TheOneToCee
3K posts
TheOneToCee
@TheOneToCee
Post forecasts on different names using confluence between strategies. Check out my highlights. Nothing here is trading or financial advice.
Tham gia Temmuz 2021
91 Đang theo dõi691 Người theo dõi
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$SPX We went up ~5% unabated in one of the more vicious two day rally since April 2025.
So it’s not that bad we retrace a quarter ish of it tonight/tomorrow tbh.
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Here are my two main outcomes:
Purple path is bullish. It’s a full on impulse leg up after months of going nowhere
Green path is only bullish shorter term, technically being a dead cat bounce before a new impulse leg down
Seems 6800 should be possible for both cases but not 6900
Pupazzetto di Twitt_er@Skyz1984
@TheOneToCee Tgt 6900?
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Bulls stepped in when needed
Now $SPX is above the dashed trend line
Bulls want to see some consolidation take place to digest the move up and build the right shoulder before next leg up
A new low would invalidate the bullish case
TheOneToCee@TheOneToCee
Watching to see how we react to the $SPX trend line. So far great bounce from near the 3rd blue TL If it managed to break above the orange and then consolidate down slowly we can finally get a trend change
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Watching to see how we react to the $SPX trend line. So far great bounce from near the 3rd blue TL
If it managed to break above the orange and then consolidate down slowly we can finally get a trend change
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$SPX
6600 ✅
6490 ✅
6350 ✅
6200 👀
Bulls have a chance to step in on the 3rd blue trend line ~6280s which will be almost a 10% drop from the highs
Hopefully you raised some cash and lightened longs on my warning 🍻
TheOneToCee@TheOneToCee
$SPX rounded top, some targets incase we flush. I’d expect the lower targets to get hit Currently at the 2nd blue TL that has generated bounces, seems to be holding so far If it fails, I would be watch the following levels for a strong reversal The red is the 200 daily sma
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Keeping eye on crude oil, has potential to crash
This structure repeats way too often to ignore. We saw it in gold, silver, and plenty of stocks
IMPORTANT: need reversal first before entering ⚠️
This can still keep climbing very short term
$GLD $SLV $CL #oil
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“Stop and smell the roses” 🌹
Something I’ve been doing more and paying less attention to markets until more targets are hit or I see a change
Was exploring Utah national parks this week 🍻
TheOneToCee@TheOneToCee
$SPX rounded top, some targets incase we flush. I’d expect the lower targets to get hit Currently at the 2nd blue TL that has generated bounces, seems to be holding so far If it fails, I would be watch the following levels for a strong reversal The red is the 200 daily sma
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$SPX 2nd target reached 🤝
So far looks super bearish, black Monday soon? Not so fast
From previous year’s experience, we are at a big inflection point. Just right before all hell is expected to break loose, some major even usually in ends up ripping markets up instead of down. This has happened twice with Iran getting hit that has marked the low
Now, seems like a ground invasion this weekend is very possible. Question is will this make markets rip or crater? 🤷♂️
Fear and greed index is at 13, and the 5 day put/call ratio is at 0.9, everything seems to be flashing extreme fear
I lean on the side of bounce soon, but won’t be surprised if we go straight to my 3rd target on Monday which is also at the 3rd major trend line and that should be a major buying opportunity imo
I have been telling to be cautious and I have cash on the side to take advantage of this opportunity, hope you listened 🍻
$SPX $NDX $SPY $QQQ
TheOneToCee@TheOneToCee
$SPX rounded top, some targets incase we flush. I’d expect the lower targets to get hit Currently at the 2nd blue TL that has generated bounces, seems to be holding so far If it fails, I would be watch the following levels for a strong reversal The red is the 200 daily sma
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For $NVDA bears eyes only 🐻 ⚠️
So far $NVDA is sandwiched between the 200 sma and the 10/20/50 ema
Today’s Jensen comment gave a nice pump but now it’s below where it started showing weakness
Simple TA looks like a bear flag
Overall good r:r if you’re bearish. Soft invalidation is give and hard invalidation would be $203.45 (hard inv. not worth it)
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$AIRS wild chart
Seems like a pretty clean correction structure since its high in 2021 and now it’s up 55% on insane volume
Low float and high short-interest 👀
If @wallstreetbets gets in, this can be a very fun name
BDC@BlueDuckCap
Big news is $AIRS and a setup that continues to jump off the page in terms of squeeze risk. Per Bloomberg the stock has 70% SI. But where's the float? Vesey Street owns 49%. Aaron Rollins (founder) owns 24% and changed his filing to 13D, indicating he's no longer passive. Jorey Chernett, a prominent health care investor, owns 10%. Thrivent at 9%, Parian Ultreia at 5% and affiliated entities another chunk. That's ~100% of the float. The top 2 holders can't sell at over 20%. They just reported that comps turned positive in Feb and guided above the Street for Q1 revenues. Should do $25mn in adj ebitda, against $44mn in debt, so substantially de-levered now. Cost of GLP-1 has collapsed and the skin tightening opportunity remains very much in the foreground as the company has retooled stores to address this with marketing on the way. Most $GME like setup in a stock we've seen in a long time. Not advice, just pointing out a pretty interesting special sit. @wallstreetbets
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$SPX weekly chart looks horrible
So far it has a clean rounded top structure, very rare for high time frame. The only other time I could find was 2015 and it isn’t clean like the current one
It is below the 10 and 20 weekly ema’s and roughly below the blue trend line that goes back years
E.W. Makes you want to be long because many, including myself, see this as a larger W4 anticipating nATH to come, but the simple TA cannot be ignored
Be cautious ⚠️
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Might be the most bullish catalyst we’ve seen for the global economy
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$SPX did drop very close to the first target, was shy by 35 points. Is bottom in?
Bulls do have a shot but it is close to invalidation. One good headline can move us up very strongly
Crypto has held very well so far. Only name that leans me bearish is $NVDA
Here is the bullish count on $ES using it for $SPX
TheOneToCee@TheOneToCee
$SPX rounded top, some targets incase we flush. I’d expect the lower targets to get hit Currently at the 2nd blue TL that has generated bounces, seems to be holding so far If it fails, I would be watch the following levels for a strong reversal The red is the 200 daily sma
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$SPX rounded top, some targets incase we flush. I’d expect the lower targets to get hit
Currently at the 2nd blue TL that has generated bounces, seems to be holding so far
If it fails, I would be watch the following levels for a strong reversal
The red is the 200 daily sma
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$ARM is looking phenomenal
Massive inverse head and shoulders on the weekly
On the 1h time frame it is a classic reversal structure. I bet @ChandlerTrading would like this set up especially if an entry is given (check his pinned comment)
I’ll be genuinely annoyed if I get stopped on my starter position
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“The more we keep popping back strong the harsher the flush will be”
We getting a nice flush today, wish I had kept more of my $SPXS shares
We are getting very close to a trend line that has potential for a strong bounce
If bears manage to slice through, it will be very ugly. I’m going to be out of shorts soon
$SPX $NDX
PS: the original ABC correction I sent was early, we did end up getting it just over longer period than anticipated 🤦♂️
TheOneToCee@TheOneToCee
I haven’t posted for a minute, mainly because my view hasn’t changed, just chop before a drop The more we keep popping back strong the harsher the flush will be Am I full port short and cash? No. Very light short, still have my longs but do have decent cash to buy a dip. Healthy balance of everything
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I haven’t posted for a minute, mainly because my view hasn’t changed, just chop before a drop
The more we keep popping back strong the harsher the flush will be
Am I full port short and cash? No. Very light short, still have my longs but do have decent cash to buy a dip. Healthy balance of everything
TheOneToCee@TheOneToCee
$SPX post for the bears 🐻: Seems as an impulse down and we are about to have some chop until next week Just pray it doesn’t get invalidated or may the Lord have mercy bc the bulls should step in hard As for my 2¢, this can be the first leg down or the wC of the large correction we been having. I am pretty heavy long but did just take some stuff off to raise cash since I realized I was almost out 👀
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@MauroBianchi24 Happy to see you back. Kinda scary how quickly these years went by damn
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