

YBGLocks
1.1K posts

@YBGLocks
📈Professional sports bettor documenting alpha ♟️Performance: 🏀NBA '25: 15.65% ROI ⚾️MLB '25: 29.03% ROI





3/30/26 - Suns vs Grizzlies Oso Ighodaro 'O' 9.5 Points - Coach Ott recently mentioned he wants to use the bigs to attack weaker paint defenses; the Grizzlies are a prime target today - Grizzlies will most likely be without any of their big men, not that they had much to begin with; Oso should feast - L10 Grizzlies are 29th in points allowed in the restricted area #NBAProps #SunsUp



3/29/26 - Rockets vs Pelicans Alperen Sengun 'O' 5.5 Assists - Going back to this after his teammates went cold against the Timberwolves; the Pelicans aren't slouches on defense but I don't expect the same level of difficulty - Nothing has changed; they are still running offense through Sengun with Reed in the starting lineup - In his L5 since Reed has started he's seen 17, 7, 16, 9, and 18 potentials; clearly showing his new role and increased frontcourt touches - L10 Pelicans are 25th in assists allowed in the restricted area; where 33% of Sengun's assists originate #NBAProps #AllFire

3/29/26 - Celtics vs Hornets Neemias Queta 'U' 8.5 Rebounds - Centers have been struggling to clear their rebound lines against the Hornets due to their scheme that limits efficient rebounding - Looking at recent games; Embiid 6 (7.5), Mitchell Robinson 6 (7.5), KAT 3 (10.5), Raynaud 7 (9.5) - Projected 8.2 rebounds #NBAProps #DifferentHere

3/29/26 - Celtics vs Hornets Moussa Diabate 'O' 2.5 Assists - Queta is a heavy drop center and the Hornets love to run offense through Diabate against these types of matchups - 3 vs Wemby, 4 and 5 vs Clingan, and 6 in a H2H earlier this year - No Grant Williams raises his minutes ceiling as well #NBAProps #HiveMentality











Marcus Smart (ankle) listed out Wednesday.



3/24/26 - Magic vs Cavs Wendell Carter 'O' 10.5 Points - Going back to Wendell in a matchup that will be brutal for both Goga and Mo Wagner - Has only seen 28/29 minutes recently but this should tick up given that the Magic's backup centers play heavy drop; a recipe for disaster against the Cavs even in a potential blowout - Projected for 11.3 points on 28.5 minutes - Anthony Black and Jalen Suggs both out frees up shots that Wendell can absorb #NBAProps #MakeItMagic



3/21/26 - Bucks vs Suns Oso Ighodaro 'O' 3.5 Assists - Going back to Oso here; Ott has mentioned that with Grayson Allen out, he likes to run more offense through Oso - This on top of Oso already being a playmaking center gives even more to his upside - Since Mark Williams has been out, Oso is averaging 4.7 assists on 25+ minutes over 7 games - L10 Bucks are 29th in assists allowed #NBAProps #SunsUp

3/21/26 - Warriors vs Hawks Draymond Green 'U' 20.5 PRA - Draymond is on a B2B and the upside just isn't there given his history in these spots this season - He has gone under on every B2B this season except the most recent one, where he went over in OT seeing 29 minutes; without OT he would've logged 25 - Currently projected for 20.5 PRA on 28 minutes - Many if not all of their G Leaguers are active; don't expect Draymond to be pushed too heavily #NBAProps #DubNation

3/21/26 - Heat vs Rockets Davion Mitchell 'O' 5.5 Assists - No Jaquez and Wiggins gives him a floor of around 30 minutes; he logged 32 last game with both out - Reed starting means the Rockets' overall defense should be even worse on top of their already declining unit - Projected 6.0 assists on 28 minutes - When playing 30+ minutes this season he is averaging 8 assists over 26 games #NBAProps #HeatNation