David Seapy

336 posts

David Seapy

David Seapy

@SeapyDavid

انضم Nisan 2022
170 يتبع66 المتابعون
David Seapy
David Seapy@SeapyDavid·
@electricfelix RoW much stronger than last year too. It's very clear from this where the IRA tax credit ended and where China's tax incentives were reduced. I'm sure things will pick back in NA and China in time. I remember when Germany's subsidies ended, and look at their growth now.
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Felix Hamer • electricfelix
Felix Hamer • electricfelix@electricfelix·
Benchmark: "Europe: 0.3m, +21% YoY Europe continues to lead global growth, w/ sales up 21% year to date and 1% month on month in February. Germany (+26% ytd), France (+30% ytd) & Italy (+98% YTD) are driving momentum, supported by national and EU‑backed subsidy schemes." ⚡️⚡️
Felix Hamer • electricfelix tweet media
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David Seapy أُعيد تغريده
ESS News
ESS News@pvm_ess_news·
Hithium pushes into long-duration storage and AI data centres with 1,300Ah cell, 6.9 MW/55.2 MWh system, and lithium-sodium hybrid: Chinese battery maker Hithium unveils 1300Ah cell, integrated long-duration… dlvr.it/TPqjFs #energystorage #BatteryStorage #SmartEnergy
ESS News tweet media
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David Seapy
David Seapy@SeapyDavid·
@LithiumIonBull For the US it's a undoubtedly increasingly important to have a reserve. Also much preferred over them picking winners. Personally though I'm all-in on $LAR, and don't really mind the volatility in lithium price. They should be fine no matter what.
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Howard Klein
Howard Klein@LithiumIonBull·
🔥 New policy idea for U.S. lithium security: The Strategic Lithium Reserve — a modern SPR for the lithium age. China controls ~70–75% of chemical conversion. Lithium prices have swung 10–15× in two cycles. Western projects struggle to reach FID under this volatility. Full white paper + details: 👉 blog.rkequity.com/2025/12/08/str… Here’s the 30-second breakdown ↓
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David Seapy
David Seapy@SeapyDavid·
CATL advocates for discipline when it comes to batteries, but for lithium it has no problems operating its Jianxiawo mine. 🤔
李其 Lizzi@wstv_lizzi

A remarkly self-reflective and clear-eyed speech from CATL chairman Zeng Yuqun on the status + challenges facing China’s lithium battery industry: “Genuine innovation in the industry is still far from sufficient. Many companies make only minor tweaks, while even more focus solely on short-term gains, chasing quick profits or sinking into bottomless price wars rather than investing in R&D and quality.” 行业里真正的创新还远远不够。很多企业有一些微创新,但更多的是只顾眼前,只想赚点快钱,或是陷入无底线的价格内卷,不愿意在研发和质量上下功夫。 “But we’re not only locked in involution at home, we’re exporting it abroad. This year in several major markets in Europe, the United States, and the Middle East, competition among Chinese firms has been especially fierce, particularly in large GWh-scale projects. Some companies have slashed prices by 30% below normal levels while promising battery lifetimes 50% longer.” 但是我们不仅卷国内,还卷到国外。今年欧美和中东的一些主要市场,中国企业竞争尤为激烈,尤其在GWh级别的大项目上。部分企业直接在正常价格降价30%,承诺寿命增加50%。 “China’s lithium-battery industry has already become number one in the world. It’s time to think about how to move toward high-quality development. That’s why I’m standing here today, and it’s something I’ve discussed with many leaders: we must establish strong industry self-discipline and commit to long-termism. Only by doing so can we build a lithium-battery sector that not only rises, but rises with integrity.” 中国锂电产业发展到今天,已经做到了世界第一。是时候想一想怎么推进高质量发展。所以今天我站在这里,想跟大家说一句话,我也跟很多领导谈过:建立高度的行业自律,坚持长期主义。做到这一点,我们才能建成一个不仅向上而且向善的锂电产业。 “I recently visited Korea and several other countries and found that they are throwing their full weight behind innovation, focusing intensely on truly disruptive breakthroughs. If we continue repeating the old model of ‘expand capacity and make a bit more money,’ then in the next 15 years we may be unable to maintain China’s competitive edge in lithium batteries, nor uphold our responsibility in the global energy transition.” 我最近去韩国等国家跑了一圈,发现他们铆足了劲做创新,专注做很多颠覆性的创新。如果我们重复“扩大规模、再赚多一点”这样的模式,那么可能在以后的15年守不住中国锂电池产业的竞争优势,也守不住肩上能源转型的重任。 “China’s lithium-battery industry should not only be the world’s number one, it should become the 2.0 version of number one: the global leader in high-quality development, one that earns the world’s respect.” 中国锂电产业不仅要做到世界第一,还要做到2.0版的世界第一,即高质量发展的世界第一。要让全世界尊重。

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David Seapy
David Seapy@SeapyDavid·
@D_Jimenez_Sch 💯. The only reason is to begin building out some supply that avoids China, to hedge for geopolitical risk. But Tesla doesn't want to pay extra and prefers to try themselves at Corpus Christi.
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Daniel Jimenez Sch
Daniel Jimenez Sch@D_Jimenez_Sch·
IGO’s CEO says $1.2b Kwinana refinery won’t make money even if it’s fixed and lithium price keeps rising IGO´s CEO confirming what is evident: as of tyoday it makes no sense to refine lithium concentrated, mineral or brine, at origin. China has such lower Capex and Opex than anywhere else, and 90+% of the lithium chemical units are consumed in China anyway. “..if it was (at) nameplate (capacity) today, we still don’t believe that it would be economic . . . that’s a function of what it means to do downstream processing in Australia, when you look at the energy costs, when you look at the labour costs, when you look at the lack of broader clusters of capability around these assets.” “There is considerable excess capacity in China today. Probably about half of the capacity is being utilised at present,” he said in response. PD: refining lithium being a "money printing machine" or delivering "software margins" was a very bad advice. thewest.com.au/business/minin…
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David Seapy
David Seapy@SeapyDavid·
@LithiumIonBull @RhoMoIola @benchmarkmin Great interview as always. Certainly one of the best at tracking all this stuff. It is interesting seeing how BESS forecasts vary so wildly. With Ganfeng CEO saying on $LAR earnings that it would likely be bigger than EV, Iola having it be smaller, and CATL CEO 10x bigger.
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Howard Klein
Howard Klein@LithiumIonBull·
Always great to speak with the great Iola Hughes @RhoMoIola Strongly encourage all to listen in ahead of Benchmark Minerals Week in Los Angeles next week @benchmarkmin KISS BESS. #lithium demand shock... 👇
Rock Stock Channel@RKEquityRocks

Energy storage is becoming a significant share of global battery demand. @RhoMoIola shares insights on storage growth, EV trends, and the midstream supply chain. 🔗 youtu.be/iWpPCNGFETo Chapters 👇 (00:00) Intro (05:01) ESS Demand to ~20%+ Share (07:19) Giga-Scale Projects Driving Growth (10:09) Iterative Storage Tech, LFP Prices (12:38) Sodium-Ion's Limited Role (15:43) Global EV Update (China, EU, U.S.) (18:15) Policy Headwinds, U.S. EV Reset (21:16) China EVs Led by Cost Parity (24:13) U.S. Cell Plants Pivot to Storage (28:39) Investment Flow Into Storage (30:05) OEM Pullbacks, Storage as Outlet (30:55) Robo-Taxis (33:12) Lithium Price (34:34) Drones, Commercial Vehicles (37:53) Batteries Near "Good Enough" (42:08) AI/Data Centers, Supply Chain Gaps (47:33) Wrap-Up

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David Seapy
David Seapy@SeapyDavid·
@WayneHines24470 69GW at somewhere between 2 and 4 hour duration lines up with approximately 200Gwh, right?
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David Seapy
David Seapy@SeapyDavid·
@LithiumIonBull I was previously all-in on ALTM, moved to being all-in on LAR when it became clear RIO was acquiring ALTM. Jurisdiction, management, cost-curve position, strategy, valuation, ... I like everything about the company at this point.
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Howard Klein
Howard Klein@LithiumIonBull·
Mr Market doesn’t get to hear from Ganfeng’s Wang Xiao Shen too often. I’ll be sure to be listening in on Monday. $LAR is the only pure play lithium brine producer available on western exchanges and is trading at one tenth the value of what Arcadium sold for to $RIO last year. At $636M market cap it continues to trade below replacement cost at a time when Argentina equities are 🔥, lithium supply is tight and demand is strong. World class JV partner Ganfeng has surpassed $ALB and $SQM as market cap leader by far on RK Equity’s lithium scoreboard. Lots of upside from both price and volume growth IMO. My largest lithium holding. Not advice. DYOR Tune in Monday… 👇
LithiumArgentina@Lithium_ARG

Don’t miss out!    Our third quarter 2025 earnings results and the Scoping Study for PPG will be released before market open on Monday morning.   A webcast will be held on Monday, November 10, at 8:00 a.m. ET, featuring Sam Pigott, CEO of Lithium Argentina and Wang Xiaoshen, CEO of Ganfeng Lithium along with other members of the team. Tune in to hear more about our quarterly performance and the next phase of regional growth. events.q4inc.com/attendee/38475…

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David Seapy
David Seapy@SeapyDavid·
The West needs ex-china LFP cathode. They can (and are) partnering with CATL, but are going to be limited to gen 3 due to export restrictions. Because of this they will want battery grade lithium carbonate, again ex-china. Basically Argentina or Chile. Milei/RIGI is the way.
Howard Klein@LithiumIonBull

.@NOAlithium $NOAL.V KISS conventional, high grade #Argentina #Lithium 👇👇👇👇

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David Seapy
David Seapy@SeapyDavid·
@itskyleconner Are features being developed separately for the current system and Pleos, or will their work be re-used?
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Kyle Conner
Kyle Conner@itskyleconner·
Hyundai route planning has improved! IONIQ 9 with ability to adjust arrival SoC at charger & final destination separately Nice work ⚡️
Kyle Conner tweet media
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David Seapy أُعيد تغريده
CnEVPost
CnEVPost@CnEVPost·
BYD unveils Haohan energy storage system with world's largest capacity of 14.5 MWh Its blade batteries deliver a maximum capacity of 2,710 Ah, more than 300 percent higher than conventional energy storage batteries. cnev.co/69pl2oK 👇
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David Seapy
David Seapy@SeapyDavid·
@RoamingNorway @Out_of_Spec Well done Nio. I would like more range and charging speed, but for the size/price it's not terrible. Especially since Tesla doesn't make a car to compete in this segment, seems like Nio may be the best option.
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William Jarbeaux
William Jarbeaux@RoamingNorway·
I did a video over on @Out_of_Spec and it's live! 1 hour and 20 minutes short. Here is a sneak peak.
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Kyle Conner
Kyle Conner@itskyleconner·
Possible first @TeslaCharging high voltage V4 Supercharger is live! @RoamingNorway is going to China next week for an @Out_of_Spec shoot… maybe he can go check this out? 👀 Might need to triple check this is true as I’m seeing two charging cabinets, which would indicate V3, but the rumor is this is the first!
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David Seapy
David Seapy@SeapyDavid·
@matt_fernley Also, when they can reach battery-grade, they can avoid going through China or the need to build expensive/risky refining/processing outside of China. Given the growth of LFP factories outside of China, they should be in a great position in the coming years.
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David Seapy
David Seapy@SeapyDavid·
@D_Jimenez_Sch 💯 The next generation of LFP is massively underrated for driving LCE demand in the next couple years.
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Daniel Jimenez Sch
Daniel Jimenez Sch@D_Jimenez_Sch·
Brump, building a 450 kMT LFP plant. This equates to 115 kMT LCE/yr. Just like that! This is roughly 50% of the global LCE demand in 2018. Notice: Gen 4 LFP, High Energy Density.
Daniel Jimenez Sch tweet media
Mysteel New Energy@MGNewEnergy

🚀 China Lithium-ion Battery Materials Market Snapshot | Week 4, Aug 2025 💡 For full reports and in-depth insights delivered every week, contact us at inquiries@mysteel.com. Don’t miss out - stay informed every step of the way. #BatteryMaterials #Lithium #Energy #Recycling #EV

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David Seapy
David Seapy@SeapyDavid·
@Tslachan Needs to compete against Onvo L90 though.
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Tsla Chan
Tsla Chan@Tslachan·
There was a rumor that the estimated price of the Model YL was 280,000 yuan, but I personally think this price is ridiculously cheap. Realistically, the reasonable price is 330,000-350,000 yuan.
Tsla Chan tweet mediaTsla Chan tweet media
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Dirty Tesla
Dirty Tesla@DirtyTesLa·
Tesla Robotaxi has been updated with dynamic pricing! Shorter ride now cost less. It seems the max price per ride is still $6.90
Dirty Tesla tweet media
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David Seapy
David Seapy@SeapyDavid·
@DirtyTesLa Do we know long til Android support? Seems like that's the biggest omission atm.
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Dirty Tesla
Dirty Tesla@DirtyTesLa·
Another robotaxi app update. Release notes 👇
Dirty Tesla tweet media
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