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Shay Boloor
Shay Boloor@StockSavvyShay·
Imagine being $MU CEO Sanjay Mehrotra right now: • You just generated $16B in operating profit this quarter after doing only $8B in revenue a year ago • Operating Margin 69% vs Est. 62% (nearly 7 points above what Wall Street modeled) • You guided revenue ~40% above expectations, guided to a record 81% margin, raised the dividend 30% & still trade at under 10x forward earnings Stock is down 5%.
Shay Boloor tweet mediaShay Boloor tweet media
Shay Boloor@StockSavvyShay

This AI cycle is fundamentally different from every prior memory supercycle in $MU history. Past supercycles were driven by unit volume growth with more phones + servers buying largely commoditized DRAM but but this one is a capacity-constrained cycle where HBM sells at ~5x conventional DRAM ASPs. Hyperscalers are willing to pay whatever it takes because the real cost is leaving massive GPU clusters underutilized. That is how Micron ends up producing $16B of operating profit in a single quarter.

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Pulkit Mehra
Pulkit Mehra@Agent_X001·
@StockSavvyShay Stocks currently are very unpredictable. I bought sofi, they beat estimates and the stock went down and now I am 20% down. I did not buy coin, they did not beat estimates and the stock is up.
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Greg
Greg@strickcmb82·
@Agent_X001 @StockSavvyShay COIN WAS down due to Bitcoin being at 60k. Now at 72K. Coin will be over 300$ at 100k Bitcoin. 450$ 125k Bitcoin.
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Pulkit Mehra
Pulkit Mehra@Agent_X001·
@strickcmb82 @StockSavvyShay Yeah, I am aware of that. What I was trying to say that post earnings, which it missed, the stock still went up. It had nothing to do with BTC, which lately has been going up.
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Greg
Greg@strickcmb82·
@Agent_X001 @StockSavvyShay I’ve owned COIN since 2021. Rode that wave from 300 down to 20 or whatever it dropped and then back up to 450. It rides that Bitcoin roller coaster for sure.
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Greg
Greg@strickcmb82·
@Agent_X001 @StockSavvyShay End of the day. Cross reference the weekly MACD of Bitcoin and COIN stock and you can pin point some easy swing trades if you have the patience
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