How likely is the race to superintelligence to end in disaster? Ex-OpenAI researcher @DKokotajlo: "I would say something like 70% chance that this goes horribly wrong, like human extinction." Do the AI CEOs think there's a chance of human extinction? Kokotajlo: "Yes." "They've all probably convinced themselves that, like, oh yeah, like maybe it'll go horribly wrong, but like probably it's going to be fine. And probably, you know, I should be the one in charge." Source: The Diary Of A CEO | @StevenBartlett

@DKokotajlo youtube.com/watch?v=_g4l7Y…

This is nonsense. Leaders of AI labs are not idiots are as Daniel Kojotajlo is painting them to be. They are leaders in very unique positions of responsability trying to navigate in a very complex scenarios, tons of risks in eithet course of action and huge uncertainties of key factors.

@ControlAI @DKokotajlo I think their standard rationalization is hey, it's going to happen anyway, so why can't I make a few quick bucks on it.

@ControlAI @DKokotajlo Aligning a superintelligence presents a massive engineering hurdle with zero margin for error. A 70% failure rate reflects deep structural skepticism that competitive corporate labs can prioritize safety over market dominance.

@ControlAI @DKokotajlo wat about writing and math wat if they lead to AI?