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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
The AI boom is creating a generational divide in software jobs: US software developer employment for those aged 22-25 has declined -23% since November 2022, when ChatGPT was launched. At the same time, the 26-30 age group has seen a decrease of -5%. By comparison, employment among software developers aged 41-49 has risen +18% over the same period. This creates a 41 percentage point gap between the youngest and one of the most experienced groups within the same profession. Meanwhile, early-career workers in the most AI-exposed jobs have experienced a -16% decline in employment relative to less-exposed occupations and more experienced peers since November 2022, even after adjusting for firm-specific shocks. By contrast, employment among workers in less AI-exposed fields, as well as more experienced workers within the same occupations, has remained steady or continued to grow. The AI revolution is wiping out entry-level tech jobs.
The Kobeissi Letter tweet media
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˗` Cam Burley ˊ˗
˗` Cam Burley ˊ˗@CodeCamCode·
@KobeissiLetter I’m in the 3rd group, and I can tell you with 100% certainty, the overwhelming majority of programmers who were not software development experts before AI are not good with it
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Roy Scott
Roy Scott@royscott87·
@CodeCamCode @KobeissiLetter I can also tell you with 100% certainty that the overwhelming majority of new grad software engineers are terrible at building reliable software solutions with AI. This is because they learned extremely little about actual software development, design patterns, and fundamentals
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