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CandlePilot

@CandlePilot

19/Stocks and shares ISA/Documenting the Journey. £300 invested weekly, Join my journey as I upload everything. Will also upload news

United Kingdom 加入时间 Eylül 2025
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CandlePilot
CandlePilot@CandlePilot·
Welcome. This account is dedicated to breaking down the stock market with clear, analysis. No hype. No "1000% gains." No pump-and-dumps. Just: 📈 Technical analysis 📰 Breaking news that matters Why not follow to become a smarter investor rather than chasing the hot stocks
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CandlePilot
CandlePilot@CandlePilot·
$NOK analysis Nokia is one of those stocks that always seems to come up when people talk about "turnaround" opportunities. The problem is, I've been hearing that story for years. Don't get me wrong—this isn't a bad company. Nokia is still a major player in telecom infrastructure, has a strong patent portfolio, and continues to generate solid cash flow. It's also investing in areas like private 5G networks and cloud infrastructure. But when I look at the next decade, I struggle to see where the explosive growth comes from. The telecom equipment market is mature, spending from mobile carriers tends to be cyclical, and competition from companies like Ericsson and Huawei remains intense. Even if Nokia executes well, that doesn't automatically translate into exceptional shareholder returns. Could the stock move higher? Of course. If telecom spending improves or new contracts accelerate growth, investors could be rewarded. But personally, I don't see Nokia as a stock with massive upside. I'd much rather own businesses benefiting directly from long-term trends like AI infrastructure, semiconductors or cloud computing than a company relying on gradual improvements in a slow-growing industry. That's why Nokia isn't on my watchlist. Not because it's a bad business, but because I think there are simply better opportunities elsewhere. When capital is limited, I'd rather invest where I see stronger long-term tailwinds than hope a turnaround story finally delivers.
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CandlePilot
CandlePilot@CandlePilot·
@Muzzlebuster That's a really interesting read mate. Thank you for sharing your analysis!
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David Perlmutter
David Perlmutter@Muzzlebuster·
@CandlePilot I've been buying $TEA.AX x.com/i/status/20759…
David Perlmutter@Muzzlebuster

$TEA.AX Tasmea Ltd. is an extremely capital efficient business. That’s important because it means that they are a value generator. Tasmea earned roughly 20% ROIC in FY24, rising to about 27% in FY25 (NOPAT near $52m on invested capital near $195m). Cost of capital likely hovers somewhere around 9 - 11%, so Tasmea is creating real economic value, not just accounting profit. As massive shareholders in the company, the management makes it easy on themselves by buying top businesses at around 5X EBITDA and plugging them into an ecosystem that the market is more than willing to value at 10+X EBITDA. Tasmea's cash conversion is stellar, hovering around 100%. This is because they run an asset-light business that doesn't require a lot of upkeep and maintenance capex. Their money is made by providing services that they are simply better at providing than anybody else. And the services that they provide are non-discretionary, meaning that clients must spend the money to service their heavy operational assets, come rain or shine. The alternative would be shutting down. Every top acquisition adds to Tasmea’s expertise, adds to their position as an all-in-one solution for clients, and adds to their ability to cross-sell services to clients, pushing their margins higher and higher. And that's exactly what we've seen. With Australia being massive in size, bigger than Europe in fact, and with massive secular trends underway, especially in electrification and data center build-outs, Tasmea's value-creation runway is decades-long. Their growth has been fast and their guidance is nothing short of interesting. Though they tend to bury their own guidance, if we simply choose to take it at face value and run modest price projections, the stock is extremely attractive. In the $3.5 to $5 range I was pounding the table and writing articles on this company. Now in the $8 to $9 range the attractiveness has not changed because Tasmea has surprised us with incredible deals resulting in incredible earnings growth. The management seems to agree about the stock's attractiveness because they keep buying their own stock. Steven Young, the managing director, bought stock on the open market as recently as this week. Management owns 50-60% of the company's stock between them. They want the stock price to go up as much as I do. Oh, and Tasmea is set to be included in Australia's major indexes very soon. That will result in a lot of forced buying, on top of every other tailwind. Not financial advice. $TEA.AX has become my largest position in an extremely concentrated portfolio.

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CandlePilot
CandlePilot@CandlePilot·
If you had £100,000 to invest today, what's the first stock you'd buy?
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El Pelado De La TV
El Pelado De La TV@peladodelatv·
Pasa el tiempo y este video me sigue destruyendo. Es el desahogo de toda una vida sufriendo a la par. Detrás de Messi, el mejor jugador de la historia hay una lealtad absoluta.
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ESPN FC
ESPN FC@ESPNFC·
Haaland with a smirk standing across from England before the anthems 🍿
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433@433·
🚨 𝐁𝐑𝐄𝐀𝐊𝐈𝐍𝐆: FIFA president Gianni Infantino says a World Cup with 64 nations is possible in the future 🌍🏆 “That’s definitely an issue that will be examined (…) after this World Cup,” Infantino told Blue Win 🗣️ “When organizing a World Cup, it’s important to organize it for the whole world — not just Europe and South America, but effectively the entire world 🌎 Every nation should be allowed to dream of participating in the World Cup ✨”
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Sansürsüz
Sansürsüz@sansurszpr0fiI·
Enerjiyle yumrukları durdurabileceğini iddia eden bu adam, bir boksöre meydan okuyor.
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Wild Clips
Wild Clips@JCFights·
Kaká received a yellow card and then this happened
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CandlePilot
CandlePilot@CandlePilot·
$META is a $1200 stock trading at $670
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CandlePilot 已转推
CandlePilot
CandlePilot@CandlePilot·
Discussing $ASML in great detail. The AI race has a hidden problem. Everyone is asking who will build the smartest models, the fastest GPUs, or the biggest data centres. But almost nobody asks: Who makes the machines that allow all of them to exist? That is where $ASML becomes one of the most interesting companies in technology. ASML isn't competing with NVIDIA, AMD or TSMC. It's supplying the tools that allow those companies to keep pushing forward. Its EUV lithography machines are essential for producing the world's most advanced chips. Without ASML, companies building the next generation of AI hardware would face a much bigger challenge. That creates something rare in business: A company sitting at a critical point in the entire technology supply chain. The more advanced AI becomes, the more important semiconductor manufacturing becomes. Smaller, more powerful chips require increasingly complex production, and ASML is one of the few companies capable of providing the technology needed. The reason I find ASML so interesting is that it doesn't need to predict which AI company wins. NVIDIA could lead. AMD could gain share. New AI companies could emerge. ASML benefits from the entire industry needing better chips. Of course, the risks are real. Semiconductor cycles can be brutal, export restrictions remain a concern, and expectations are already high because investors understand the quality of the business. But quality businesses with strong competitive advantages are rarely found at cheap valuations. Personally, I think ASML is one of the few companies where a 3x return over the next decade is a realistic possibility if AI investment continues and semiconductor demand keeps expanding. The biggest AI opportunities might not always be the companies everyone is talking about. Sometimes they are the companies making the impossible possible.
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CandlePilot
CandlePilot@CandlePilot·
@stockupsideio I did a analysis yesterday explaining further. I'll self repost it now (to bring it to the top) if you yourself or anyone would like to read.
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CandlePilot
CandlePilot@CandlePilot·
$ASML Is a $3500 stock trading at $1790
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