Don't obsess over timing the exact bottom. One of the biggest mistakes I see is people mixing their long-term investment portfolio with their trading account. I keep them completely separate. Personally, I allocate: • 90% of my capital to long-term spot investments. • 10% of my capital to active trading. If you look at Bitcoin over the past 10 years, every time it has traded near the 200-week moving average, it has eventually proven to be an exceptional long-term buying opportunity. Very few investors bought at the exact bottom. They didn't have to. With Bitcoin's diminishing returns as the asset matures, you now need substantially more capital to generate life-changing gains from simply buying and holding. But if you have that capital, I don't think it's worth obsessing over catching the exact bottom. Instead, focus on gradually accumulating when Bitcoin trades in historically attractive valuation zones. Personally, I believe even current prices represent an attractive long-term accumulation area. My plan is to accumulate during periods of weakness and look to take profits during the next major cycle, around 2029. You don't have to buy the exact bottom to achieve outstanding long-term returns.

@alicharts "every time it has traded near the 200-week" previously... ...it was a completely different speculative, macro, monetary, ecosystem, and crypto narrative moment. In our current moment, institutions and govts have had years to accumulate. Why havent they?