iSideWith

If you wonder where you stand politically, this poll is actually pretty good. isidewith.com

Economics students are taking the isidewith quiz to better learn about all of the different issues that face politicians.

isidewith live poll : isidewith.com/elections/2026…

IL Dem Senate primary on Election Day (March 17, 2026): Stratton closing strong! FM3 +5 (38-33) PPP +2 (32-30) iSideWith +5 since 3/1 NYT tracks recent polls: Stratton edges in FM3/PPP, but Krishnamoorthi +10-11 in his internals (Tulchin/Change) Krishnamoorthi still favored on Kalshi (~58%), but momentum w/ Stratton.

According to @iSideWith, based on the issues that matter most to me, my top three aligned political ideologies are Libertarianism, Classical Liberalism, and Capitalism.

It's always worth highlighting the conservative bona fides of our state director. We'll happily repost and pin to the top of our timeline for a day anyone who can take the @iSideWith quiz and get a socialism score lower than @JustinWStapley.

Mendes: The "Zombie" Campaign For the Establishment/Center-Right favorite, these numbers are catastrophic. The base views him as too "old guard" or too similar to the Socialists (the "bloco central" style). He has almost zero crossover appeal (single digits in IL, Chega, PS, and Independents). If these numbers hold, Mendes faces a humiliation. He risks finishing 4th, behind Cotrim, Seguro, and potentially Ventura. Pressure will mount for him to drop out to consolidate the Right behind Cotrim.

Seugro Seguro's only path is to terrify the Left Bloc/PCP voters into consolidating behind him, but Cotrim's high support among Independents makes that difficult to overcome. This suggests his social liberalism (or simply the desire for competence) is peeling off moderate leftists. He will likely make the Runoff (Round 2) purely on the size of the PS machine, but he enters as an underdog. He has failed to unite the Left, and the Center has abandoned him for Cotrim. This indicates deep internal divisions (possibly the "Pedro Nuno Santos wing" staying home or defecting). While he wins the "Green Left" (39.5% of Livre) and has decent backup from the Left Bloc (25%), he is failing to retain the centrist PS voter. He is losing voters to Contrim who is polling at 16% among Scolaists.

Vota Cross-Tabs Update – Presidenciais 2026 The traditional Center-Right (PSD/AD) has collapsed away from its own candidate (Mendes) and straight into the arms of the Liberal candidate (Cotrim Figueiredo). The race is now Cotrim's to lose. His broad appeal creates a real buffer against a unified Left in Round 2. Thread 🧵 #Presidenciais2026 #EleiçõesPortugal

Ventura Ventura remains a strong force, but his growth has stalled. His voters are loyal but he is losing 20% of his voters to Cotrim . This suggests that nearly 1 in 5 Chega voters are willing to vote for a Liberal victory over a Socialist one, rather than sticking with a protest vote. He will likely finish 3rd. He cannot break out of his silo because Independents broke heavily for Cotrim.

Tracking Socialist shifts here: portugal.vota.com/en/elections/2…

Contrim has consolidated the Right and Liberal voters, but he is now eating significantly into the Socialist base. A jump of 8% in just six days (since 1/8/26) x.com/iSideWith/stat…

Tracking independent swings here: portugal.vota.com/en/elections/2…

The latest Católica University poll reinforces what the tracking has been showing: The race is concentrating at the top. Ventura (24) and Seguro (23) lead, with Cotrim (19) the closest challenger. Mendes and Gouveia e Melo are tied at 14. Today's Vota data points to the coalition math: AD + IL voters are consolidating behind Cotrim, PS voters stick with Seguro, Chega voters stick with Ventura—independents lean Cotrim, but remain split.

Portugal voters want rapid delivery, fair costs, tough rules within EU: 95% back affordable housing incentives 75% support rent caps 93% want more mental-health funding 79% back higher minimum wage 88% want VAT cut 58% favor lower corporate taxes 84% back deporting serious-crime immigrants 92% reject death penalty x.com/iSideWith/stat…

Tracking big shifts in Portugal’s Jan 18 presidential race. High frequency respondent level data (minute and hour updates) and publishing the trendline publicly here: portugal.vota.com/en/elections/2…

Based centrist canada.isidewith.com/political-quiz

iSideWith polling predicts Zohran Mamdani (D) will win the NY mayoral race over Andrew Cuomo (D) isidewith.com/elections/2025…