ResearchAnalytics, DBA

My circle of influence regarding macro outlook and individual stock picks. Some real alpha. @RaoulGMI - The Everything Code is the core of how financial markets operate. @fundstrat - Tom’s Key insights have been paramount through this 2.5 year bull market - his track record is spot on. @DivesTech - Been the optimist regarding the AI Revolution and called names like $PLTR early. @Beth_Kindig - She’s the queen of $NVDA sounded the alarm on this name years ago before the street really understood what was happening. The @IOFundOfficial has been pivotal in their analysis. @LukeLango3 - Senior @InvestorPlace analyst that has given out some mulitbagger plays over the years from his publication innovation investor.

The government just dropped $2B in quantum grants. Everyone's watching the obvious names. Nobody's talking about $INFQ. One of the only quantum computing companies actually generating substantial revenue right now. That's rare in this space. Really rare.

Because we get asked a lot. The Technological Republic, in brief. 1. Silicon Valley owes a moral debt to the country that made its rise possible. The engineering elite of Silicon Valley has an affirmative obligation to participate in the defense of the nation. 2. We must rebel against the tyranny of the apps. Is the iPhone our greatest creative if not crowning achievement as a civilization? The object has changed our lives, but it may also now be limiting and constraining our sense of the possible. 3. Free email is not enough. The decadence of a culture or civilization, and indeed its ruling class, will be forgiven only if that culture is capable of delivering economic growth and security for the public. 4. The limits of soft power, of soaring rhetoric alone, have been exposed. The ability of free and democratic societies to prevail requires something more than moral appeal. It requires hard power, and hard power in this century will be built on software. 5. The question is not whether A.I. weapons will be built; it is who will build them and for what purpose. Our adversaries will not pause to indulge in theatrical debates about the merits of developing technologies with critical military and national security applications. They will proceed. 6. National service should be a universal duty. We should, as a society, seriously consider moving away from an all-volunteer force and only fight the next war if everyone shares in the risk and the cost. 7. If a U.S. Marine asks for a better rifle, we should build it; and the same goes for software. We should as a country be capable of continuing a debate about the appropriateness of military action abroad while remaining unflinching in our commitment to those we have asked to step into harm’s way. 8. Public servants need not be our priests. Any business that compensated its employees in the way that the federal government compensates public servants would struggle to survive. 9. We should show far more grace towards those who have subjected themselves to public life. The eradication of any space for forgiveness—a jettisoning of any tolerance for the complexities and contradictions of the human psyche—may leave us with a cast of characters at the helm we will grow to regret. 10. The psychologization of modern politics is leading us astray. Those who look to the political arena to nourish their soul and sense of self, who rely too heavily on their internal life finding expression in people they may never meet, will be left disappointed. 11. Our society has grown too eager to hasten, and is often gleeful at, the demise of its enemies. The vanquishing of an opponent is a moment to pause, not rejoice. 12. The atomic age is ending. One age of deterrence, the atomic age, is ending, and a new era of deterrence built on A.I. is set to begin. 13. No other country in the history of the world has advanced progressive values more than this one. The United States is far from perfect. But it is easy to forget how much more opportunity exists in this country for those who are not hereditary elites than in any other nation on the planet. 14. American power has made possible an extraordinarily long peace. Too many have forgotten or perhaps take for granted that nearly a century of some version of peace has prevailed in the world without a great power military conflict. At least three generations — billions of people and their children and now grandchildren — have never known a world war. 15. The postwar neutering of Germany and Japan must be undone. The defanging of Germany was an overcorrection for which Europe is now paying a heavy price. A similar and highly theatrical commitment to Japanese pacifism will, if maintained, also threaten to shift the balance of power in Asia. 16. We should applaud those who attempt to build where the market has failed to act. The culture almost snickers at Musk’s interest in grand narrative, as if billionaires ought to simply stay in their lane of enriching themselves . . . . Any curiosity or genuine interest in the value of what he has created is essentially dismissed, or perhaps lurks from beneath a thinly veiled scorn. 17. Silicon Valley must play a role in addressing violent crime. Many politicians across the United States have essentially shrugged when it comes to violent crime, abandoning any serious efforts to address the problem or take on any risk with their constituencies or donors in coming up with solutions and experiments in what should be a desperate bid to save lives. 18. The ruthless exposure of the private lives of public figures drives far too much talent away from government service. The public arena—and the shallow and petty assaults against those who dare to do something other than enrich themselves—has become so unforgiving that the republic is left with a significant roster of ineffectual, empty vessels whose ambition one would forgive if there were any genuine belief structure lurking within. 19. The caution in public life that we unwittingly encourage is corrosive. Those who say nothing wrong often say nothing much at all. 20. The pervasive intolerance of religious belief in certain circles must be resisted. The elite’s intolerance of religious belief is perhaps one of the most telling signs that its political project constitutes a less open intellectual movement than many within it would claim. 21. Some cultures have produced vital advances; others remain dysfunctional and regressive. All cultures are now equal. Criticism and value judgments are forbidden. Yet this new dogma glosses over the fact that certain cultures and indeed subcultures . . . have produced wonders. Others have proven middling, and worse, regressive and harmful. 22. We must resist the shallow temptation of a vacant and hollow pluralism. We, in America and more broadly the West, have for the past half century resisted defining national cultures in the name of inclusivity. But inclusion into what? Excerpts from the #1 New York Times Bestseller The Technological Republic: Hard Power, Soft Belief, and the Future of the West, by Alexander C. Karp & Nicholas W. Zamiska techrepublicbook.com

AI Data Center Value Chain. Keep it handy. $NVDA $AMD $TSM $ARM $INTC $AVGO $MSFT $AMZN $MRVL $SMCI $ANET $MU $ASML

$PANW and $CRWD are downstream of the AI advances with agents. Cyberthreats will only increase and get more involved as a business disruptor in this new economy.

Exactly

If you’re 25+ Peak life for a man isn’t: Fast cars Yachts Villas Watches Random girls That’s dopamine for guys who built fuck all. Peak life is: - Owning your own time. - Being strong enough to walk away from bullshit. - Having money you don’t need to flex. - Being wanted, not thirsty. - Choosing one woman and protecting her. - Praying even when you’re tired and lazy. - Sleeping at night without stress. Most 25+ men are still chasing external validation instead of internal control.

Macro Daily: 🚨 AI Doomer Hangover Hits Markets: Software & fintech dipped on job wipeout fears, but bulls like Luke Lango see this as ‘90s-style consolidation before the next rally. Adapt or get left behind! $NVDA holding strong. #AI #TechInvesting What’s your take? Big AI Wins: Anthropic’s Claude crushes COBOL code, disrupting legacy systems holding $50T+ in money. $IBM feels the heat, but $NVDA shines as ultimate winner. Hyperscalers’ $1T capex? Justified for $7T TAM. Dip buy alert! $AMD $ASML $TSM #AIbuildout Macro Pulse: Tom Lee flags softer inflation via Truflation—CPI relief ahead. Stablecoins to $2T by ’28, boosting Treasury demand. Grid ramps up: 13GW batteries added in ’25, $PPL ups capex to $23B. Nuclear momentum in IL/WI. Bullish dollar! $SPY $QQQ #MacroEcon Defense & Robotics Heat: Palmer Luckey blasts Brooklyn Navy Yard politics ousting defense tenants—calls for federal fixes. Anduril’s Fury AI fighter takes flight. Mimic Robotics + Audi on assembly bots with precision hands. Deterrence rising! #Robotics #DefenseTech Key Theme: AI success isn’t risk—it’s opportunity. Doomer noise triggered sells, but core plays like $NVDA $META $AMZN $PLTR $ORCL oversold near support. Long-term: Chips, power, infra compound winners. Stay positioned! #ExponentialTech From Macro Daily.

@Investingcom $LAES

⚠️WHAT IS THE #1 MOST UNDERVALUED STOCK IN THE MARKET RIGHT NOW?

@AdevAarons @grok

As a current marketer in the AI era Here is my toolkit: ChatGPT/Claude: LLM Nano Banana: Image creation HeyGen/Kling: Avatar creation/ video creation Wispr Flow: Audio to text What am I missing?

@scottmelker Meaningless post

DFINITY AND PAKISTAN GOVERNMENT SIGN MOU FOR SOVEREIGN CLOUD ON INTERNET COMPUTER. INCLUDES PAKISTAN SUBNET, CAFFEINE AI LICENSES, NATIONAL MESSENGER SERVICE

15 things money can’t buy: 1. Your Kids SEEKING your company when they’re adults and no longer need your financial help. 2. The first time you experience someone believing in YOU 3. The moment you find leaks in your way of thinking. This is a sign that life is about to improve if you choose to make the changes. 4. Being missed for who you are, not what you provide. 5. The look someone gives you who trusts and loves you. 6. Genuine respect from loved ones and enemies. 7. The ability to sleep calmly after making a big decision. 8. A night of laughter with friends and family that lasted hours. 9. A sincere apology given or received. Received feels better, but given strengthens the right relationships. 10. Someone praying for you without you asking for it. 11. Character under pressure. 12. A spiritual relationship with God. 13. Being misunderstood for A VERY LONG TIME until people come back saying you were fair and right. (This one is priceless) 14. Having footage of people you love who are no longer here. To be able to hear their voice and their mannerisms is priceless + comforting. 15. Inner peace in the wake of being in a chaotic phase of your life. These are in no specific order. Future looks bright.

@exponentialluke Agreed. We plan to reaccumulate sub 57K all the way down to bottom and back up until we cleanly re-break 2021 cycle peak/election night breakout of 2024. Then we just hodl. Volatility is a gift.

Not going to lie - $BTC worries me here. And I say that as a Bitcoin bull. But the price evidence is overwhelmingly bearish and we can't ignore that: 1.) We lost the Fourth Halving Cycle uptrend channel. Ever since the bull market began in late 2022, BTC has formed a solid uptrend channel on a logarithmic scale. On multiple occasions, BTC dropped to the bottom-side of this uptrend channel, bounced off it, and the bull market continued. But as of this past week, that pattern has broken. BTC dropped to the bottom-side of its Fourth Halving Cycle uptrend channel and knifed through the support line like butter. Very bearish breakdown. 2.) The 200-day moving average trend has turned decisively negative. The slope on the 200-day moving average for BTC has dropped below -0.2%. That's an important level, because every time in the past that the slope on BTC's 200-day moving average first turned below -0.2%, that marked the end of a boom cycle. We're talking May 2022, July 2018, and August 2014 - these are very bearish price precedents. 3.) We failed to retake the all-important 50-week moving average. The 50-week moving average has long served as the "cycle indicator" line for BTC. Historically speaking, whenever BTC is above its 50-week moving average, it is typically in a boom cycle. Whenever it is below its 50-week moving average, it is typically in a bust cycle. To be sure, BTC did drop below its 50-week moving average during Covid - but then quickly jumped right back above it. Which is why we've been paying closer attention to another test: Once BTC lost its 50-week moving average in November, could it quickly jump back above it? The answer is no. In fact, BTC made a run for the 50-week in January and then got promptly rejected. The 50-week support turned into 50-week resistance. The same thing happened in March 2022, July 2018, and September 2014 - again, very bearish price precedents. 4.) The weekly RSI has dropped below 30. Bitcoin's daily RSI drops below 30 all the time. That's a byproduct of being a very volatile asset. But its weekly RSI rarely drops below 30, and every time it has dropped below in the past, we were firmly in a bust cycle - January 2015, December 2018, and June 2022. This past week, BTC's weekly RSI dropped below 30. That's exceptionally bearish. 5.) The halving cycle timing is too perfect. This cycle wasn't supposed to be like previous cycles. But it is playing out just like previous cycles. BTC topped in October 2025, about 18 months after the Fourth Halving, and has been falling ever since. BTC also topped about 18 months after the Second Halving and the Third Halving. If the price pattern persists, BTC will keep falling until late 2026 or early 2027. I'm a Bitcoin believer. But I'm also an evidence-based analyst. And the evidence right now is not bullish for cryptos.

Fear induced corrections that take down all stocks indiscriminately are the greatest gift.

The game you should be playing.... Market cap from $3trn to $100trn in next 8 to 10 years. Strategy: Hold high quality assets and do nothing... 1/

My first attempt at a SaaSmageddon playbook. I don't think this is cyclical. I think this is structural. It is a regime shift. AI is flattening and obsoleting the middle software layer that multiple SaaS stocks thrived in for 10+ years. That doesn't mean all software stocks are doomed. But it does mean software stocks are broadly splitting into three camps and knowing the difference between these camps is the name of the game going forward. Red Zone: These companies are in the "blast radius." Their core value proposition is either seat-based human productivity (which is shrinking) or generic content/code creation (which is demonetizing). If "Claude Cowork" or "Project Genie" works as advertised and scale, these business models are facing existential crises. Think workflow & project management platforms ( $ASAN $MNDY $SMAR $TEAM $BOX), generic CRM & CX providers ( $CRM $FRSH $ZEN $ZETA $HUBS), content & coding services ( $WIX $GDDY $FVRR $DOCN $U $ESTC), and legacy "band-aids" ( $PATH $PEGA). Some stocks here may succeed. But all face big risks in the SaaSmageddon. Yellow Zone: For these firms, AI is a massive disruption, but not necessarily a death sentence if they pivot. These companies have high switching costs or massive distribution, but they face severe deflationary pressure on pricing. They will likely survive, but their 100x valuation days are over. Think fintech firms ( $SHOP $BILL $TOST $SQ $PYPL $DLO $PAGS), HR providers ( $WDAY $PAYC $ADP), and data infra names ( $SNOW $DDOG $MDB $CLFT). Most of these stocks will survive. But few will thrive. Green Zone: These companies possess the only two things AI cannot generate: Real-world physical infrastructure or Proprietary, Unstructured, Regulated Data. They are the "pick and shovel" plays or the "Systems of Intelligence" that AI actually relies on. $PLTR is the king here. They are the AI operating system. But cyber names also sit here ( $PANW $CRWD $FTNT $ZS $CYBR). So do firms in deep verticals w/ regulated moats like $TYL $GWRE $CLBT. And the physical world OS names like $IOT $TTAN $AXON seem tough to replace given their physical sensor businesses. Bottom line: SaaSmageddon is here and it is very real. Own the right software stocks going forward. Ditch the rest.

@exponentialluke Quite possibly the sole operating system for all business decisions for the next number of years.

All software stocks are doomed... except $PLTR... is basically what the company's monstrous Q4 earnings report suggested. Long story short: AI is commoditizing “cognition,” and the only thing that matters now is who can operationalize it inside real organizations—fast, securely, and at scale. The company is arguing (loudly) that most “AI software” will get vaporized as models get cheaper/better… while Palantir’s platform becomes the control plane that turns those models into durable, compounding enterprise outcomes. And the numbers support that bull thesis. The company blew Q4 estimates out of the water and guided way above on revenues and profits for both Q1 and 2026. The numbers are just stupid good. Revenues +70% w/ govt revs +60% and commercial revs +82%. Palantir has now reported 10 straight quarters of accelerating revenue growth. And it won't step next quarter, with Q1e revs +74%. Meanwhile, operating margins ballooned by ~12 points to 56.8%, driving 114% operating profit growth. Again, no slowdown ahead. Q1e operating profits +123%. Operating margins are expected to approach 60% next year. So... by the numbers... what you have with Palantir is a compounding and accelerating 70% revenue grower with nearly 60% operating margins that is consistently driving >100% profit growth. That's about as good as it gets. And the one big knock against PLTR stock - valuation - has diminished because now the stock is trading at just 133X forward earnings which is basically a 12-month low and pretty reasonable for a >100% profit grower. Plus, the chart looks pretty tasty here with PLTR stock fighting to retake its 200-day moving average on an oversold RSI bounce with potential for a bullish MACD crossover way below the zero line. I like the set-up here.

"Spend" is up to interpretation / how it manifests in the markets. These could be new giants of the future in respect to supply chain. These could be acquisition targets. Currently, these names are all under 1B MC.

I'm of the opinion the next mania in stocks is PQC. Post quantum cryptography. Cybersecurity is now a non negotiable in this economy/ era of online/onchain businesses. Quantum compliant/Quantum resistant semis are coming. Soon. The upgrade cycle long term will turn into "guaranteed" spend in this area. $LAES $QNCCF $CCCX

@amitisinvesting Not on $PLTR !

bought $MSFT not that confident in the purchase but down 25% from the highs and almost below a $3T marketcap for missing cloud rev by 2% seems extreme maybe the OpenAI headwinds continue to exist fully prepared to average down, but dipping toes SaaS carnage continues…