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24casts
24casts@24castscom·
Fake news will soon claim that Trump impeachment odds spiked on @Kalshi—and they did—but this will create a lot of noise across social media and MSM. The truth is 👇
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24casts
24casts@24castscom·
Prediction markets have become a popular tool for gauging sentiment. Unfortunately, they are now being used as a signal, and noisemakers exploit them to create noise. Reality is more nuanced—you need to read between the lines to find the true signal.
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24casts
24casts@24castscom·
Our Trumponomics Index, which gauges people's confidence in Trump implementing his economic agenda, has just dropped to the ultra-low-risk category. This means the graph shows that markets now have greater faith in Trump's cabinet and their ability to execute.
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24casts
24casts@24castscom·
How do we explain the spike in Trump impeachment odds? The truth is this increase could be a direct psychological attack on the Trump administration in the middle of the war, by those noisemakers who want to shift and own the narrative while trying to influence Trump’s decision-making process.
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24casts
24casts@24castscom·
Don't trust the noise, trust the signal and visit 24casts.com to learn more.
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