
Expert MLB picks presented by @PolymarketSport 💰 @Covers_josh: I’m back on the Over at PNC Park with 14-mph winds blowing out to center. Last night produced 14 runs — and Hunter Goodman wasn’t even in the lineup. Both bullpens rank among MLB’s four worst ERAs over the last two weeks, while Carmen Mlodzinski has allowed 17 runs over his last 19+ innings. @JonMetler: There won’t be many chances this season to back Chase Dollander in a true pitcher-friendly environment. Dollander has looked every bit the part of a frontline starter this season, featuring a 99-mph fastball paired with elite, high-spin secondary pitches. If Dollander can neutralize Cruz at the top of the lineup, the Pittsburgh offense becomes far less intimidating. Given the combination of the park upgrade, Dollander’s stuff, and the matchup dynamics, I think the Rockies should be trading closer to 45-cent underdogs in this spot. @JTFOz: The Red Sox haven’t had many bright spots this season, but they’ve been excellent against left-handed pitching, ranking fourth in OPS versus southpaws over the last month. That sets up well against Jesus Luzardo, who has regressed badly this season and already owns four starts with five or more earned runs allowed. Meanwhile, Ranger Suarez will face his former team after allowing zero earned runs in four of his last five outings. The Phillies also rank dead last in road OPS, while Boston’s bullpen leads MLB in ERA over the last two weeks.
