Austin Campbell

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Austin Campbell

Austin Campbell

@austincampbell

Zero In: https://t.co/sxrrSrUmPs Founder of @ZKZeroKnowledge Teaching @NYUStern ex @jpmorgan, @citi, @paxos, & more

New York شامل ہوئے Şubat 2023
2.3K فالونگ20.1K فالوورز
Austin Campbell
Austin Campbell@austincampbell·
Stablecoins neither create nor destroy bank deposits. If banks are losing deposits to "stablecoins", what they mean is they are losing deposits to other banks that treat crypto fairly and bank stablecoins. Do they explain that part? No. I wonder why.
Paul Grewal@iampaulgrewal

If there's actual evidence of deposit flight, those suffering from it should be demanding that this report be released immediately. That they aren't tells you everything.

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🅽🅴🆁🅳🆈
🅽🅴🆁🅳🆈@Nerdy_Addict·
Afroman celebrated outside the Adams County courthouse after scoring a major win in his defamation trial. 🤣
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Austin Campbell
Austin Campbell@austincampbell·
I will take a victory lap here, and this is after we predicted the DAT downfall previously. If you want to keep up with the space, you should be reading Zero In. zero-in.beehiiv.com
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Austin Campbell
Austin Campbell@austincampbell·
Myself and @OYokip wrote about @Celo and @minipay in Zero In, highlighting these numbers and the fact that it's one of the most adopted products in all of crypto (by putting product, not crypto, first). Now Celo is up 8% over the last few hours on this news.
Celo.eth/acc 🦇 🌳@Celo

🗞️ BREAKING: @Opera goes big on Celo—new proposed 160M CELO stake to transform @MiniPay distribution partner to key network stakeholder Read more about Opera's path to becoming one of the largest institutional CELO tokenholders & how they’re bringing 50M users into MiniPay ↓

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Olivia Chow
Olivia Chow@OYokip·
Today Opera asks for 160M $CELO instead of cash to go all‑in on that rail. 3 days ago @austincampbell and I wrote that Celo + MiniPay is QUIETLY where stablecoins are actually being used in the latest Zero In, on Celo's user-token paradox: zero-in.beehiiv.com/p/celo. The users showed up long before the price did. $CELO up ~8% today on the news.
MiniPay@minipay

We are taking our partnership with @Celo to the next level with a proposed 160M CELO allocation to transform into a key network stakeholder! This reinforces our mission: accessible finance What this means for you: • 50M+ Opera users can now redeem rewards as USD₮ in MiniPay • MiniPay expanding to 66+ countries with 14M+ accounts • 420M+ transactions powered by Celo's mobile-first rails

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Austin Campbell
Austin Campbell@austincampbell·
I agree with the first part, but the idea that Ethereum is the only layer where it's possible to do things differently or that it's currently suitable for this kind of activity leads to inertia. What if ETH is just Myspace (sorry Tom) and Facebook is still coming?
ALEX | ZK@gluk64

The Cari announcement sparked a debate about institutional blockchain infrastructure. Much of it focuses on technical architecture. But first, consider the business case of proprietary vs. open standard. Governance of proprietary networks like Canton or Tempo is going to be controlled by a small group with disproportionate voting weight. It's "permissionless", but to join you have to submit a Google Form with opaque admission criteria. It's unclear who decides. Over time, the most influential participants will set the terms of access and pricing. If you're a bank evaluating this today, you recognize the pattern from SWIFT and Visa: early incumbents locking in structural advantages while late joiners absorb the cost. This is what we hear from banks. Everyone wants to build their own SWIFT-killer. Nobody wants join someone else's SWIFT-killer. Ethereum is the only settlement layer where that dynamic can't take hold, because no single entity can capture it. It's the only place where every participant can permanently trust that no future coalition will rewrite the rules against them. That's what makes Ethereum the only game-theoretical equilibrium as a global settlement layer for institutional finance that works long term.

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Austin Campbell
Austin Campbell@austincampbell·
I hereby officially petition @prestonjbyrne to stop responding to Ofcom with hamsters and start responding with @ogafroman memes to remind them what happens to people who fuck with the free speech of Americans. Hint: extreme public disgrace, at best.
Andrea Burkhart 🐟🐟🐟🐟🏴‍☠️@aburkhartlaw

The case should have never gone to trial, the judge tried his hardest to steer the verdict, and still the case was so bad the Adams County cop plaintiffs somehow found a way to take embarrassingly bad Ls on every possible dimension of losing.

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Preston Byrne
Preston Byrne@prestonjbyrne·
...mind you: in the only country in which 4chan operates, the United States, it is breaking no law and indeed its conduct is expressly protected by the First Amendment. Clown world.
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Chris
Chris@Chrispoer·
@austincampbell Yep. Bond Holders are the smartest and meanest folks in the world. DO NOT CROSS THEM.
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Austin Campbell
Austin Campbell@austincampbell·
Former bond trader here: not financial advice but I would not be a buyer of NY muni debt here. This is not markets punishing Mamdani, it is them predicting the future. Market knows NYC is losing jobs, seeing outmigration of the wealthy and families, and spending too much on stuff that doesn’t grow the pie. Therefore it expects less ability to repay in the future. Bond prices go down, yields go up. This is all rational. The response from the mayor actually will make it worse because he is showing he doesn’t intend to change course. The danger with bonds is they don’t move linearly. A huge fight to raise taxes and spend way more might move borrowing costs up a bit… or it might double or triple them and cause a bankruptcy. There is no way to know precisely where the cliff is until you are over it. The wise decision is to keep your distance. NYC does not appear to be doing that.
New York Magazine@NYMag

Mayor Zohran Mamdani recently got the political equivalent of what baseball players call a brushback pitch — a fastball deliberately thrown dangerously close to a batter’s head in order to intimidate the player, who must flinch or duck to avoid a devastating injury. The mayor is getting municipal chin music from the major bond-rating agencies: Moody’s formally changed its outlook on the city’s finances from “stable” to “negative,” and S&P Global Ratings opined that Mamdani’s budget plan will “make it difficult to sustain budgetary balance beyond fiscal years 2026 and 2027.” The negative outlook from the agencies is a warning, writes columnist Errol Louis. The next step could be a downgrade of the city’s bond rating, which would raise the cost of borrowing money for routine city operations. Mamdani maintains that the decision to revise the outlook is premature, pointing out that the city’s overall credit rating remains strong and has not been downgraded. But the message from Wall Street seemed crystal clear: Unless Mamdani adopts a more fiscally conservative approach, we will punish City Hall in the markets. Read Louis’s full column: nymag.visitlink.me/H057m5

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Austin Campbell
Austin Campbell@austincampbell·
@BTCBRR The electorate, unfortunately, seems to believe they can vote themselves infinite free stuff at times
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Brrr
Brrr@BTCBRR·
@austincampbell So you're saying he's presidential material 🤔
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Austin Campbell
Austin Campbell@austincampbell·
@TreThreat You cannot vibe your way to a functional budget. It is one of the most boring yet mot important government functions, and we keep electing people manifestly unqualified to do a good job (in both parties, to be fair).
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Austin Campbell
Austin Campbell@austincampbell·
@RealPhilycheese Wait, so your thesis is that anyone who leaves NYC should never be allowed back or to do business here?
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Philip
Philip@RealPhilycheese·
@austincampbell Cowering to market is not what’s transformational leaders do. The markets are how the same bullshit governance is enforced decade after decade. Don’t want to pay New York taxes? Then maybe you shouldn’t be allowed to sell products and services in New York
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Austin Campbell
Austin Campbell@austincampbell·
@ClwnPrncCharlie Data doesn't support this; NYC share of millionaires is falling, not rising. Note: not an endorsement of Miami, there are many other places to move.
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Austin Campbell
Austin Campbell@austincampbell·
@akurtz59 Stern has been pretty heterodox about views; business schools tend to do better than some other parts of academia.
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AK@akurtz59·
@austincampbell Well said! Those views may get you chased out of NYU Stern though!
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Austin Campbell
Austin Campbell@austincampbell·
@onlyzec I think you've missed the point. If millionaires and billionaires move out and are replaced by non-millionaires, what happens to the tax base?
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final inning
final inning@onlyzec·
@austincampbell I’m sorry man, there infinity immigrants waiting to buy houses in the remaining supply of the market. The exodus will never happen
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Austin Campbell
Austin Campbell@austincampbell·
@Rick42798550 Not just those. Basically all of GSAM is in Utah. WF just moved private wealth to Miami, not NYC. We're both bleeding jobs and not attracting new. Entry level jobs at major lows. I do agree NYC is relatively better than some others, but that's not winning, that's less dying.
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Rick
Rick@Rick42798550·
@austincampbell NYC has reached pre COVID office leasing levels this past year. It’s the strongest in the country, I mean Amex’s new hq is like half of south Florida entire year last year on one go lol. I agree that middle class, lower level jobs leaving to Dallas etc is an issue though.
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Austin Campbell
Austin Campbell@austincampbell·
@Rick42798550 Miami, Austin, etc. have built a ton of supply. They are having massive population growth AND falling prices. Jobs are leaving NYC in size. The office thing is simply not true; it's better than some other blue city centers, but all of those are way way way down from 2020.
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Rick
Rick@Rick42798550·
@austincampbell NYC office office market is the hottest in the country and the luxury markets biggest issues is there is or enough supply to meet overwhelming demand. No a mamdani guy by any means and this stuff is concerning but no need to exaggerate, esp when markets like Miami are buckeling.
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