ThoroughData | Racing Intelligence

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ThoroughData | Racing Intelligence

ThoroughData | Racing Intelligence

@thoroughdataaix

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United Kingdom 加入时间 Mart 2026
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JIBBER JABBER
JIBBER JABBER@_JIBBER_JABBER_·
Some thoughts on MONTY’S STAR (20/1) for the Grand National… A few of you have asked about Monty’s Star, and I can see why he’s starting to come onto people’s radar. At first glance, he doesn’t jump off the page in the same way as some others. No recent wins No flashy profile No obvious “plot horse” angle But the more you dig into him, the more interesting he becomes. This feels like a very different type of case to some of the others I’ve looked at. Let’s go through it. 1️⃣ The basic profile Trainer: Henry De Bromhead Age: 9 Official mark: 159 Weight: 11st 3lb Current odds: around 20/1 (5 places) Straight away, a few things stand out. 👉 Proven Grade 1 horse 👉 Running in a handicap off 159 👉 Currently carries 11st 3lb (a very workable weight) That weight is important. The modern National has favoured horses carrying 11st-11st 5lb, and he sits right in that sweet spot. 2️⃣ The “graded horse in a handicap” angle This is the key to him. He has spent the last couple of seasons running in races like: - Gold Cup - Grade 1s at Leopardstown - Punchestown Grade 1 And he hasn’t been disgraced. That matters. Because instead of picking up wins in weaker races, he has been: 👉 running against the very best 👉 holding his own 👉 and keeping his mark in a workable place His RPRs tell the story: 👉 161 at Leopardstown 👉 162 earlier in the season That’s proper high-level form. Now he drops into a handicap. That is always worth paying attention to. 3️⃣ The “nearly horse” profile… and why it might suit On paper, you could knock him for not winning since 2023. But in this race, that can actually work in your favour. Because: 👉 he hasn’t been hammered by the handicapper 👉 he hasn’t had a brutal, all-out winning effort recently 👉 he has been kept ticking over in top company He’s been running well without getting his head in front. And that’s often how you end up with a horse: 👉 who is still competitive 👉 but not fully exposed 4️⃣ The track angle (this is interesting) One thing I like here is his December Leopardstown run. 👉 RPR 161 👉 flat, galloping track 👉 similar rhythm to Aintree Not every National horse wants a flat track. Some are better suited to Cheltenham’s undulations and stamina grind. Monty’s Star looks like: 👉 a smooth traveller 👉 an economical jumper 👉 a horse who should be comfortable at Aintree That’s a big plus. 5️⃣ Stamina – unknown or opportunity? This is the big question. He hasn’t run over 4m+. But… 👉 strong runs over 3m+ in Grade 1 company 👉 stayed on well in those races 👉 pedigree suggests stamina (Walk In The Park/Glacial Storm influence) So while it’s not proven, it looks like: 👉 the extra trip could bring improvement rather than expose him And in a race like this, that’s often what you’re looking for. 6️⃣ The market position Currently around 20/1 with 5 places. The Betfair market shows: 👉 solid support around 20–22 👉 decent liquidity 👉 holding his position He’s not being smashed. But he’s not being ignored either. That’s usually a sign of: 👉 a solid, respected contender 👉 rather than hype-driven money 7️⃣ The negatives (and there are some) It’s not all straightforward. 👉 Hasn’t won since 2023 👉 Can look like he lacks a finishing kick 👉 Has been beaten a fair way in some Grade 1s 👉 Needs to prove he truly stays this trip So you are relying on: 👉 the trip unlocking improvement 👉 rather than proven dominance 8️⃣ Where I land on him This is where it differs from something like Haiti Couleurs. With Monty’s Star, I don’t feel like: 👉 the handicapper has him fully boxed in 👉 or the market has completely caught up Instead, it feels like: 👉 a solid Grade 1 horse 👉 dropping into a handicap 👉 with the potential to improve for the trip At around 20/1 with 5 places, that’s appealing. Final thought He’s not the obvious one. He’s not the flashy one. But he’s the type that: 👉 keeps running his race 👉 sits in the right weight range 👉 and could take a step forward at this trip So where I land is: 👉 a solid, likeable profile 👉 with a bit of upside at the trip 👉 and still looks fairly priced at around 20/1 Could be an each way play with 6-8 places available on the day. One I’m happy to keep firmly onside 👍
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ThoroughData | Racing Intelligence
ThoroughData | Racing Intelligence@thoroughdataaix·
@samuelstorrs07 The Bowen booking is interesting for sure. Although no wins at Ascot in the last 12 months and will need the race to be ran to its strengths. We are going for Senator. Beat Macshadow last time out! Value at 8/1 Best of luck 🚀💰
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FREE SPORTS BETS
FREE SPORTS BETS@FREESPORTSB3TS·
Fortune favours the brave it seems! 🙂‍↕️ Roaring Ralph you good ting!!
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The Race Horse Guy
The Race Horse Guy@theracehorseguy·
Top 5 sports in the world in no particular order ⬇️ Football Horse Racing MMA Boxing F1 Are we all in agreement?
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ThoroughData | Racing Intelligence
ThoroughData | Racing Intelligence@thoroughdataaix·
When you just rode Magnitude to a $12 MILLION Dubai World Cup victory and the emotions hit harder than the final furlong... Jose Ortiz letting it all out in the winner's circle, pure heart, pure joy, pure paycheck! Who else is crying happy tears with him? #DubaiWorldCup #DWC26 #HorseRacing
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