Whizard

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Whizard

@WhizardData

Sports Betting Originator 🧠 | +EV is cool, but originating is way cooler | Models all hand built

加入时间 Kasım 2021
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Whizard
Whizard@WhizardData·
Excited to launch a new version of my website. You can gain access to all our models at once finally (as many have been asking for), and get all model picks delivered into one discord channel. 🧠 I work tirelessly on these models, to try to make profitable tools for myself and others to use, and hoping you guys continue supporting that. Every pick is tracked, every game and market is analyzed. Full transparency for TRULY the best models on the market. whizard.buildr.bet
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Whizard
Whizard@WhizardData·
2 Pitcher Strikeout Props from our origination model for today: Tanner Bibee u5.5k +108🧠 Tomoyuki Sugano o3.5k +119🧠 Full 9 pick slate today, jumping right in with about 15u total wagered, 2-0 yesterday on day 1. Model has Bibee on the line but between the price and distribution its a good bet. Sugano well over his 3.5 line. We always are going to be taking risks placing before official lineups are out, but in the long term it is a net +
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Whizard
Whizard@WhizardData·
I think it still works in principle for sure. But it is much lower liquidity in prop markets. Other sports like basketball or football are mainly injury driven, which makes it non applicable unless that's the angle you are going for. Guess I have never tracked it in MLB so like I said above willing to test the theory in baseball. Less injuries and more predictable starters and news reports. I guess my broader point is if the CLV isn't from efficient market price discovery than its not really worth much.
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Curt Stankavage
Curt Stankavage@usmcIndia·
@WhizardData Just curious why you think CLV isn't effective in prop markets? I've been using a model the gives Pinny deviations, over about 525 bets my ROI is over 5%. I'm figuring with the law of large numbers kicking in it'll probably settle between 3-5% ROI . using a mod. version of Kelly.
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Whizard
Whizard@WhizardData·
Never really been a believer in CLV in prop markets, sure seems like this model will put that theory to the test. 🧠
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Whizard@WhizardData

MLB STRIKEOUT MODEL IS LIVE⚾️🔴 After weeks of adjusting and essentially fully rebuilding my MLB origination models, our first one is ready to go. Pitcher K's O/U was our best prop market last year, and this years model is probably the most complete end to end pipeline I have ever built. Looking forward to a good season. 🧠

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Whizard
Whizard@WhizardData·
Line also went from +120 this AM from when we got it to -114 before first pitch....
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Whizard
Whizard@WhizardData·
MLB K prop model is LIVE through this site, not the old legacy version. All picks sent through discord.
Whizard@WhizardData

Excited to launch a new version of my website. You can gain access to all our models at once finally (as many have been asking for), and get all model picks delivered into one discord channel. 🧠 I work tirelessly on these models, to try to make profitable tools for myself and others to use, and hoping you guys continue supporting that. Every pick is tracked, every game and market is analyzed. Full transparency for TRULY the best models on the market. whizard.buildr.bet

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Whizard
Whizard@WhizardData·
All plays sent in discord, really love being able to discuss plays and talk to the community in there. Try my best to help anyone. Check out the model on our site, link in bio.
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Whizard 已转推
Whizard
Whizard@WhizardData·
MLB STRIKEOUT MODEL IS LIVE⚾️🔴 After weeks of adjusting and essentially fully rebuilding my MLB origination models, our first one is ready to go. Pitcher K's O/U was our best prop market last year, and this years model is probably the most complete end to end pipeline I have ever built. Looking forward to a good season. 🧠
Whizard tweet mediaWhizard tweet media
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