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Michael A. Gayed, CFA
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Michael A. Gayed, CFA
@leadlagreport
Portfolio Manager of The Free Markets ETF ( $FMKT ), The ATAC Credit Rotation ETF ( $JOJO ), & The ATAC Rotation Fund ( $ATACX )
Click link for research Tham gia Aralık 2010
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Everyone.
Please.
Read this.
And show support by reposting and sharing it to everyone you know.
Michael A. Gayed, CFA@leadlagreport
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@leadlagreport Superb. Following you is the next best thing to having clear vision.
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“ What is the “disposition effect”?
The disposition effect is a well-documented behavioral finance bias where investors tend to:
• Sell winning positions (assets that have risen a lot) too early — to lock in gains and feel good about realizing profits.
• Hold onto losing positions too long — hoping to avoid realizing a loss (and the associated regret/pain).
It’s the opposite of the rational “cut your losses and let your winners run” approach.
The thesis Michael Gayed is referring to
From his prior commentary (including an earlier post explicitly saying “Remember this was the thesis”), Gayed has been arguing for some time that gold — after a massive multi-year run-up (reaching well above $5,000/oz, up ~71% in a single year per related context) — had become the classic “big winner” in portfolios.
In a risk-off or liquidity-crunch environment, investors (especially leveraged ones facing margin calls from other positions) would preferentially sell the gold first to raise cash, precisely because it was the asset showing large unrealized gains. Selling losers feels psychologically worse, so the disposition effect makes gold the “first to go” when liquidity is needed”
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