Deano Tips

🎾 Sabalenka v Baptiste 25% boost 🚀 Baptiste's price to break serve is 1.57, which is doing most of the heavy lifting in terms of getting us towards 2.00. I think that 1.57 is generous. Sabalenka has been broken in each round here and in her last five matches overall, and Baptiste has proven in recent times that she can make inroads against some of the best servers in the game. Notable Baptiste breaks of serve this year: 5 vs Svitolina 7 & 6 vs Samsonova 3 vs Rybakina 4 vs Alexandrova Reckon she can oblige here but of course expect Sabalenka to come through.

🎾 Cristian vs Pegula 25% boost 🚀 Had to stuff lots of selections to get to 2.00 here but the gist of it is a comfortable Pegula win and the rest *should* take care of itself, with the aces/double faults not expected to be a problem based on previous matches for both players. Difficult to see where Cristian gets any joy in this match-up with the in-form Pegula who made the final here last season having gone QF-SF-SF in previous years. Cristian's win over Alexandrova was a big one but the Russian had a back problem and gifted her a lot of points. Would be surprised if she gets that sort of change out of the American.

🏆 Lille v Aston Villa 💥 1 unit - Paddy Power Always like this bet in Villa games as they just draw so many fouls but Lille are decent too. Averages in UEL Villa FH fouls: 5.88 Villa FH fouls drawn: 5.5 Villa total fouls: 11.88 Villa total fouls drawn: 14 5 each team, each half landed in 5/8 Lille FH fouls: 5.3 Lille FH fouls drawn: 6.8 Lille total fouls: 11.4 Lille total fouls drawn: 13.5 5 each team, each half landed in 3/10 The issue is Lille fouls in that data but Villa’s foul drawing ability should negate that.