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temporal
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@temporal3
hum muwahhid haiN, hamara kesh hai tark-e-rusoom millatheiN jab mit gayiiN, ajza-e-iimaaN ho gayiiN https://t.co/aYm5vPQKs8 @temporal3.bsky.social
T.O. شامل ہوئے Şubat 2009
403 فالونگ1.5K فالوورز
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Canadians have been enjoying Cuba's beaches and hospitality for decades.
And we're sitting around like deadbeat lowlifes while the child rapist chokes it to death.
Canada is a useless feckless bitch.
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AMERICA TOOK A WHILE TO ADMIT
THIS…
U.S. investigators have determined that a U.S. Army Patriot battery was responsible for the explosion that injured dozens of civilians in Bahrain, including children.
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BREAKING: The price of feeding your family just changed and nobody told you. While you watched missiles hit Dimona and carriers steam toward Hormuz, the molecule that grows the food on your plate was quietly strangled behind the same 21-mile strait. Nitrogen. One-third of the world’s seaborne nitrogen fertilizer is trapped in the Persian Gulf. Twenty-one ships carrying a million metric tonnes cannot move. Urea at New Orleans surged from $516 to $683 per ton in a single week. And the countries that can least afford this are already breaking.
Bangladesh has shut five of its six urea factories. Gas rationing during the Boro rice harvest, the crop that feeds 170 million people. India’s fertilizer plants are running at 60 percent capacity. Delhi has formally requested emergency urea from China. China said no. Beijing implemented a near-total export ban on nitrogen-potassium blends and phosphate in mid-March to protect its own farmers. Pakistan’s production has halted. Sri Lanka imports 100 percent of its synthetic fertilizer, 60 to 70 percent of it from the Gulf that is now closed. Sudan, already confirmed in famine by the United Nations, sources 54 percent of its fertilizer from Gulf producers. These are not commodity statistics. These are countries where the next harvest determines whether children eat.
The Gulf accounts for 49 percent of global urea exports and 30 percent of ammonia. Natural gas is the feedstock for ammonia. Ammonia is the feedstock for urea. Urea is the feedstock for food. Four links in a chain and the first runs through Hormuz. As of March 18, American retail urea is $674 per ton. Anhydrous ammonia has crossed $900 for the first time since May 2023. The American Farm Bureau warned Trump directly that without prioritising fertilizer delivery, the United States risks a crop shortfall threatening food and national security. The US produces three-quarters of its own nitrogen. Bangladesh produces almost none.
Every exit is sealed. The Gulf is blocked. China banned exports. The G7 maintains no strategic fertilizer reserves. None. The first vessel to transit Hormuz since the war began was a Pakistan-flagged crude oil tanker, not a fertilizer carrier. When the strait cracks open, oil goes first. The commodity that fuels economies takes priority over the commodity that feeds people.
The US Corn Belt planting window opens in three weeks. India’s Kharif season begins in May. A vessel loading urea in the Gulf today takes 30 days to reach port and another month to reach a farmer’s field. IFPRI estimates a 20 percent nitrogen shortfall could cut global yields by 5 to 10 percent permanently. A ceasefire on April 15 does not put nitrogen in the soil on April 16. The calendar is a biological instrument. It does not negotiate with presidents or generals.
The strait is 21 miles wide. The factories are dark in Dhaka. The fields are waiting in Punjab. The children are hungry in Darfur. And the nitrogen that could change all of it is sitting on ships that cannot move, in a country that banned its export, and in reserves that do not exist. The missiles will end. The war will end. The harvest that was lost because the molecules arrived too late will not come back.
Full analysis:
open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86
BREAKING: The world spent fifty years and hundreds of billions of dollars building Strategic Petroleum Reserves so that no geopolitical shock could starve civilization of energy. Nobody built the equivalent for fertilizer. That is the most expensive oversight in the history of modern statecraft, and you are about to pay for it at the grocery store. The Strait of Hormuz does not merely carry 20% of global oil. UNCTAD estimates roughly one-third of all seaborne fertilizer trade passes through it. The Fertilizer Institute estimates that conflict-exposed exporters account for nearly 49% of global urea exports and nearly half of global sulfur trade. Since February 28, daily ship transits have collapsed by 97%. Here is what almost nobody understands about why this is not "just another commodity spike." It was not the missiles that closed the strait. It was the insurance. Multiple P&I clubs cancelled war-risk extensions for the Gulf after 26 months of Red Sea losses had already depleted their Solvency II capital buffers. War-risk premiums surged from 0.25% to as high as 5% of hull value per transit. A urea cargo cannot absorb that. The economics of fertilizer shipping through Hormuz became impossible before a single mine needed to detonate. The Trump administration announced a $20 billion sovereign-backed reinsurance facility with Chubb as lead underwriter. There is no confirmed public evidence that a single fertilizer vessel has used it. Insurance pays for financial loss. It does not intercept anti-ship missiles. Physical security remains the binding constraint, and the US Navy confirmed on March 12 it is "not ready" for commercial escorts. Now here is the part that should terrify every allocator on Earth. Agriculture runs on biological deadlines. Corn Belt farmers need nitrogen applied by mid-April. Indian Kharif season prep starts in May. Australian winter crop needs urea by June. These are not financial deadlines that reprice. They are photosynthetic deadlines that, once missed, produce irreversible yield loss. A diplomatic breakthrough on April 15 does not help a farmer who needed fertilizer on April 1. And the yield math is nonlinear. Wall Street models fertilizer-to-output as proportional. It is not. The response is quadratic. In developed systems that over-apply nitrogen, a 15% reduction costs 2-5% of yield. In the Global South where farmers already under-apply, the same reduction pushes crops off a biophysical cliff. Sri Lanka proved this in 2021 when a sudden fertilizer ban collapsed rice production 40% in a single season and brought down the government. The market is pricing a 45-day disruption. The insurance architecture says 120 days minimum. Even after a hypothetical ceasefire, Solvency II capital rebuild, reinsurance treaty renegotiation, and vessel re-underwriting take months. The Red Sea precedent: 26 months after Houthi attacks began, war-risk premiums never returned to pre-crisis levels. Both sides are rejecting negotiations. Trump rebuffed ceasefire mediation March 14. Iran's foreign minister on March 15: "We never asked for a ceasefire." Meanwhile: 51% of US corn areas in drought. El Nino favored by June at 62% probability. Skymet assigns 60% chance of below-normal Indian monsoon. Bangladesh has shut five of six urea factories. India formally asked China for urea on March 12. Egypt faces $28 billion in debt repayments while importing 12.7 million tonnes of wheat. WFP identifies 318 million people already at crisis-level hunger. The world stockpiled oil but forgot to stockpile the molecules that produce half its food. The clock is the position. Full analysis in the link! open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
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Yesterday, prior to the settler raids across the occupied West Bank,
30 Rabbis signed off on a letter calling to take up arms, expel Palestinians off their land, and settle the entire West Bank:
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French judge Nicolas Gouyou, who issued an arrest warrant for Netanyahu at the ICC:
• Visa and Mastercard have blocked all my cards
• I cannot make any purchases
• I am a judge, yet treated like a criminal
• Judges, lawyers, and politicians are being intimidated
• A colleague told me my name won’t be removed from the blacklist until Trump’s term ends
• Despite intervention by the French president, U.S. authorities have not responded
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flight simulators
training wheels for beyond earth
adrenaline rush
#haikuchallenge (earth)
#BraveWrite (training wheels)
#haikufeels (rush)
#micropoetry #HaikuSeed #ginkgo
#haiku #senryu #writingcommunity
#poetrycommunity #thaiku #tpoem
baithuk.wordpress.com
baithak.blogs
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@aiwealthsys/post/DWLMzusjMPj?xmt=AQF0yLky39VjkRmZXPKPKTVhpK-e98NG8xu8OIYZlVYQhw" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">threads.com/@aiwealthsys/p…
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@vijayaraghavan.nair.54/post/DWLg1bzDla9?xmt=AQF0yLky39VjkRmZXPKPKTVhpK-e98NG8xu8OIYZlVYQhw" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">threads.com/@vijayaraghava…
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Haaretz reports that the Israeli defence minister has ordered the IDF to flatten towns as they did in Gaza
- The EU will probably condemn Lebanon soon
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#haikuchallenge
Hello, good day to everyone.💙🦉
Here are the (optional) #prompt
words for- 3/22-3/24 2026
3/22-Earth
3/23-East
3/24-Echo
Definitions and notes are attached, just expand the thread to view them.
#haikuchallenge
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UN special rapporteur Francesca Albanese reports that Israel is using 'exceptionally ruthless physical and psychological abuse' on imprisoned Palestinians since Israel started its genocidal war on Gaza aje.news/hg4vzw
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🔴Just spoke with @s_m_marandi
He responded to Trump's 48-hour ultimatum for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz
WATCH: trendsinthenews.substack.com/p/marandi-resp…
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Possibly the granddaughter of the Emperor Akbar, she converted to Christianity under the influence of court Jesuits, was kidnapped by Portuguese pirates after being expelled from the capital, and was sold as a slave in the Phillipenes before eventually being trafficked to Mexico.
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#genocidalandimmoralisrael #gazauponauschwitz #IsraelisaPariahState #ziononazisareanimals #neverforgetneverforgive
Wally Rashid@wallyrashid
Right now, 1:45am local time, settler militias are raiding more than 9 Palestinian villages in the occupied West Bank. From Bethlehem all the way to Nablus, settler pograms are happening everywhere. This began at 12am local time and has not yet stopped 1:45am 3/22/26.
QHT
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Absolutely agree. I find @TheEconomist's coverage of the Palestinians borderline racist, as if they are not fully human & their suffering of interest only as "a strategic liability" to Israel. This is a conflict between two peoples, but The Economist sees entirely through Israeli eyes.
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