QuantNug

12.8K posts

QuantNug

@QuantNug

Hedge fund Quant. 10Y trading SPX. I build the models the desk wishes it had - dealer flow, gamma levels, automated signals.

加入时间 Şubat 2023

36 关注2.3K 粉丝

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QuantNug@QuantNug·13 May

So - pinning this tweet here: Its May 12th 2026. In 2 months time $SPY will be 820, by September SPY will be 850-870, and by November 15th SPY will be trading anywhere between 870-920. Inflation is out of control, Trump is out of control. Markets have gone nuts. Time to buy again

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QuantNug@QuantNug·6h

$SPY is also stuck in positive gamma/delta on the day as well... Makes it REALLY hard to be a bear long term. Just need an index level to get long and get a squeeze cooking upwards again... Cough cough... Some $SPX levels (7500-7475) are really dominant right now for that.

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QuantNug@QuantNug·7h

Still just playing lightly today. Earlier we got out 7540 $SPX positive #Gamma call wall to trigger this quick sell down for the time being - as you can see here using the backtest we can clearly see exactly where the index sold from... Just a waiting game for now still.

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QuantNug@QuantNug·7h

$SPY and $QQQ V shapes are still in effect every minute for today. DO not be fooled by any pullback yet guys... 7500 $SPX is the FULL port long by the way for what it's worth as of right now... Just keep that in mind for the time being. 750 SPY just hit also - THEY may V it.

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QuantNug@QuantNug·9h

Good morning guys. Today could actually be a relatively interested day as most $SPX positions are wanting to be traded at lower prices today... I THINK that alone can absolutely cause a bit of a drift towards the lower end today... The trick is though we need a trigger to sell...

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QuantNug@QuantNug·4d

I have no clue what will eventually force an insane market maker derived collapse on futures, but eventually it will happen... Negative gamma from insane skew is forcing futures to trade in an insanely whack way... Eventually demand will completely dry up, not sure when.

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QuantNug@QuantNug·4d

This kind of Iran news every single day is completely out of hand... $SPX - took profits up here on longs... I don't think Trump / Bessent really know what they have done to markets with this #Gamma squeeze they hit... This is extremely dangerous for bulls at this point.

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QuantNug@QuantNug·4d

@BITCOINFUNDMGR If only this guy watched market maker positioning… he would know that the market has not topped yet. But it’s getting close to

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Wall Street NYC Quant. bitcoin-fund-manager.com@BITCOINFUNDMGR·4d

Can I just say something without everyone getting all upset? You know those moments in time when you can point to one specific event and say, "yeah, that was the top." Here's that event... STOCK MARKET RED ALERT THREAD BELOW 👇

Wall Street NYC Quant. bitcoin-fund-manager.com@BITCOINFUNDMGR

URGENT STOCK MARKET ANALYSIS American and Korean stocks are going to crash then lead into an extended multi-year bear market. The top is already in. And the crash will accelerate in days. In this video I explained the fundamental reason for the bear market and I pinpoint exactly what catalysts are going to trigger system wide crashing. Among the key points, Every single midterm has been bearish. Seasonally May is bearish. The Korean KRW to USD FX market liquidity is bone dry. Koreans are maxed out on leverage and credit to buy sk hynix. This is a perfect storm and all we need is someone like George Soros to tip kospi over the edge... 1/2 Next: I explain why the bear market will be deadly for over half of the population on Earth...

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QuantNug@QuantNug·4d

Wow.... There is a VERY VERY massive $SPX position that is sitting out at MUCH higher prices that would lead to an INSANE short today. WE have to travel up to it, and as time passes it will change etc. BUT wow. Thats a huge level to get into puts at.... 7520 on the index...

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QuantNug@QuantNug·4d

BTW, $SPX is extremely unstable up here at these higher prices... There's no put #Gamma or any support from the options market nearby, and were RIGHT at the 0 gamma flip of 7500 for the day also... MY gut guess is wait for a HARD drop, THEN buy the crap out of that alone. Print.

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QuantNug@QuantNug·4d

Morning guys! Nothing but blue and green #Gamma and delta and even charm for the day today! You know what that means! Were going to all time highs today! Yes! $SPX is on track for getting easily back above 7500 as Trump is the savior once again. DONT short any of this still.

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QuantNug@QuantNug·5d

AND news destroyed futures... GGs on QuantNug

QuantNug@QuantNug

And another V shape is about to take place here. DONT buy puts on this move here guys. $SPX is buying all the dips available right now. DO not worry about this tiny quick drop. The market has had all the chances in the world to sell.

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QuantNug@QuantNug·5d

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QuantNug@QuantNug·5d

When there is bailout news every single day like there is nowadays... You know that $SPX is completely rigged to only make 1 move until Trump is out of office. GO up and buy anywhere you possibly can. MM's are buying the 7450 node for today. Tomorrow well be +100 on futures.

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QuantNug@QuantNug·5d

I THINK 7450 $SPX is now the new HUGE level on the market... SO you can either FULL port calls here or PUTS from this EXACT spot up here... MY guy guess is Calls because Trump and his news etc. will literally never let futures go down ever again. BUT imagine if crazy news hits...

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QuantNug@QuantNug·5d

Trump is flat out destroying the stock market to ONLY go to the upside... News releases nonstop are the only reason why you need to get long guys. Don't worry about any pullbacks etc. $SPX will be completely fine.

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QuantNug@QuantNug·5d

My recomendation is to wait IDEALLY for positive #Gamma somewhere... Thats what well be doing.

QuantNug@QuantNug

Definitely time to re invest again guys! Time to get long just about anywhere on $SPY and $QQQ as we are headin to the moon for Memorial day weekend! Remember, NEVER short the US stock market into an American holiday! Trump/Iran deal is here, so blast off time!

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QuantNug@QuantNug·5d

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QuantNug@QuantNug·5d

7405 $SPX. a MONSTER whale is long 3400 puts at this strike. THEY want a market crash today and they want it BADLY! Just be VERY VERY careful trading today guys... Trump has doomed the market with his news bullshit... and this is 100% now a NIGHTMARE to trade in. I would short...

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QuantNug@QuantNug·5d

BEARS trying to hammer $SPX today with positions... WILL Trump save the market today on $SPX again like he did yesterday? THERE is a MASSIVE trade betting on a crash today from 7405 on the index!!! TODAY could be a collapse hard if Trump doesnt get a bailout going FAST!

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QuantNug@QuantNug·5d

Sorry guys - was busy with the group this morning. 7400 $SPX was the HARD floor buy to start the day. Trump/Iran news just helped lift and short squeeze the market back above that spot for the time being... #0DTE players are back in the saddle of longs for the time being...

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