Skeptical Economist, prof. Collegium Mesozoicum

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Skeptical Economist, prof. Collegium Mesozoicum

Skeptical Economist, prof. Collegium Mesozoicum

@postecon

Fill your heart with love today Don't play the game of time Things that happened in the past Only happened in your mind Oh, forget your mind And you'll be free

London, England شامل ہوئے Temmuz 2013
1.3K فالونگ4.2K فالوورز
Skeptical Economist, prof. Collegium Mesozoicum
Myślę, że największym problemem jest to, że przeciętny wyborca chce zrównoważyć budżet przez cięcia wydatków na kulturę, sądy i pensje urzędników. Na zmniejszenie 800+ przynajmniej jest jakiś apetyt w narodzie.
Skeptical Economist, prof. Collegium Mesozoicum tweet mediaSkeptical Economist, prof. Collegium Mesozoicum tweet media
Michal Brzezinski@BrzezinskiMich

Dużym problemem jest też histeryczna i nieuzasadniona narracja dziennikarzy i mediów w zakresie stabilności finansów publicznych i skutków podnoszenia opodatkowania

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Skeptical Economist, prof. Collegium Mesozoicum
BOOM! Od pewnego czasu ludzie piszą takie tłity. Jedno zdanie - jedna linijka. Odstęp między wierszami jest obowiązkowy. Ma to dość oczywiste, ale w gruncie rzeczy rewolucyjne konsekwencje. Niesamowicie mnie to wkurwia. Twórcy kontentu muszą brać to pod uwagę.
Guri Singh@heygurisingh

Holy shit... Stanford just proved that GPT-5, Gemini, and Claude can't actually see. They removed every image from 6 major vision benchmarks. The models still scored 70-80% accuracy. They were never looking at your photos. Your scans. Your X-rays. Here's what's really going on: ↓ The paper is called MIRAGE. Co-authored by Fei-Fei Li. They tested GPT-5.1, Gemini-3-Pro, Claude Opus 4.5, and Gemini-2.5-Pro across 6 benchmarks -- medical and general. Then silently removed every image. No warning. No prompt change. The models didn't even notice. They kept describing images in detail. Diagnosing conditions. Writing full reasoning traces. From images that were never there. Stanford calls it the "mirage effect." Not hallucination. Something worse. Hallucination = making up wrong details about a real input. Mirage = constructing an entire fake reality and reasoning from it confidently. The models built imaginary X-rays, described fake nodules, and diagnosed conditions -- all from text patterns alone. But that's not the scary part. They trained a "super-guesser" -- a tiny 3B parameter text-only model. Zero vision capability. Fine-tuned it on the largest chest X-ray benchmark (696,000 questions). Images removed. It beat GPT-5. It beat Gemini. It beat Claude. It beat actual radiologists. Ranked #1 on the held-out test set. Without ever seeing a single X-ray. The reasoning traces? Indistinguishable from real visual analysis. Now here's what should terrify you: When the models fake-see medical images, their mirage diagnoses are heavily biased toward the most dangerous conditions. STEMI. Melanoma. Carcinoma. Life-threatening diagnoses -- from images that don't exist. 230 million people ask health questions on ChatGPT every day. They also found something wild: → Tell a model "there's no image, just guess" -- performance drops → Silently remove the image and let it assume it's there -- performance stays high The model enters "mirage mode." It doesn't know it can't see. And it performs BETTER when it doesn't know it's blind. When Stanford applied their cleanup method (B-Clean) to existing benchmarks, it removed 74-77% of all questions. Three-quarters of "vision" benchmarks don't test vision. Every leaderboard. Every "multimodal breakthrough." Every benchmark score you've seen this year. Built on mirages. Code is open-sourced. Paper is live on arXiv. If you're building anything with multimodal AI -- especially in healthcare -- read this paper before you ship. (Link in the comments)

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Skeptical Economist, prof. Collegium Mesozoicum ری ٹویٹ کیا
DiscussingFilm
DiscussingFilm@DiscussingFilm·
The Olaf animatronic at Disney Adventure World has had its first public malfunction. (Source: magictourclub/TikTok)
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Skeptical Economist, prof. Collegium Mesozoicum ری ٹویٹ کیا
Skeptical Economist, prof. Collegium Mesozoicum ری ٹویٹ کیا
Mikołaj Murczkiewicz
Mikołaj Murczkiewicz@murczkiewiczyzm·
Why are dogs in Poland so commonly called 'Hodge'? I even saw a woman with two dogs in the park. They ran off in different directions, she called out this common name "Hodge" and the first one came to her. Then she called out "Hodge 2" and the second one came back. Ok fair enough if the name is really popular and great for our four legged friends use it I don't mind that much but why not give the poor second dog a different name like Fluffy or Rex or something? Must get confusing like in families where the son is named after the dad or something.
Veronica, Collagen Scientist@celestialbe1ng

My favourite thing about Poland is that you don’t address strangers as “you.” You say Pan, Pani, Państwo (Mr/Mrs/+this plural I can’t translate): formal address is built into the grammar. Even in a shop, you’d say “Czy Państwo mają…” not “do you have…” and it isn’t performative politeness but actually structural respect. There is no casual “you” for someone you haven’t been invited to be familiar with. When I do this, people often rush to correct me or rather announce familiarity. “Oh, don’t call me Madame, call me Catherine.” And I’ll still address them formally until they give me clear permission to stop or until I decide I’m familiar and done with the formal. Pure elegance. The kind that assumes every stranger deserves dignity before they’ve earned familiarity. The West abolished formality for uhhh friendliness. Poland kept it bc respect.

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Skeptical Economist, prof. Collegium Mesozoicum ری ٹویٹ کیا
Soumaya Keynes
Soumaya Keynes@SoumayaKeynes·
found something rather baffling when researching my column this week… I wanted to see if there was any evidence that AI tools were helping economists to make their research more readable. So I analysed the text of NBER working paper abstracts…
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Skeptical Economist, prof. Collegium Mesozoicum
Iran nie ma kart i upiera się przy nierealistycznych scenariuszach, zachęcany przez podżegaczy z Moskwy i Pekinu. Humanitarnym rozwiązaniem jest zawarcie pokoju z USA i Izraelem, demilitaryzacja i federalizacja państwa i przyjęcie gwarancji bezpieczeństwa od światowych mocarstw.
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Skeptical Economist, prof. Collegium Mesozoicum
Niestety, kontynuacja wojny jest na rękę teherańskiemu reżimowi, bo uzasadnia jego istnienie. Co więcej, wojna spaja i pozwala realizować interesy irańskich skorumpowanych elit, które znajdują coraz to nowe sposoby na defraudację kapitału z zagranicy.
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Skeptical Economist, prof. Collegium Mesozoicum
Iran powinien zawrzeć pokój i zakończyć rozlew krwi w tym bezsensownym konflikcie. Wiadomo, że nie ma szans w starciu z USA a przedłużanie wojny rujnuje gospodarczo inne kraje, zwłaszcza Europę.
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