NOAA

Here is the latest on the mid-July heat wave currently impacting the north-central United States. Record-breaking heat will expand into the Northeast by midweek. Be sure to take precautions by staying hydrated and limiting time outdoors.

There is an increasing signal for heavy rain and the potential for flash flooding across West Texas and portions of the Hill Country this upcoming work week. The current forecast calls for several possible inches of rain Monday-Friday.

Threat of heavy rain gradually abates across the southern Appalachians to the Carolinas as a heavy rain event emerges across the Hill Country to the Big Bend regions of Texas wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hp…

Anomalous heat and humidity continue across the northern Plains to the upper Midwest, spreading into the Northeast by Tuesday wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hp…

From the Intermountain West to the northern Plains, the first widespread and significant heat wave of the summer is expected to develop today and intensify through this weekend. Widespread triple digit high temperatures are expected by Saturday afternoon, possibly reaching the 110 degree mark locally by Sunday afternoon. This will lead to numerous daily high, monthly, and even all-time temperature records.

The flash flood risk is increasing across southeastern Missouri into the Tennessee Valley for this evening into the overnight hours as rounds of heavy rainfall fall over saturated soils. Turn around, don't drown.

Also out today: Our Monthly Global Temperature & Precip Report ...

Next week looks relatively wet for the southern US (monsoon in the Southwest) and drier for the Northern/Central Plains and Midwest. Temps: Warmer than normal chances for almost all of the US except the Northeast and Alaska. Drought.gov @NOAA @NWS

#DroughtMonitor 7/7: Spotty precip led to very localized improvements and degradations. Many states saw both. States w/ large degradations: OR, WY, CO, NC, SC States w/ large improvements: ID, MT, KS, AR, NJ #Drought2026 Footprint: 39.6% of the US drought.gov @NOAA

Our Monthly U.S. Temperature & Precipitation Report is out today, this time for June:

Severe thunderstorms posing a risk for strong gusts and/or large hail are possible across portions of the northern and central Plains, the Lower Missouri to Lower Ohio Valleys, and across the Mid-Atlantic Thursday afternoon and evening. Excessive rainfall may bring flash and urban flooding over the Mid-Mississippi and Ohio Valleys, and Mid-Atlantic on Thursday.

Dangerous heat wave continues across the Southeast & Carolinas into next week. Highs in the 90s-100s & high humidity will push heat indices to 105-110°F, bringing major to extreme HeatRisk. Stay safe: limit outdoor time & stay hydrated!

There is a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of the Central Appalachians, Ohio Valley/Middle Mississippi Valley on Friday wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hp…

There is a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of the Mid-Atlantic/Central Appalachians, Ohio Valley/Middle Mississippi Valley/Great Lakes and Central High Plains on Thursday wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hp…

There is a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Mid-Atlantic, Ohio Valley/Middle Mississippi Valley, and Northern/Central High Plains on Thursday wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hp…

In the Upper Midwest, heavy to excessive rain may bring flash and urban flooding through Wednesday. Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of large hail and damaging wind gusts are possible from the central High Plains into the Upper Midwest Wednesday.

Dangerous Heat Continues Across the Southeast and Southwest wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hp…

There is a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Ohio Valley/Middle Mississippi Valley and Central/Southern High Plains on Thursday wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hp…

There is a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Central Plains, Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley on Wednesday wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hp…

In the Northern Plains into the Upper Great Lakes and Mid-Atlantic, heavy to excessive rain may bring flash and urban flooding Tuesday. Severe thunderstorms producing damaging winds are most likely over parts of the Dakotas into Minnesota Tuesday afternoon into the overnight, with other isolated storms producing hail or wind over the northern High Plains.