Jebaim

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Jebaim

Jebaim

@Jebaim3

High growth companies, primarily small(er) caps. "The person that turns over the most rocks wins the game." I write on Substack & looking for work.

Tham gia Temmuz 2025
701 Đang theo dõi1.2K Người theo dõi
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Jebaim
Jebaim@Jebaim3·
Shameless promotion of my very first substack article. 2CRSi $AL2SI 650mc with a goal of 1b in revenue next FY without any dilution. High insider ownership, ugly af name, even uglier ticker, growing backlog. It's not your $AXTI $AAOI or $LITE but is in demand and has a lot of upside. It's an AI play without dilution we've seen with $IREN and $NBIS. Comparable companies are $SMCI $DELL $CLS. Let me know what you think! (link in the first post).
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Jebaim@Jebaim3·
@shantaram83 Ye, I started a small position and 50% down. 😅
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Shantaram
Shantaram@shantaram83·
@Jebaim3 Piss poor quarter on nearly every metric. Not investible right now IMO. Management needs to be a lot more transparent. ER shouldn’t be ran by a swimsuit model that runs a corporate dating website on the side.
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Jebaim
Jebaim@Jebaim3·
$QBAK ER - is this a joke, or an actual company that is supposed to benefit from the memory supercycle? 😅
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Shantaram
Shantaram@shantaram83·
@Jebaim3 Which Mike are you talking about? @Mike10947310 was posting about $AXTI in July 2024 - way before anyone caught on.
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Jebaim
Jebaim@Jebaim3·
I was supposedly a hater when I wrote about $AXTI, and other names with similar financial record. This one doesn't have Mike on the board, but it didn't prevent him from promoting it for months, even with the history of dilution AXTI has. Let's see how many of countless bottlenecks end up in a similar way (let's pump the Strait of AXTI, wtf?). Remember, on twitter it's usually - For each good call, there are hundreds of bad ones. Protect your capital, no one else will do it for you.
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Jebaim@Jebaim3

Looks amazing, right? Before you bite the FOMO and buy stocks which ran over 200% in a few months, check the following: $AVGO Carries ~$70B in net debt from the VMware acquisition — robust FCF covers it, but AI custom silicon slowdown would expose leverage. $CSCO Splunk acquisition added ~$22B in debt, and hardware revenue is in secular decline as the SaaS transition is still unproven at scale. $MRVL Still posting GAAP losses; Celestial AI + XConn deals diluted shares by ~27M and spent $1B cash before revenue materialises in FY2028. $APH Rapid M&A pace (CommScope CCS, Trexon) creates integration execution risk and may pressure near-term margins despite AI tailwinds. $GLW $7B in long-term debt; stock up ~48% YTD on AI fiber euphoria — valuation now prices in a sustained supercycle with no room for disappointment. $KEYS Emerging from a multi-year revenue downcycle; Q1 FY2026 blowout was strong but recovery across all end markets is not yet confirmed as durable. $FN Heavy customer concentration in optical clients ties revenue tightly to the transceiver capex cycle; Thailand manufacturing adds FX and geopolitical risk. $BESI Reports recently surfaced that leading AI chip makers are reconsidering hybrid bonding timelines — sent the stock sharply lower and creates near-term demand uncertainty. $POET Raised $150M through a January 2026 equity offering (heavy dilution) to fund development — still near-zero revenue with production readiness not expected until end of 2026. $LWLG Zero commercial revenue and operations funded by repeated share sales — polymer modulator tech has been "almost there" for years with no product shipments. $AAOI Dramatically rerated — now guiding $1B+ revenue in 2026 after 82% growth, but historically near-zero profitability, and demand reportedly outpaces production capacity through mid-2027, creating execution risk. $MXL Revenue collapsed ~60% from its 2022 peak on inventory correction; recovery is happening but margins remain well below prior levels and customer concentration persists. $SIVE Very small cap with minimal operating history and revenue — essentially a pure speculative bet on CW DFB laser exposure. $AEHR Revenue is highly lumpy and dependent on a narrow customer base and single product-cycle driver — currently in a trough between adoption waves. $AXTI Long history of operating losses and erratic cash flows despite being a legitimate compound substrate supplier — the optics boom helps, but execution consistency is absent. The vast majority of companies mentioned have absolutely horrible finances, future dilution, debts. On top of that add a very complex business models to understand and comfortably navigate. Lastly, add cyclicality and momentum traders in today's world. This is claude sponsored research done in 2 minutes, and you can protect yourself against losses with a bit of research. Of course many of these have a very attractive reward, but equal or even bigger risk ratio too. Going all in into a risky play usually turns out to be a very bad decision. Please be responsible with your own cash. No one will come to help you when you see your stock down -50%.

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Jebaim
Jebaim@Jebaim3·
x.com/aleabitoreddit… x.com/aleabitoreddit… It's not hard to grasp. I call it hypocrisy when you call dilution of one company a disaster, but for the other one a magical financial management. If he warned about both dilutions in the same/critical tone, I'd give him credit. He is biased af. (can't blame him for not liking that clown)
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₿lame Connor
₿lame Connor@blame_connor·
@Jebaim3 Hatred toward Mike Alfred*, there’s a big difference. They were bullish $IREN in the past but the $6B dilution has completely changed that. Idk why this is so hard to grasp.
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Jebaim
Jebaim@Jebaim3·
If you spend your time convincing people how clever you are, but then spend as much time pouring crap over $IREN, you don't really get a lot of credibility there. When $NBIS dilutes - omg, this is so bullish, actually, AI, bottlenecks, 300$ Nebius is once in a lifetime opportunity. When $IREN dilutes - omg, what a dumpster fire, horrible company, dilutes shareholders, how can anyone invest in it. They should just do colo. Comparing $SOFI, $AMC, $IREN, and $BYND is just trolling $IREN investors and nothing else. Since I'm a known hater of anime avatars, I just wanted to ask to use the same standard. If you dislike Iren for one reason, I think it makes sense to dislike Nebius for the same reason. Also, since the $IREN critique revolves around dilution, I suppose the poster is actively campaigning against diluters in his favorite sector? $POET $AXTI $IQE $SIVE (sure there's more if I had time to check all the mentioned names). Surely, he isn't promoting other diluting machines? I'm not invested in $NBIS or $IREN, just not a fan of hypocrisy.
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Jebaim
Jebaim@Jebaim3·
@blame_connor He has special place for hatred towards IREN. It's a long history.
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₿lame Connor
₿lame Connor@blame_connor·
@Jebaim3 For what it’s worth, he was very critical of $POET & $AXTI dilution. It’s not just $IREN
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Jebaim
Jebaim@Jebaim3·
@majgeoinvesting @claudeai The jump is based on the cash received or an actual business behind it? Insane how long these lawsuits can last.
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Maj Soueidan
Maj Soueidan@majgeoinvesting·
Complex timeline of $AIXI vs. $AAPL lawsuit, courtesy of @claudeai. Stock pumping on news that Supreme Peoples Court (China) ruled against AAPL last attempt to invalidate AIXI patent. This was likely delaying Shanghai Court decision on the lawsuit. Still risky, yet interesting
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Jebaim@Jebaim3·
@SixSigmaCapital Are those I need exit liquidity posts so obvious these days?
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Jebaim
Jebaim@Jebaim3·
@VAT_69may Try looking for bottlenecks yourself, I'm sure you'll find plenty. Being a bottleneck doesn't mean it's a good investment unless you're first and 200k people follow you. Not familiar with the name. Outside of Soitec, I don't follow the sector.
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Bombaynism
Bombaynism@VAT_69may·
@Jebaim3 He's finding bottlenecks every other day iv lost count on em. I cant even fucking keep up with the photonics names. Btw what are your thoughts on EQIX
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Jebaim
Jebaim@Jebaim3·
@lxjourney_ Pretty much, but in older posts he spent time analysing NBIS dilution citing how it's good actually, while shitting on IREN for the same reason. He obviously hates the company, not its business.
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LXJ
LXJ@lxjourney_·
@Jebaim3 it’s just rage baiting iren investors atp. and they keep falling for it … 💀
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Colton Dowell
Colton Dowell@ColtonDowe·
@Jebaim3 Us Congress buying it up. Rotten to the core but hey let's make money from it.
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Jebaim
Jebaim@Jebaim3·
Best names under 2b market cap? - Insiders with skin in the game - Low debt / Low risk of dilution - Turnarounds at an inflection point Any ideas?
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Jebaim
Jebaim@Jebaim3·
Shameless promotion of my very first substack article. 2CRSi $AL2SI 650mc with a goal of 1b in revenue next FY without any dilution. High insider ownership, ugly af name, even uglier ticker, growing backlog. It's not your $AXTI $AAOI or $LITE but is in demand and has a lot of upside. It's an AI play without dilution we've seen with $IREN and $NBIS. Comparable companies are $SMCI $DELL $CLS. Let me know what you think! (link in the first post).
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Jebaim
Jebaim@Jebaim3·
@KobeissiLetter "but you never get to the finish line with the Iranians" - true! Especially, when you attack them during negotiations. Twice.
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: President Trump says "there is a good chance [Iran makes a deal], but if they don't make a deal, I am blowing up everything over there," per Axios. Details include: 1. Mediators are "less optimistic" that a deal is close but say they will work to the last minute to reach at least a partial agreement to delay Trump's ultimatum 2. Iran has accused Trump of planning to commit war crimes and threatened to retaliate with similar attacks against infrastructure in Israel and the Gulf states 3. "The negotiations are going well, but you never get to the finish line with the Iranians," Trump said Futures open in 6 hours.
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Jebaim
Jebaim@Jebaim3·
I followed him closely for more than a year. I've seen enough. 200 tweets about BTC to 150k, about algos, about CIFR to 50, IREN to 200 etc. Way too cocky for my taste. Don't get too carried away trusting anyone. His only interest is his own, not yours or mine. Just saying, be careful brother. I wish you nothing but well.
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Jared
Jared@jwat_5·
@Jebaim3 I recommend looking at that influencer's public portfolio performance and track record as a board member instead of reading into satirical tweets, but good luck to you
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Jebaim
Jebaim@Jebaim3·
@jwat_5 $DBO.TO has an inflection point, 2CRSi too - with 0 risk of dilution or other capital raises.
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Jared
Jared@jwat_5·
What public micro/small cap growth company at an inflection point hasn’t had to issue shares to raise capital? Bakkt fits your criteria perfectly — massive inflection point with DTR acquisition closing and consumer products launching, significant capital raising behind them, and a sound balance sheet (likely ~$100M cash and no debt).
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