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chris@dadgumboxscores·2 Nis

Every Final Four since 1985 Highlights appearances during this span for the 2026 Final Four teams: UConn, Illinois, Arizona, and Michigan Since 1985 . . . Most titles 6....UConn 5....Duke 4....North Carolina Most FF appearances: 14...Duke 12...North Carolina 10...Kansas

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Fifth Factor Plots@5th_Factor·26 Mar

@banamazing @UNC_Basketball @dadgumboxscores kind of like Elo or RPI, it is a "Simple Rating System" that takes into account schedule strength and margin of victory it is one of the easiest stats to pull for many teams going back many (>30) years sports-reference.com/cbb/schools/

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banamazing@banamazing·25 Mar

@5th_Factor @UNC_Basketball @dadgumboxscores What is SRS?

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Fifth Factor Plots@5th_Factor·24 Mar

I don't know if anyone knows what "The Standard" at @UNC_Basketball is, but the best visual breakdown I've seen is from @dadgumboxscores open.substack.com/pub/blessyourc…

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Fifth Factor Plots@5th_Factor·6 Kas

It has only been one game, but this @UNC_Basketball team will need to play differently So far that seems to be the case: -18% more makes assisted -more 3pt balance -fewer long jumpers Keep an eye on @dadgumboxscores' blessyourchart.substack.com for more shot charts!

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Fifth Factor Plots@5th_Factor·18 Mar

Re-loaded these with updated Yahoo bracket picks and...

GIF

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Fifth Factor Plots@5th_Factor·18 Mar

#MarchMadness2025 Bracket Odds: Yahoo! vs. @totally_t_bomb Tough decision? Might as well lean towards making headway in your pool! Bigger pool? Pick a rare champ to increase your chances! I expect the Yahoo! odds will shift, so I'll re-share later Work w/@dadgumboxscores

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Fifth Factor Plots@5th_Factor·17 Mar

Bracket Odds loading... Yep, I'll run these back tomorrow night 👍🏻

Fifth Factor Plots@5th_Factor

#MarchMadness2024 Bracket Odds! Using Yahoo! this season, which is favorite heavy (comparing w/@totally_t_bomb's odds) Tough decision? Might as well lean towards making headway in your pool! Bigger pool? Pick a rare champ to increase your chances! Work w/@dadgumboxscores

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Fifth Factor Plots@5th_Factor·17 Mar

@nuggetpalooza @RL_Bynum Seems like Tuesday! I guess both play-ins are for Friday sites, so the UNC/SDSU winner will get an extra day of rest

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Gary M@nuggetpalooza·17 Mar

@5th_Factor @RL_Bynum Especially since our region starts Friday.

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R.L. Bynum@RL_Bynum·17 Mar

UNC's First Four game is Tuesday, per #UNC

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Bryan Ives@awaytoworthy·17 Mar

North Carolina’s ranks among the 8 teams in the “Last 4 In” and “First 4 Out” NET: 1st WAB: 1st KenPom: 1st Non-Con SOS: 1st Q1 W-L: 8th Understandable to think the Q1 record would keep them out but the other metrics were strong. Time to focus on things other Quads.

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Fifth Factor Plots@5th_Factor·17 Mar

@SethBurn @totally_t_bomb On Thursday, after a long conference tourney

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Seth Burn@SethBurn·17 Mar

@totally_t_bomb Being in Denver against BYU could be brutal. :(

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Bart T🏀rvik@totally_t_bomb·17 Mar

Wisconsin a 3-seed not in Milwaukee is so ridiculous.

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Fifth Factor Plots@5th_Factor·17 Mar

From Tar Heels everywhere... Thank you @SethBurn #NewMetrics

Seth Burn@SethBurn

I've run the algorithmic bracket: #gid=128317064" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d… One thing I'd like to note is that every version of WAB or strength of record would have UNC safely in. They are 41st in my average, 42nd per @totally_t_bomb , 43rd per NET WAB. ESPN's BPI SOR has them 38th. They belong.

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Seth Burn@SethBurn·16 Mar

I've run the algorithmic bracket: #gid=128317064" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d… One thing I'd like to note is that every version of WAB or strength of record would have UNC safely in. They are 41st in my average, 42nd per @totally_t_bomb , 43rd per NET WAB. ESPN's BPI SOR has them 38th. They belong.

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Fifth Factor Plots@5th_Factor·16 Mar

@totally_t_bomb @SethBurn math + the Heels? You have my attention

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Bart T🏀rvik@totally_t_bomb·16 Mar

@SethBurn Much Ado About Quads

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Bart T🏀rvik@totally_t_bomb·16 Mar

If UNC gets in, they’ll have WAB to thank, methinks (sorry I’ve been watching Shakespeare)

Seth Burn@SethBurn

I've run the algorithmic bracket: #gid=128317064" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d… One thing I'd like to note is that every version of WAB or strength of record would have UNC safely in. They are 41st in my average, 42nd per @totally_t_bomb , 43rd per NET WAB. ESPN's BPI SOR has them 38th. They belong.

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Fifth Factor Plots@5th_Factor·16 Mar

Probably worth re-sharing this WAB walkthrough, been hearing a lot about it today

Fifth Factor Plots@5th_Factor

You may be hearing a lot about this "WAB"... what is it exactly?!? Here's my attempted explainer, I hope folks find it useful, and apologies in advance for the math on a Friday afternoon 🤓 (also - h/t to @totally_t_bomb's site where I got the data)

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Fifth Factor Plots@5th_Factor·4 May

@buzzbeatpod I don't use Spotify for podcasts, so far all intents and purposes this should be what a non-sub sees 👍🏻

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Buzz Beat Podcast@buzzbeatpod·3 May

@5th_Factor Thanks! Yeah I’m trying to see if it even shows up for non-subscribers.

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Buzz Beat Podcast@buzzbeatpod·3 May

Question for our Spotify users: can you search and see Buzz Beat+ even if you aren’t a subscriber? Want to know how it looks for non-subscribers. Thanks!

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Fifth Factor Plots@5th_Factor·26 Mar

A fun look at Bracket Luck from a WAB-y point of view Basically "how likely is an above average team to have won your two games"

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Fifth Factor Plots@5th_Factor·25 Mar

Classic, pick the worst version of a counterargument and argue against that 👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻

Seth Davis@SethDavisHoops

Why do people defending the ACC leave out Virginia?

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Fifth Factor Plots@5th_Factor·25 Mar

@andreweatherman i definitely agree with this take also i have yet to see someone properly take into account the fact that leaving out a league's 9 & 10-seeds means that league is more likely to have more wins (yes, v. expectation helps, but it is hard to know how Pitt/Wake would have done)

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Andrew Weatherman@andreweatherman·25 Mar

Wins against KenPom expectation through first weekend + play-in: OUTPERFORMING 📈 - ACC (+2.45 wins; 8-1) - PAC-12 (+1.24; 6-3) - Big East (+1.14; 6-0) UNDERPERFORMING 📉 - SEC (-2.00 wins; 5-6) - Big 12 (-1.79; 7-6) - MWC (-0.77; 4-5) - Big Ten (-0.33; 6-4)

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