Timothy Cody No DM

Final early vote electorate for the Virginia gerrymandering referendum: 🔴GOP: 36.01% 🔵Dems: 63.89% For comparison, I went back and looked at the final figures for the 2025 gubernatorial election (and the model has a better idea of what that looks like in retrospect), and it produced an outcome of: 🔴GOP: 33.58% 🔵Dems: 66.41% So that's a 5-point shift to the Right compared to last year's early vote margin. And when you consider that there will inevitably be some Dems who vote "NO", plus the likelihood that those swing voters (who broke quite literally about 80-20 for Spanberger last year) are much more evenly split this time around, I can see this referendum passing by about 5-7 points compared to Spanberger's 15-point victory in November. That's my expectation. If we see some sort of Presidential-level turnout in Red counties tomorrow, that's how "NO" wins, but barring that, this referendum probably has about an 80% chance of passing. It really all just depends on rural turnout tomorrow. If you have not yet voted, the only way this thing fails is if you and your friends and family show up and vote "NO".

🚨H1B visa cops in New York? These dopes can barely speak a word of English yet here they are harassing an American. Looks like the Indian call centers are missing a couple of guys.

Sen. Amy Klobuchar calls for an “immediate hearing” with FBI Director Kash Patel over The Atlantic’s reporting about allegations of excessive drinking, which Patel denies.