Ben Bear

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Ben Bear

Ben Bear

@BenBear

Cofounder, CEO @_TurboHome + @BuildCasa. Tweets abt housing, policy, and startups. Prev CEO @ Spin (acquired by @Ford) + VP @ Vungle (acquired by @Blackstone).

Oakland, CA Tham gia Aralık 2009
1.5K Đang theo dõi7.5K Người theo dõi
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Ben Bear
Ben Bear@BenBear·
Charlie Munger has a famous quote: "Show me the incentives, and I'll show you the outcome." Both political parties have made homeownership a key priority while decrying the rise of build to rent communities funded by Wall Street. One big driver is that the tax code is nearly twice as favorable if new homes are sold to investors vs. homeowners. Today in the @washingtonpost I argue that by creating tax parity, we can incentivize developers to build hundreds of thousands of starter homes without the need for subsidies, creating 2-3 new good paying construction jobs for every home built.
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Ben Bear
Ben Bear@BenBear·
@JoeRobbie_ It’s a completely different throwing motion and release
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Ben Bear
Ben Bear@BenBear·
Totally agree although I think Pratt benefits a lot from already being famous. If he was just some middle aged dude, I doubt he would have the reach. He clearly has very good media instincts which is why he got famous in the first place (aside from being lucky that MTV did a reality show in his town). There were plenty of people on that show who didn’t get as famous. My current sense is that absent a big citizens united change is that politicians in the future will consist of good billionaires (Bloomberg, Lurie, Caruso etc), bad billionaires (Trump), and influencers who know how to capture attention cheaply bc they have the natural ability to go viral. Finding, developing, and supporting the people with the potential to excel seems like the best path forward. This feels especially true in big media market states like CA and for national elections where you can’t meet everyrone. Ben Sasse talked about being able to meet or speak to like 1/3 of voters in Nebraska during his first senate campaign. Not sure he would get elected in CA bc he couldnt do that. It’s one of the reasons I think Mahan would have a much better chance of winning in a smaller state. He’s a 5 minute guy vs a soundbite guy.
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Moses Kagan
Moses Kagan@moseskagan·
@BenBear Good comment Repeated virality is really good, but I think that requires true talent (as you say). But even getting our candidates to some kind of baseline level of competency (of the type Spencer Pratt is now displaying) would help a *ton*.
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Moses Kagan
Moses Kagan@moseskagan·
Small business idea: Marketing consulting for moderate local politicians in Blue cities / states (I know this sounds nuts, but hear me out.): - Local politics, in particular, are more and more about social media (both for branding and as top of the funnel for email and text lists) and less and less about TV ads and mailers - Left-wing pols, who tend to be younger anyway, are TT / Insta natives who "get" social. They also have access to tons of young, under-employed creatives who lean their direction politically and are willing to work for ~free - More moderate, business-friendly candidates tend to skew older and less comfortable with, and fluent in, SM. In my experience, they are vastly under-exploiting these mediums. - But moderate candidates have (or can raise) $$ from donors The opportunity: - Create an agency bringing together talented (probably younger) story-tellers who are naturally moderate to help moderate candidates with messaging... videos, X posts, email and text list building, etc. - Use each campaign to test themes, messaging, formats, etc. - Apply lessons learned across campaigns - Scale up (Am so confident the need for this exists that I am trying to make my oldest son volunteer on a campaign this summer, to see if he might want to do this as a career.)
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Ben Bear
Ben Bear@BenBear·
@bobbyfijan @AdamNMayer Price and something that feels like a house even if tiny are the features people want the most
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Bobby Fijan
Bobby Fijan@bobbyfijan·
@AdamNMayer I don’t disgreee … except that the fundamental limitation in housing is price It’s not people clamoring for something nicer where they’d gladly pay more
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Bobby Fijan
Bobby Fijan@bobbyfijan·
I have ZERO interest in competing with Lennar Their construction costs are incomprehensibly low.
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Ben Bear
Ben Bear@BenBear·
@JamesSurowiecki Much different release point for a baseball than a football. Notice that none of the 2 way players have ever been QBs or pitchers.
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Padideh Goodspeed
Padideh Goodspeed@padigoodspeed·
April closes with 268 loan applications, $178.6M in volume. 55% of these apps are from first time homebuyers. The FTHB stat always puts a smile on my face. 47 units, $31.2M Funded My focus is excellent service, consistent results, unmatched solutions, and killer teamwork. 🌸
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Ben Bear
Ben Bear@BenBear·
@joshelman Big fan of Slootman’s description of markets as elevators. Some are going up fast, some are going down, and some are going up slowly. Execution is important but doesn’t matter if you get on the wrong elevator.
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Ben Bear
Ben Bear@BenBear·
In the early days at Vungle (now Liftoff), the canonical VC wisdom was that adtech was played out, mobile gaming was niche, and if it became big Google/Meta would own the whole pie. We knew that was totally wrong bc publishers wouldn’t trust them with core ad infrastructure. Took a while to shake out, but Adam kept his head down and built a generational profit machine in the space. From friends that have worked with him, Applovin seems like a fascinating company. Very few meetings and incredibly high performance bar.
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Josh Elman
Josh Elman@joshelman·
I remember meeting Adam in the early days. I felt this incredible tension between believing in Adam and his ability to change the world and strong questions and aversions to funding ad platforms given historical lack of moat and business. The logic beat the heart - was wrong!!
Harry Stebbings@HarryStebbings

Adam Foroughi is by far one of the best CEOs I have ever interviewed. Candidly he is insanely stern and cold but also obsessive, focused and utterly brilliant. With Adam there is zero fluff, like none. He says what he means and means what he says. Applovin does $10M EBITDA per head. They have 80%+ margins. They do $5.48BN in revenue. No business on the planet has numbers like Applovin. Following the discussion, I wrote up my biggest lessons from sitting down with him and summarised them below: 1. Are People Ready for the AI Future That Is Within Every Company? True AI integration requires a massive "leveling up" of talent. Companies must be honest about the path forward: keeping employees who fail to adopt AI creates a "blockade" to reaching a truly AI-native state. Consequently, we should expect continued tech layoffs as organizations prioritize efficiency over legacy headcount. 2. Biggest Advice on Token Budgeting and Token Maxing? Treating tokens as a simple budget or leaderboard is "flawed logic". If you incentivize raw usage, teams will simply create high-volume "crap" that burns capital without driving revenue. Instead, optimize for specific KPIs where token consumption aligns directly with business growth; when revenue is on the other side, the "budget" mindset disappears. 3. Can You Have a Team Full of Only A Players? An organization cannot thrive if A players are surrounded by B, C, or D players. AppLovin slimmed its HR department from 80 people to 15 by retaining only "doers" who don't get bogged down in the process. The goal is a lean culture of individual contributors who want to make a difference without needing heavy management layers. 4. Do the Majority of Company Teams Need to Be Rebuilt for the Technology We Have Today? If a role is likely to be automated, or if a department is too slow to adopt AI, it is time to rebuild that organization from the ground up. Foroughi cut staff by 40-50% in most departments during a year of triple-digit growth to force the organization into an automated, efficient state. 5. Why Investors Need to Give Ceos Better Comp Packages Founders take massive risks to build something out of nothing, and they need continued upside to stay mentally motivated. If a CEO is expected to work without performance-based incentives, they may drift toward new ventures rather than staying committed to the "lonely, stressful" task of scaling a public company. 6. Why This $160 Billion Company Does Not Have Any Learning and Development Structured L&D is often disconnected from the reality of high-performance work. The best employees are curious enough to figure things out on their own. By documenting all communication in transcripts and chats, new hires can use AI models to summarize tribal knowledge and develop themselves more effectively than any formal training program. (links below)

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foley (follard)
foley (follard)@follard·
Hey friends, please meet my friend /the Duplex King of Houston / Duplex Donny / Donovan Adesoro. He has an incredible story. Never met someone who is so widely respected by his peers. While sub-institutional development is full of bad actors and cowboys, D is the real deal! Let's build! 🛠️
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Shawn Gorham
Shawn Gorham@shawngorham·
4 weeks and 1 day from close to back on the market My 3rd condo ever to flip. 1. I bought at the right price 2. End unit 3. 2 car attached garage 4. Nobody in front of me (views) 5. 3 bedrooms and over 1700 sq feet 6. Far less than you can buy a SF house for in the area
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Andrew Damitio 🏗️ (🏬🚝☢️🔆🔋♨️)
YIMBYism has existed for long enough that we're now seeing success stories from cities that adopted pro-housing policy. After legalizing middle housing, Portland is seeing new construction (2024-now) townhomes & 2-6-plex units selling for $300-$400k. The starter home is back!
Andrew Damitio 🏗️ (🏬🚝☢️🔆🔋♨️) tweet mediaAndrew Damitio 🏗️ (🏬🚝☢️🔆🔋♨️) tweet mediaAndrew Damitio 🏗️ (🏬🚝☢️🔆🔋♨️) tweet mediaAndrew Damitio 🏗️ (🏬🚝☢️🔆🔋♨️) tweet media
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Kim-Mai Cutler
Kim-Mai Cutler@kimmaicutler·
None of the billionaire tax coverage about Sergey Brin in Bloomberg or the NYTimes reports the most important structural detail of why he opposes it so much more than Jensen. It taxes voting shares as ownership. It taxes Page and Brin as if they own 50+% or >$2 trillion of Google rather than 3% each. Jensen does not have super voting shares so he is just taxed like his actual ownership of Nvidia. Imagine if you were taxed like you earned 10 times as much as you actually did last year. @bizcarson @teddyschleifer
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Ben Bear
Ben Bear@BenBear·
For top end work, the perplexity modal agnostic bet seems great. If you compare to ad networks, having a mediation layer is a big benefit in terms of always getting the best model for a given task. The downside is you lose out on the subsidization the foundation model companies provide.
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Sheel Mohnot
Sheel Mohnot@pitdesi·
5.5 is pretty good the gap between the top models for normal users feels smaller than ever.
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