Leon Simons 🌍

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Leon Simons 🌍

Leon Simons 🌍

@LeonSimons8

Host of Climate Chat | Plain climate science & DATAVIZ | Mission: To Understand and Protect the Home Planet

On a rapidly changing planet انضم Eylül 2010
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Leon Simons 🌍
Leon Simons 🌍@LeonSimons8·
I posted this 2 years ago. After which we experienced 2 years of 1.6°C above the Paris' pre-industrial (1850-1900) baseline. We expected a big jump in global warming because greenhouse gas emissions keep increasing, aerosols decreased and Earth's Energy Imbalance had doubled.
Leon Simons 🌍 tweet media
Leon Simons 🌍@LeonSimons8

This might be the year everything changes, as those who don't count joules and radiative fluxes are too starting to feel the heat from reducing air-pollution. Many great scientists have tried to inform on this in the past decades (e.g. James Hansen, James Lovelock, Paul Crutzen and Veerabhadran Ramanathan). Policy makers and media have paid very little attention so far. This was the reason for me to start using my largely dormant Twitter account 3.5 years ago. To create awareness about rapid warming from rapidly reducing air pollution. There's mainly been a small crowd of 'climate doomers' and slightly anoyed climate scientists to interact with. In the past months this changed, as the additional accumulating heat is starting to surface. My amount of followers has tripled, the graphs we make receive millions of views and media around the world are paying attention. This is bigger than any one of us. We need specialized scientists to assess what this means for changes to monsoon systems, others that look at how ocean and atmospheric currents (might) change and how that could impact melting ice and sea level rise. We need politicians, legal experts and social scientists to learn what is at stake and debate the effects of unintentional and intentional emissions on climate, not just health and the environment. There are no easy choices in this. How much warming will the world except? And how fast can the rate of warming be until we are unable to adapt? When will we learn how high our dikes really need to be? How extreme will droughts get? How many people will lose their homes and need to move to greener pastures? Be it a locally overflowing refugee camp or to another country? Will we have the stability of global governance to face these accumulating challenges? Uncertainties are very large, which might be the main problem. We don't know how bad it will get, and anyone who tells you one way or another is lying. The precautionary principle tells us we have the duty to act. For ourselves, for our children and for strangers we will never meet. We are the most adaptable species known to ever have existed. I believe that with a more thorough understanding of our planet, humanity could become a beneficial force to life on Earth. If we soon aquire collective will to do so.

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Leon Simons 🌍
Leon Simons 🌍@LeonSimons8·
@Stanzupforit @dgelles @NYT @DrJamesEHansen Has anyone ever asked Mann why he tells journalists and his social media followers the opposite of what his coauthored research shows? See this thread: x.com/i/status/20337…
Leon Simons 🌍@LeonSimons8

Why global warming is accelerating and what it means for the future @newscientist Why do media keep putting science on global warming acceleration next to social media posts than deny it (while their own science supports it)? @AlecLuhn

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Arjan Tolkamp
Arjan Tolkamp@TolkampArjan·
@LeonSimons8 Is dit nou deels te "danken" aan het zwavelverbod in de zee scheepvaart? Schoner lucht, minder weerkaatsing, meer opwarming?
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Bill McGuire
Bill McGuire@ProfBillMcGuire·
In a little under a week, the FOTW goes to the printers Let's hope I haven't missed anything 🙃
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Leon Simons 🌍
Leon Simons 🌍@LeonSimons8·
@KBRH87 As we keep telling our colleagues at NASA, we hope their data is wrong. But we should act like it could be even worse. Because uncertainty works in both directions and the precautionary principle compels us.
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Prof. Eliot Jacobson
Prof. Eliot Jacobson@EliotJacobson·
It appears the 365-day running mean for the global sea-surface temperature may have bottomed out and may be on the way up again. Fun fact: the current SST is hotter than any recorded SST prior to 2023.
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Human Progress
Human Progress@HumanProgress·
In 1968, Paul Ehrlich predicted that unchecked population growth would cause mass starvation. Instead, the global death rate fell by over a third, and famines disappeared outside of war zones. How did he get it so wrong? In short, he ignored humanity's ability to innovate.
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Leon Simons 🌍 أُعيد تغريده
Leon Simons 🌍
Leon Simons 🌍@LeonSimons8·
The risks of rapidly accelerating warming shouldn't be underestimated. Withholding information about this is gross negligence. Lying and spreading disinformation around this is fraudulent and makes one complicit in causing avoidable risks. twitter.com/LeonSimons8/st…
Leon Simons 🌍@LeonSimons8

This is no joke: "Aggressive aerosol reductions could double the increase in heat extremes over China and Europe by 2050" Aerosols must be included in climate risk assessments: nature.com/articles/d4158… In @Nature by @ggpersad et al.

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Philosophy Of Physics
Philosophy Of Physics@PhilosophyOfPhy·
During a casual meeting with an engineer friend, Gustave Ferriere, in a café, Einstein used a simple visual aid to make a point about the limitations of mathematical certainty as; Einstein placed five matchsticks on the table. He told Ferriere that each matchstick was exactly 2.5 inches long and asked for the total length of the row. Ferriere quickly calculated the sum as 12.5 inches. Einstein shook his head and said, "That’s what you say... But I very much doubt it. I don’t believe in mathematics"
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Leon Simons 🌍
Leon Simons 🌍@LeonSimons8·
Why global warming is accelerating and what it means for the future @newscientist Why do media keep putting science on global warming acceleration next to social media posts than deny it (while their own science supports it)? @AlecLuhn
Leon Simons 🌍 tweet media
Leon Simons 🌍@LeonSimons8

Just read this new paper (instead of anyone's tweet or blog stating the opposite). It says that the models are wrong because the assumptions in the scenarios were wrong. They will be even more wrong once they take into account the years since (IMO) 2020. nature.com/articles/s4324…

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Leon Simons 🌍
Leon Simons 🌍@LeonSimons8·
Records of the Trump Administration’s Illegal "Climate Working Group" Available Online Some quotes: Judith Cury (hand picking reviewers...): "i searched for bader on twitter, google, news, etc. Didn't find anything objectionable?" John Christy: "Dave Bader is not to be considered - highly antagonistic to anything that doesn't support the narrative" Ross MckKitrick: "Without even reading the NASEM [National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine] report I assume it's useless. The problem is they draw experts from govt agencies and universities" Steve Koonin: "Poor connectivity due to one of those extreme precipitation events in the Hudson Valley. I’ll do my best."
Leon Simons 🌍 tweet media
Leon Simons 🌍@LeonSimons8

@curryja This is quite wrong. @DrJamesEHansen, Kharecha et al. estimate a shipping aerosols forcing change of +0.5 W/m² The 'small' citation from Schmidt, 2024 is based on a simple model in a blogpost by @hausfath. You also misspelled P Kharecha his last name x.com/LeonSimons8/st…

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