local on you computer. still has some work todo and double check all the math but fun project for the day. free on my github. docs site is live at walrusquant.github.io/rust-bet-track… for some help.
English


as a life long packer fan, picking your qb and letting them sit behind a proven winner so they can learn from and make the transition on the kid a little easier is what teams should be doing in a situation like with the rams. take best available that gives your team best chance for long term salary cap success.
English
Adam ری ٹویٹ کیا

Jim Furyk will lead the United States in 46th Ryder Cup at Adare Manor. 🇺🇸
rydercup.com/news-media/jim…
#GoUSA
English

@danorlovsky7 Who didn’t do that against Wisconsin last year ? They sucked and I’m a badger fan .
English
Adam ری ٹویٹ کیا

Most bettors think they are risk-averse. They are not. They are just adding more risk and calling it caution.
Here is the difference:
Risk-averse bettors:
- Use 5 different tools thinking more data = more safety
- Do not understand variance, so every losing week feels broken
- Bet small but wide — overlapping strategies that are not independent
- Chase the next tool/model the second a cold streak hits
- Add random plays to "get back to even"
Risk-aware bettors:
- Pick a lane and trust the process
- Know a -10 unit week is variance, not a broken system
- Size bets correctly — focused and disciplined, not scattered
- Understand that 3 tools agreeing is not 3 independent signals
- Have rules for odds range, market width, and max exposure — and actually follow them
The irony? The "careful" bettor is piling on variance. More tools, more strategies, more overlapping positions. It looks like diligence. It is actually noise.
Same thing happens in futures trading. Over-hedging does not reduce risk — it adds complexity and hidden exposure. Every extra position you add to "protect" yourself is another vector for something to go wrong.
Risk-averse does not equal safe. It often means you are making decisions from fear, not from a framework.
Risk-aware means you have done the math. You know what you do not know. And you still pull the trigger — or you do not — based on the numbers, not the feeling.
The people who look the most careful are often the ones taking the most risk.
English

@blueprint_os @openclaw drizzle-kit. edit schema, db:generate writes the migration, container runs it on boot.
English

@WalrusQuant @openclaw Moving from markdown files to postgres + typed MCP is a solid upgrade. We went through something similar with our agent memory. How are you handling schema migrations when the agent's needs change?
English

ive been using @openclaw for a little but now. named my agent Kirby. today i replaced my productivity skill system i made with a better solution. I made an mcp server to manage it.
ripped out the pile of markdown templates + scripts and put it all behind postgres + typed MCP tools.
Kriby has access to read and write and help manage my habits, spaces, tasks, goals, workouts, journal. self hosted on my vps with my openclaw.
becasue managing files through the terminal can be tough, i added a dashboard you can read and write in. your agents sees all changes.
open source. get it on my github. documenation on how to setup.
English









