Sexy Rocket Scientist

Parties should reorder the primaries so that swing states go first. nothingmorepowerful.blogspot.com/2026/04/how-pa…

@mattyglesias It's proof that there is one set of skills that gets you elected, and another that makes you good at the job and rare is the person who is good at both.

Politicians are usually very charming in person — it’s a very heavily selected group of charismatic extroverts. slowboring.com/p/most-politic…

@uwuuwu2024 @mattyglesias There's zero reason to think that Harris would've done anything different than Biden/Europe vis-a-vis Ukraine, which is to arm them to fight the Russians themselves.

@mattyglesias Harris would have been Ukraine. Trump is the middle east. US would be at war whoever got voted in.

They warned me that if I voted for Kamala Harris we’d have $4 gasoline and young men drafted to fight in endless wars in the Middle East, and it all came true.

@SJonNantucket @politico @jmart Polls have Dems ahead in AK and OH. IA and FL are not out of reach.

@politico @jmart This fantasy that the Dems will take the senate is absurd. History shows it's almost impossible and even polling shows it's not going to happen. You're talking about needing to win 2 Trump +12 seats while also winning in Me and NC neither of which will be easy.

COLUMN: Democrats are obsessed with the wrong Senate races, writes @jmart. Sherrod Brown and Roy Cooper aren’t driving the conversation — but their races are key to Dems’ “increasingly realistic, bordering on likely, prospects for reclaiming the Senate." politico.com/news/magazine/…

@politico @jmart ME, NC, AK and OH. This is the way.

@williameburns13 @mattyglesias But reportedly they mostly ran a "weak on crime" campaign against her.

@volcrano @mattyglesias Apparently. glaad.org/pro-lgbtq-cand…

Seeing three Susan Collins ads on heavy rotation in Maine all of which feature normal people thanking her for supporting something: — Cancer research funding — The Social Security Fairness Act — Protect Women's Sports Act

@mattyglesias @EricLevitz After I graduated with an engineering degree in 1994, I spent 6 months delivering chicken and DJing weddings.

I was feeling like I've been hearing about underemployed college graduates doing low-paid retail jobs for my whole life, and per @EricLevitz this has in fact been happening at roughly flat rates for my whole life. vox.com/politics/48505…

@williameburns13 @mattyglesias Was it a major issue in that race? I never saw any of the ads.

@volcrano @mattyglesias Just failed in Wisconsin.

@quirkyllama 2/3rds of SCOTUS is conservative, but sure the liberal judiciary is the problem.

I don't want to defend RFK or MAGA conspiracists, but I'm genuinely surprised Matt doesn't get that there is a real complaint here. The core hypothesis of Trump II is "Trump doesn't control the govt" Call it the deep state, call it bureaucracy, or just call it the Judiciary. The battle over Abrego Garcia- a man who no one disputes is here illegally- yet the entire might of the Trump administration can't deport him! The whole thesis of Trump II is "Yes, the laws say X, but the bureaucracy + judiciary don't care what the laws says". Or the recent Federal Court ruling effectively preventing Berkeley from cleaning up tent cities. Does the GOP have a Federal Trifecta? Yes. Does a Blue City in a Blue State want to clean up homelessness? Yes. Did a Federal judge prevent them from doing so? Also Yes. If you want to understand what's going on in Trump 2 these points are central. Republicans do not effectively control gov't even when they have a trifecta. Between bureaucrats bureaucrats and the Liberal Judiciary, it's ~impossible to change policy even when the law is clearly on GOP side.

@mattyglesias @lxeagle17 Where the white women at indeed.

Fascinating findings from @lxeagle17 — the gap between Trump disapproval and Democratic vote share is driven by non-college white women. theargumentmag.com/p/women-are-do…

@Gelandin1 @calideplorable1 @NateSilver538 Yes, but later it dropped to 66.9%, which is a number lower than 90%. In fact, look at this headline.

@volcrano @calideplorable1 @NateSilver538 A couple weeks before the election, he said there were five possible outcomes that were about equally likely. Four of them had Clinton winning by various margins. The fifth one was "Donald Trump shocks the world."

I guess I'll have to blog about this tomorrow, but "LOL, Trump TACO'ed out" is decidedly not the right reaction as compared to "that kind of brinkmanship is really fucking dangerous".

@IJoukov @mattyglesias According to MPD.

@volcrano @mattyglesias Would the surrounding PDs really not cooperate?

I don't actually think this is that unsolvable of a problem. What you need to do is identify the people who are driving ATVs and dirt bikes, arrest them, and punish them.

@mattyglesias Winners: Defense contractors, grave diggers in Iran, VA medical providers, people who are cheating on their deployed military spouses, some in the oil industry, Russia, China.

Don’t forget Russian oil export revenue!

@calideplorable1 @FSF150 @NateSilver538 I’m sure you are. It’s why you’re rich, admired and surrounded by beautiful people.

@volcrano @FSF150 @NateSilver538 Damn right I am. I’m smarter than you.

@jimbojojo3 @mattyglesias Tell that to his parents.

@volcrano @mattyglesias Seems to me that a fatal crash, as long it doesn't involve a bystander, is a win...

@calideplorable1 @NateSilver538 I don’t think it was 90%.

@volcrano @NateSilver538 Yeah, that she was going to win 90%. I have no idea how old you are, but you got a fucking bad memory.

@calideplorable1 @FSF150 @NateSilver538 Good for you. It was super close and of course, he got fewer votes. Most pundits were surprised and most (nearly all) polls showed her winning as did most of the betting markets. But I guess you’re just the smartest person ever which is why you’re probably wildly successful.

@FSF150 @volcrano @NateSilver538 Wow, that’s funny because I was telling everybody that he was gonna win because I don’t know. I was looking at the numbers and not listening to people like Nate Silver or pretty much anybody. Democrats are such losers.

@IJoukov @mattyglesias I guess it’s not so much “hard to convict” but hard to punish. DC can write them a ticket and then they just don’t pay it. Can’t seize the vehicle if it’s not in DC.

Why would it be hard to convict? Owns an ATV matching the description from multiple videos of the crime? Check. Matches photos of the person? Check. Plus let's be honest the people doing it love the attention, you think you wouldn't find a ton of self incriminating texts and social media posts about it?

@calideplorable1 @NateSilver538 He literally did not guarantee she would win. He stated she was the favorite according to polling.

Hey Nate, when have you ever been right about anything. You guaranteed Hillary Clinton was gonna win what happened to that? You have absolutely no saying anything. You’ve already been ratio so you should just sit back probably keep your fucking mouth shut. Trump made us all look like a bunch of fucking fools.

@henrybeede @patbahn @mattyglesias Seems illegal.

@volcrano @patbahn @mattyglesias Rifles exist.