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gian
gian@giansegato·
i don't buy either extreme: programmers won't disappear, but it's disingenuous to think nothing will happen to them my world model is collapsing into a single bit: agency or no agency. that's the whole game anyone (not just devs) with extreme agency is now 100x. it's not fully positive sum -- someone is clearly being left behind. high agency individuals are eating the world. there are now engineers working as product eng, data eng, data scientists, and backend devs all at the same time. there are PMs doing design work and data analysis work and frontend prototyping all at once. this is… new. it's no evolution. it's a phase transition extreme agency people's bandwidth exploded. they can scale. this is not trivial! it feels like a darwinian savana, but one where apex predators can teleport anywhere. the homeostatic equilibrium guaranteed by "there are safe places to chill" is no more if you're a meek, quiet kid waiting for food to drop on your lap, expecting a nice grade if you follow the herd and do your homework, you're totally screwed. many devs are like that. give me the specs, i'll give you a time estimate and eventually a PR. so many such cases. they're all cooked. not in 5 years. not gradually. this is no prediction, it's happening now but if you're truly hungry and just want to devour life and grab everything you can as fast as you can, time, IQ, skills, years of experience are no longer bottlenecks. for you, this time of history will feel like entering eldorado
Paul Graham@paulg

Hard to say if it will be this extreme, but if you average this together with the people saying that all the programming jobs will disappear, you have a reasonable estimate of what we know for sure about the future of programming as a career: nothing.

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FullStackFool
FullStackFool@FullStackFool·
@giansegato Companies will stop hiring humans for Junior roles 🤷‍♂️
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