Smirkley

Brian Thompson was the Minister of Health in Canada, apparently. How else could Hasan and Luigi explain this?

Yesterday, the US officially launched its 10th LNG export terminal (Golden Pass), pushing capacity to 18.3 Bcf/d. Meanwhile, Canada’s lone major facility is finally ramping up to its 1.84 Bcf/d target.

1% of the NYC jobs are in manufacturing and nearly 21% in health.

@YouAreWrongOk I decided to look it up. The garment industry made up about 46% of NYC’s entire industrial labor force in 1910 and produced 70% of women’s clothing for the US. Now only 2% of clothing purchased is US made.

@Smirkley in 1990 my grandmother worked in a factor in Queens making sweaters. That wasn't that long ago. Don't let them gaslight you into thinking those jobs can't come back.

Since 2008, NYC lost 45.8% of its manufacturing jobs but gained 82.5% more health care and social assistance jobs.

@DayOvDaPillow Ozempic.

@Smirkley Why isn't the guy in your pfp eating shawarma?

Name change. I’ve switched to just @Smirkley I’m going to turn off most notifications for my sanity. That is all.

@cremieuxrecueil Here what it looks like when you zoom in.

I simulated 100,000 people to show how often people are "thrice-exceptional": Smart, stable, and exceptionally hard-working. I've highlighted these people in red in this chart:

And here’s the problem with modern statistical science in education. I bet half the replies go «yeah but how representative is that sample?». Good point! Probably higher SES than the other group, probably by quite a lot. Confounders everywhere. Better question though, is «how can we find the true numbers?», and the answer is you can’t. I mean you could, but then you’d have to get past the ethics board with a random cohort of kids not going to school. Good luck with that. There will never be good research on this until people warm up to the idea that school isn’t what it’s cracked up to be, and if we do get there, we probably won’t need numbers? In other words, the idea that schools are great is shielded from criticism.

@jflory204 The insurance companies, with low profit margins, must make tough decisions about scarce medical resources, just as single-payer systems like Canada’s do. Hasan and Luigi are children.

@charliesmirkley They would rather no one gets treatment than admit socialism doesn’t work

Brian Thompson was the Minister of Health in Canada, apparently. How else could Hasan and Luigi explain this?

By the actual crime base rate, which is what is relevant, they’re not being strip-searched enough! Black Londoners are 10.5× more likely to commit knife murder than non-Black Londoners.

@jimoxe @BringBack_Chief @sourpatchlyds Moving a student from an average teacher to a top-tier teacher results in a gain of 0.15 to 0.25 standard deviations in test scores. That fades within 1-4 years. Teacher Training, Teacher Quality and Student Achievement

@charliesmirkley @BringBack_Chief @sourpatchlyds Student achievement is a direct result of teacher effectiveness. Ineffective teachers produce low student achievement.

Only teachers are smart enough to educate children. Education majors, training to become certified teachers, score an average of 1029 on the SAT. While homeschooled students (taught by parents with no formal teaching credentials) score 1190.

@GuyCooldude42 I do have infinite universes where I can make that happen,

@charliesmirkley There's so much difference between public school and homeschool, apples to oranges and incomparable unless you try to control for A LOT of confounding factors. Take the same homeschool parent and child put them to teach and learn in a public school and see how they fare.

@LARVAMOLT 25% of homeschooled kids take the ACT or SATs.

@charliesmirkley Yes - they do have higher scores because of selection bias. As I said previously, 999/1000 homeschooled kids live like Genie the feral girl with no education. 1/1000 of these kids is actually given private tutors and an above-average private education - that kid takes the SAT.

Not all women are under 5’10”. So I win. 80% of elementary teachers are education majors. Even 45% of high school teachers. 52% of homeschooling mothers and 48% of fathers hold a bachelor’s degree or higher (NHERI). 45% of younger Black women hold at least a bachelor’s degree. I can only assume their kids have amazing SAT scores.

@charliesmirkley This assumes a couple things that aren’t true, first that teachers all have education degrees, they don’t. Many science and math teachers have backgrounds in stem especially at junior high and high school levels. Also only 60% of parents who homeschool have bachelors or higher

@jaradkoby the population-level fact does not rescue the argument when the data matches people on education. You’re comparing similarly educated subgroups. I have no idea what your second point means.

@charliesmirkley For example, Conservatives are less likely to hold degrees. This could explain the gap widening. What doesn't change with education is religious beliefs which are much more likely to inform psychological beliefs than education, especially if all you take is gen psych

Since I'm already on their page, one last point on bad stats They say the stats presented (5 graphs) do not represent a "refusal to seek help" even though it explicitly does. Christians are far less likely to seek diagnoses. Why? Because they believe God will get them through it

@jaradkoby Again, they are seperate and you have no idea what the word “objectively” means. You have a pet theory and don’t bother to provide evidence for it. Your second post doesn’t because I partially controlled for this and the correlation for non-attenders is as strong or stronger.

@charliesmirkley It is if the interpretation is bad/objectively wrong. I also touched on that in my second post in the thread