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A-L-IR
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A-L-IR أُعيد تغريده
Have been watching these HTF equal lows on $CVX at $1.42, but just noticed this potential triple tap developing on LTF's as well...
Possible we front run the lows at $1.42, hold the LTF triple tap (hold above $1.45) and then see expansion to the local range highs at $2.67 (first target if triple tap holds) and then expansion to local supply at $3-$4.
Glad I am fully loaded and don't have to worry about which outcome we get...
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A-L-IR أُعيد تغريده
For those of you who recall the LTF "triple tap" we called and tracked on $XRP in January, we are seeing the exact same structure playing out here on $CRV now.
The main difference is that the CRV structure has formed a triple tap local "top" whereas the XRP structure was a triple tap local "bottom" (keep reading or else you're going to misunderstand what I'm saying here).
You can read the two options I laid out in the quoted tweet to understand the two distinct possibilities here.
In XRP's case, we ended up following "Option 1" which meant that after we hit the first target of the triple tap (other side of the range) we fully reversed. The triple tap served as a temporary counter-trend "liq grab" before a reversal. If this is the same thing we are seeing on CRV now, then the target for the triple tap has already been met and we would be looking for a break back ABOVE the red zone, for a full on reversal.
Alternatively, the triple tap can serve as a "base" before continued expansion. This is Option 2, which was NOT the case for the XRP example. However, if this IS the case for CRV here, then the RED zone should act as local resistance before continuation to sub .20 which is our next key swing low.
No, I don't know which "option" we will get, I do know however that the red zone between .21-.23 and how price reacts to it, is the deciding factor between the two- so that is what I am currently watching.
CrediBULL Crypto@CredibleCrypto
Now that the triple tap on $XRP has met it's target (range highs), there are two possibilities moving forward: 1. This was a relief bounce to take liquidity at range highs and now we expect continuation of the local downtrend (within the higher TF uptrend) aka a move back below $1.77. OR 2. The triple tap formation has established a "base" of structural demand from which dips will be bought for continued expansion to the upside aka our lows at $1.77 will be defended for now. Based on context with where Bitcoin and the broader market is at this time, I am betting on option #2 playing out, which means I will be looking for longs into GREEN while targeting some of the untapped highs above us.
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A-L-IR أُعيد تغريده
The 40 RSI level on HTF has been relevant in a number of markets as a key level at which point we often see market bottoms during secular bull markets.
This has been true since inception on Bitcoin.
It has been true for the SPX since 1979 with the exception of the crashes of 2000-2008 which were larger degree/secular bear markets.
We are once again at this relevant range on RSI for Bitcoin for the 7th time in history.
This does not mean that we MUST reverse here- it is just another confluent factor to consider in the broader context of where we are at this time.
I've talked about this metric for a long time now, such as the quoted post below on the SPX in 2022 that also marked our bottom.
$BTC
CrediBULL Crypto@CredibleCrypto
And nah, didn't just randomly make this up, there is a lot of precedence for it. Here is the $SPX, also at the 40 RSI level from which we bounced at the last 4 bottoms- prior to that when we breached it it was the 2008 crash which was our last major correction (higher degree).
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This is tonight in Tehran. Explosions everywhere, and people are terrified.
At the same time, the Islamic Republic has shut down the internet, leaving millions in darkness and forcing families around the world into painful uncertainty about their loved ones.
Silence, fear, and suffering, this is what ordinary Iranians are living through tonight.
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For more video check @Vahid
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@CredibleCrypto I believe something unusual is happening in the cryptocurrency market. The current situation does not appear to be natural, the market is exhibiting patterns that seem inconsistent with normal market dynamics.
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“The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.”
Cantonese Cat 🐱🐈@cantonmeow
This game really is for the rich with liquidity to absorb assets at lower prices from retail who overleveraged and force sell or couldn't handle it anymore and self capitulate. No one wants to hear that these are opportunities either out of frustration or pure disbelief.
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A-L-IR أُعيد تغريده
Three short videos, less than 25 minutes combined, all now in a single playlist that every new or aspiring trader should watch to kick off their journey.
I call it: Risk Management 101
I cover leverage, position sizing, risk/reward and more👇
youtube.com/playlist?list=…
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@CredibleCrypto Cred / How about if we don't have alt-season in this cycle?
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Part 2 of my market update is now LIVE!
This one focuses SPECIFICALLY on altcoins including $CRV, $ETH, $TRAC, $HBAR, $XRP, $SOL, $QNT, and $AAVE but also gives you a general framework with which to evaluate ANY altcoin.
If you haven't seen Part 1 yet, which focuses exclusively on Bitcoin, I recommend watching that first. Links to BOTH parts will be posted below 👇
Part 1 (Bitcoin): youtu.be/xVxjLxyAXWQ
Part 2 (Altcoins): youtu.be/OqRP9QqGjxQ
Likes/shares always appreciated.
YouTube
YouTube
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A-L-IR أُعيد تغريده
I don't know who needs to hear this, but we're at another $CRV and $CVX generational bottom, and most are missing it.
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A-L-IR أُعيد تغريده
Literally the same bottoming formation as silver.
Every asset class behaves the same when it comes to market mechanics like accumulation, markup, distribution, etc.
It's all the same shit.
Some market move faster, some move slower, then there are a number of different accumulation/bottoming patterns, but ultimately- its some period of expansion, consolidation, contraction or contraction, consolidation, expansion.
On repeat, cycle after cycle.
$CRV
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A-L-IR أُعيد تغريده
“No one cared about #silver when it was at its accumulation zone for 8 years, no one cared about #uranium stocks at their multi-year bottoms before they went on a 10x+ rally, and now no one cares about alts like $CRV and $CVX because they are too shortsighted to understand that a good coin with strong fundamentals and a chart that currently DOESN'T reflect them is a MASSIVE OPPORTUNITY.”
CrediBULL Crypto@CredibleCrypto
8 years of looking like a "shitty" chart, and then straight up. People always ask me why I care about coins with charts that are beaten to a pulp, like $CRV $CVX and others. No one cared about #silver when it was at its accumulation zone for 8 years, no one cared about #uranium stocks at their multi-year bottoms before they went on a 10x+ rally, and now no one cares about alts like $CRV and $CVX because they are too shortsighted to understand that a good coin with strong fundamentals and a chart that currently DOESN'T reflect them is a MASSIVE OPPORTUNITY. You cannot get the HIGHEST ROI plays by constantly chasing coins that have ALREADY pumped. You will get them, repeatedly, on assets like silver, uranium etc. that have had ample time to consolidate at the lows and these opportunities only present themselves, by definition, when the majority is uninterested. A beaten down chart that has been consolidating at the lows DESPITE strong fundamentals is not a bad thing- it is a massive opportunity for those who understand market mechanics and are willing to take a bet that many are too blinded by emotion to recognize.
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A-L-IR أُعيد تغريده
The last time I shared this chart was in April of 2025, when I pointed out that for the first time in 7 months, long term holders had shifted from selling the pump to buying the dump.
This shift in LTH (long term holders) from net distribution to net accumulation marked the BOTTOM of our 7 month correction. We made a marginal lower low following this shift (by less than 3%) then saw a full on reversal to new ATH's.
Once again, for the first time in 7 months, LTH have shifted from being net sellers, to net buyers.
As I've said for months now, I do believe we are in the process of forming a higher low here before continuation of the uptrend that we have been in since 15k- and the data below suggest our reversal may be just around the corner...
$BTC
CrediBULL Crypto@CredibleCrypto
It's been 3-4 months since the last post I made on LTHS (long term holder supply) in which I showed that LTH (long term holders) had been net distributing on the rise from 68k-110k $BTC. This distribution almost always occurs during impulsive PA as long term holders sell into pumps. This is normal/expected (see quoted tweet) in bull markets. We can see that the selling continued aggressively into 110k but then began to slow (but continue) into March. As of April, LTH have officially begun accumulating $BTC once more. For the last 7 months long term holders sold into the rip. Now, they're buying the dip. $BTC
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A-L-IR أُعيد تغريده
Nope, nothing has changed on that front.
CRV/XRP pairing has been sitting in its HTF accumulation zone for over two months now- unless this zone is lost and new lows are made, the expectation is still that we will see $CRV outperform against $XRP in the mid term to the tune of 250+% to the upside.
Kevin Howes@kevhowes82
@CredibleCrypto Hey @CredibleCrypto, curious to know if this invalidates your tweet on 25 December regarding CRV outperforming XRP in the short term? Cheers
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A-L-IR أُعيد تغريده
Now that the triple tap on $XRP has met it's target (range highs), there are two possibilities moving forward:
1. This was a relief bounce to take liquidity at range highs and now we expect continuation of the local downtrend (within the higher TF uptrend) aka a move back below $1.77.
OR
2. The triple tap formation has established a "base" of structural demand from which dips will be bought for continued expansion to the upside aka our lows at $1.77 will be defended for now.
Based on context with where Bitcoin and the broader market is at this time, I am betting on option #2 playing out, which means I will be looking for longs into GREEN while targeting some of the untapped highs above us.
CrediBULL Crypto@CredibleCrypto
Beautiful move and a textbook triple tap setup completed on $XRP. Sometimes we get a dip prior to hitting our upside target and sometimes we don't- at the end of the day we take what the market gives us (or doesn't) and then look for the next opp. Still recovering from a sickness so haven't had much time to actually look at many charts- hopefully will be back up and running in a couple more days. More updates then.
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A-L-IR أُعيد تغريده
Nice reaction right off of our key LTF zone on $CRV.
CrediBULL Crypto@CredibleCrypto
We are struggling a bit to hold this LTF level marked out in the last post, so assuming we lose it here is the next low timeframe area of interest that I am watching. We have some LTF confluence on both USD/BTC pairings about 5-6% lower in the orange zones on both pairings. Keep in mind these LTF ideas are only relevant to shorter timeframe traders- the larger green zones visible on both charts are HTF demand zones which make for the best spot buying opps for mid to long term (cycle end) holders. $CRV
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A-L-IR أُعيد تغريده
We are struggling a bit to hold this LTF level marked out in the last post, so assuming we lose it here is the next low timeframe area of interest that I am watching.
We have some LTF confluence on both USD/BTC pairings about 5-6% lower in the orange zones on both pairings.
Keep in mind these LTF ideas are only relevant to shorter timeframe traders- the larger green zones visible on both charts are HTF demand zones which make for the best spot buying opps for mid to long term (cycle end) holders.
$CRV
CrediBULL Crypto@CredibleCrypto
$CRV continues to crawl up, would be nice for us to hold .38+ on LTF for continuation higher.
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A-L-IR أُعيد تغريده
Yes HTF's we are chillin.
I've zoomed out here to the weekly so you can see that we have just barely grazed our HTF demand zones on both pairings.
The last time we were these levels we 4-5x'd in literally 3 weeks.
So while I am sharing content that pertains to lower timeframes for educational purposes, don't forget where we are in context of the higher timeframes- which ultimately matter most.
On HTF, we are at the ideal/most logical reversal zone on the entire chart.
$CRV
lord hbar@lordhbar
@CredibleCrypto From a higher-timeframe perspective, does this look more like final downside absorption before continuation rather than a structural breakdown?
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A-L-IR أُعيد تغريده
Lesson #3 that focuses specifically on "position sizing" will be released the first week of 2026!
If you haven't watched the last two lessons I recommend doing so now. This third lesson will tie them all together and together these three lessons should cover everything you need to know about "risk management" as a new trader.
CrediBULL Crypto@CredibleCrypto
My 2nd lesson in my new educational series is now LIVE! 10R trade = good 1R trade = bad Is a MAJOR oversimplification can be VERY misleading. This lesson breaks down why looking at R/R alone is NOT enough, and explains the shift in mindset you MUST have if you want to have long term success in the world of trading. As always, like/shares appreciated. Enjoy! 👇 youtu.be/tgsx5tAbl6Q
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A-L-IR أُعيد تغريده
$CRV continues to crawl up, would be nice for us to hold .38+ on LTF for continuation higher.
CrediBULL Crypto@CredibleCrypto
$CRV green on a red day for $BTC. You love to see it. Long in profit. Also a good reminder that LTF "weakness" on an asset is irrelevant if we are approaching HTF support zones- that "weakness" can flip to strength overnight in these conditions.
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A-L-IR أُعيد تغريده