Tweet ghim
约瑟夫.罗德姆的批话TV
16K posts
约瑟夫.罗德姆的批话TV
@Joseph_Rodham
Hammurabi Pihua TV: Dedicated to ensuring everyone has a voice on the internet. 黄皮左逼永远支持DEM/反独裁统治/锡安主义/支持LGBTQ➕/支持人权/支持堕胎权/支持同性婚姻合法化/双相/Phd @Columbia/美国码➗
Cambridge MA Tham gia Ağustos 2023
1.8K Đang theo dõi591 Người theo dõi
@shentong2016 美国现在已经向中东部署第三艘航空母舰了，如果嘴王真打算不管，我认为他是不会向中东再部署一艘航母从弗吉尼亚州赶过去的。还是再耐心看看进展吧
中文
@Joseph_Rodham 綠王爺不開放領土，仗沒法打，最近嘴王又惹了電鋸王，就更不可能開放領土了
就是開放領土，想想伊拉克戰爭和阿富汗戰爭都分別花了2萬億美元以上
曠日持久
中文
石油是全球定价的大宗商品，美国不可能限制石油出口的，首先美国石油巨头就不会同意。WTI和布伦特原油基准价格由全球供需决定，假设美国真的限制国内石油出口，那只意味着国内原油供应增加，只会压低国内原油价格，而不是汽油零售价格🥴
暫時啥也不說@shentong2016
@Balder13946731 這樣的話中國和歐洲要自己同伊朗交涉了 而美國是產油國可以通過限制石油出口來控制國內油價 伊朗要是對每艘船都征收200萬美金的過路費，每年大概有5萬艘船通過霍爾姆斯海峽，一年收入就有1000億美金，佔伊朗財政收入的一半
中文
约瑟夫.罗德姆的批话TV đã retweet
iOS 27 is taking Siri to the next level!
A new report from Bloomberg a massive multitasking upgrade: Siri will finally be able to handle multiple requests from a single prompt (e.g., weather + calendar + messaging).
English
海军陆战队在一小时前发表新闻动态，美国海军“乔治·H·W·布什”号航空母舰打击群31日从弗吉尼亚州诺福克海军基地出发，计划前往中东。这将是美国在中东地区部署的第三艘航母🥴
中文
今天第三艘航空母舰“乔治·H·W·布什”号在赶往中东了，我认为这是事态升级的信号，乔治·H·W·布什”号一到，可能地面入侵就会同时展开行动。如果唐纳德.特朗普真如他所说离开伊朗，乔治·H·W·布什”号是绝对不会被派往中东执行任务的🥴
Balder@Balder13946731
我们来总结一下假如现在美国离开了伊朗，本次行动得到了什么： 1. 对伊朗的军事设施及高层造成了严重打击，但是其仍有实力对波斯湾沿岸、以色列和霍尔木兹海峡进行打击。 2.欧洲的盟友明确地疏离了美国，东亚盟友的信心遭受严重动摇。 3.4美元的油价，以及可能的严重通胀，资金抽离，无人问津的国债和崩溃的股市等等。 4.31天内额外支出的约2000亿美元的军费。 5. 人心涣散，选民支持率大幅下降，MAGA内部面临严重分裂。 一次苦涩的胜利，战而不能屈人之兵。
中文
@shentong2016 出口限制、价格管制、战略石油储备释放以及《琼斯法案》豁免，充其量只是川畜唯一的权宜之计罢了；最坏的情况下，这些干预措施不仅适得其反，同时也会加剧其下游影响。唯一的解决方式还是在于霍尔木兹海峡的开放🥴😵💫
中文
@Joseph_Rodham WTI完全可以孤立主義定價
很多人忘記了不久的歷史
1970年代的石油危機，就讓美國採取了長達40年的石油出口禁令，直到2015年，頁岩油革命導致美國石油產量爆發
中文
习神：我赢得太多了，我手里的牌太多了，看我怎么狠狠按黄毛头就完了🥴🤯
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86
JUST IN: The United States has fired 2,400 Patriot interceptors in 31 days. It manufactures 650 per year. Replenishment at current production takes three and a half years. It has consumed 40 percent of its global THAAD inventory. It produces fewer than 100 THAAD interceptors annually. Full replenishment takes four to five years. Each interceptor contains neodymium and samarium-cobalt magnets sourced from Chinese-controlled supply chains. The US defence rare earth stockpile has approximately two months remaining. Read those numbers again. The US military has consumed more precision weapons in one month than it can manufacture in three years, using materials it can only source from the country it may need to fight next. Every Patriot fired at an Iranian Fattah-2 over Riyadh is a Patriot that does not exist for a Chinese DF-21 over the Taiwan Strait. Every rare earth magnet consumed in Gulf interceptors is a magnet that cannot be installed in a replacement built for the Pacific. The Iran war is not just depleting American arsenals. It is depleting American deterrence against China. And the country counting the interceptors from both sides of the table, as supplier and as future adversary, is the same country hosting peace talks in Beijing right now. China controls 90 percent of rare earth refining. China produces 90 percent of the world’s high-performance magnets. China buys 80 to 91 percent of Iran’s oil exports. China provides BeiDou navigation and ammonium perchlorate propellant to the Iranian missiles that are forcing the US to burn through its interceptor stockpile. China is simultaneously the supplier of the weapons America is using, the supplier of the weapons Iran is using, the primary customer of the oil the war is disrupting, and the only country with the leverage to end the disruption. The arithmetic of the grand bargain is not complicated. The US needs Chinese rare earths to rebuild its interceptor inventory. China needs Hormuz open to receive Iranian oil. The US needs the war to end before its stockpiles hit zero. China needs tariff relief, semiconductor export control rollbacks, and Taiwan arms-sale restraint. Both sides need something only the other can provide. The question is not whether a deal happens. The question is how much of America’s strategic position in the Pacific gets traded for the minerals needed to survive the Gulf. RAND estimated that 78 percent of US defence contractors would face production shutdowns within 90 days of a Chinese rare earth cutoff. The 2027 deadline to ban Chinese-sourced magnets from Pentagon procurement is nine months away with no domestic alternative at scale. MP Materials operates the only US rare earth mine and ships its concentrate to China for processing. The mine-to-magnet supply chain that the Pentagon needs to survive a Taiwan contingency runs through the country the Taiwan contingency is designed to deter. This is not a supply chain problem. This is a civilisational dependency. The United States built the most advanced military in human history on materials processed by its principal strategic competitor. It is now fighting a war that burns through those materials at a rate that makes replenishment impossible without the competitor’s cooperation. And the competitor is sitting in a conference room in Beijing today, across the table from Pakistan’s foreign minister, calculating exactly how much of America’s future it can extract in exchange for the minerals America needs to have a future at all. The deal of the century is not a choice. It is arithmetic. And the arithmetic leads to Beijing. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
中文
☠️
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86
JUST IN: The United States has fired 2,400 Patriot interceptors in 31 days. It manufactures 650 per year. Replenishment at current production takes three and a half years. It has consumed 40 percent of its global THAAD inventory. It produces fewer than 100 THAAD interceptors annually. Full replenishment takes four to five years. Each interceptor contains neodymium and samarium-cobalt magnets sourced from Chinese-controlled supply chains. The US defence rare earth stockpile has approximately two months remaining. Read those numbers again. The US military has consumed more precision weapons in one month than it can manufacture in three years, using materials it can only source from the country it may need to fight next. Every Patriot fired at an Iranian Fattah-2 over Riyadh is a Patriot that does not exist for a Chinese DF-21 over the Taiwan Strait. Every rare earth magnet consumed in Gulf interceptors is a magnet that cannot be installed in a replacement built for the Pacific. The Iran war is not just depleting American arsenals. It is depleting American deterrence against China. And the country counting the interceptors from both sides of the table, as supplier and as future adversary, is the same country hosting peace talks in Beijing right now. China controls 90 percent of rare earth refining. China produces 90 percent of the world’s high-performance magnets. China buys 80 to 91 percent of Iran’s oil exports. China provides BeiDou navigation and ammonium perchlorate propellant to the Iranian missiles that are forcing the US to burn through its interceptor stockpile. China is simultaneously the supplier of the weapons America is using, the supplier of the weapons Iran is using, the primary customer of the oil the war is disrupting, and the only country with the leverage to end the disruption. The arithmetic of the grand bargain is not complicated. The US needs Chinese rare earths to rebuild its interceptor inventory. China needs Hormuz open to receive Iranian oil. The US needs the war to end before its stockpiles hit zero. China needs tariff relief, semiconductor export control rollbacks, and Taiwan arms-sale restraint. Both sides need something only the other can provide. The question is not whether a deal happens. The question is how much of America’s strategic position in the Pacific gets traded for the minerals needed to survive the Gulf. RAND estimated that 78 percent of US defence contractors would face production shutdowns within 90 days of a Chinese rare earth cutoff. The 2027 deadline to ban Chinese-sourced magnets from Pentagon procurement is nine months away with no domestic alternative at scale. MP Materials operates the only US rare earth mine and ships its concentrate to China for processing. The mine-to-magnet supply chain that the Pentagon needs to survive a Taiwan contingency runs through the country the Taiwan contingency is designed to deter. This is not a supply chain problem. This is a civilisational dependency. The United States built the most advanced military in human history on materials processed by its principal strategic competitor. It is now fighting a war that burns through those materials at a rate that makes replenishment impossible without the competitor’s cooperation. And the competitor is sitting in a conference room in Beijing today, across the table from Pakistan’s foreign minister, calculating exactly how much of America’s future it can extract in exchange for the minerals America needs to have a future at all. The deal of the century is not a choice. It is arithmetic. And the arithmetic leads to Beijing. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
ART
最高法院在1898年United States v. Wong Kim Ark中的裁决，以消解了任何可能存在的解释歧义。你无非是又开始在国内对着你那一群白痴基本盘吹狗哨，幻想你那群白痴基本盘可以让你肆无忌惮在中期选举发动暴力让你获胜。真抱歉，你的无能真令人感到悲哀，无论对内或是对外，你都是一个彻底的失败者🥴
Clash Report@clashreport
Trump: Birthright Citizenship has to do with the babies of slaves, not Chinese Billionaires who have 56 kids, all of whom “become” American Citizens. One of the many Great Scams of our time!
中文
约瑟夫.罗德姆的批话TV đã retweet
BREAKING: In a major blow to Donald Trump, a federal judge has permanently blocked the Trump administration from implementing a directive to end federal funding for NPR and PBS.
U.S. District Judge Randolph Moss, in a ruling issued Tuesday, wrote: “It is difficult to conceive of clearer evidence that a government action is targeted at viewpoints that the President does not like and seeks to squelch.”
English
约瑟夫.罗德姆的批话TV đã retweet
[🔗](@19-02-2020_06-45-03.jpg" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">api.tinyfox.dev/hourly/wahs/ph…)
约瑟夫.罗德姆的批话TV đã retweet
约瑟夫.罗德姆的批话TV đã retweet
约瑟夫.罗德姆的批话TV đã retweet
NOTE: Ultimate decision-making power in Iran does not rest with President Pezeshkian.
Clash Report@clashreport
Iranian President Pezeshkian confirmed that Iran is willing to end the war, provided its demands are met—especially guarantees that any aggression will not happen again.
English
约瑟夫.罗德姆的批话TV đã retweet
