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@JamesWynnReal You are saying that you are trading 500 million based on 4H candles and feeling, right?
English
People see the trades and think its some high level stupid gambling kinda shit, and yes it is. But it is backed by my own thesis. Which in turn, is a calculated risk.
Since local bottom of 74k bitcoin has remained in this channel. Touching the bottom acting as support just two times.
The 3rd yellow line drawn is the 3rd time it was going to touch it, these don't usually break on the 3rd time. In-fact, each time they touch it it is like a hammer on glass causing it to shatter and eventually it will break - usually the 5+ time it gets really weak. So i was confident it would hold.
I predicted the breakout on Sunday which turned out to be a fakeout from market manipulators supressing price and driving down price to liquidate all of the people that FOMO'd in on longs.
I follow the liquidation heatmaps and it didn't make much sense for them to drive price down any lower, they would have achieved what they wanted (liquidating longs) already by pushing down to $102.2k
There is also a HUGE psychological support at $100k now. I knew there would be fat limit orders in place at 99, 98, 97 etc. And I do not know if the big market movers would even have the power to drill price down as low as that, it seemed they was running out of steam.
When I saw this, thats when I decided to really step on the gas with my position value. Bulls was starting to engulf candles on the hourly and a lot of paper hands got shaken out.
We're also bullish on the weekly MACD for the first time since Nov/Dec. So you telling me we're really going to break down and break trend? I saw this just as short term noise/volatility before the huge bitcoin run up that is brewing.
I believe we will be trading at $118k by the end of next week. In for some more volatility in the meantime? Yes. But stay calm, dont fumble your bag, follow proper risk management and look forward to the new highs.
Nothing is financial advice, just my opinion:)
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最近节奏很快，快上快下，可能要突破，我倾向于向下。
1. 没有进一步利好预期
a. 俄乌在谈，但是磕磕绊绊
b. 关税贸易谈判短期没有落地的，川普和本森特还在威
胁不好好谈判，可能直接恢复4.2的水平
c. GENIUS法案有推进，但是通过还需要数周时间
Z@RoamingOnChain
Still holding, down only
中文
@captain_kole If I open a short now and lose will you pay me back
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$sol
Sold out of my spot bag near the highs (see previous tweet) and had positioned short on perps.
Focus has now shifted towards where Im looking to buy back in over the coming weeks / months
140-150s immediate level of interest - depends on the reaction, else 120s isnt out of the question.
Much hinges upon what bitcoin does next imo, which probs leans on whether we get a corrective move on es/nq
What do we think?
XO@Trader_XO
$SOL $90's > $180 Could have traded perps better tbh - didnt catch the move. But cashed out on a decent chunk of spot here.
English
我尼玛涨的真快，下次应该给个小仓位。
一切都是概率，应该避免“感觉”，“万一”等模糊性的判断，市场不会奖励你相信什么，而是奖励优势。
一切都是概率，判断需要落实到执行：进入、不进入、退出、不退出、进入一部分、退出一部分、观察
Z@RoamingOnChain
1. $FART 看起来是个不错的做多位置，但是 $ETH 万一回到Monday Low，它还有下跌空间 2. 现在情绪不如前几天，还需要再观察，坚挺还是开泄 $SUI $TAO $PEPE $WIF 同样
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