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Jon Brooks
11.2K posts

Jon Brooks
@jonbrooks
Florida Housing 🔥Net Worth Millionaire in 3.5 Years Selling RE 🚀 $3B+ & 8,500+ units sold since 2020
Jacksonville, FL انضم Ağustos 2015
250 يتبع10.1K المتابعون


@robbiehendricks I’m more bullish than ever before @robbiehendricks on the 2-4 unit space.
Just started with a new client doing 2-3 of them a month in Cleveland
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Young RE Guys: Please stop romanticizing institutional-sized multifamily real estate and "going big".
Once you start looking at deals around 100 units or so, margins get tighter and tighter.
Owners are savvier. 99% of them aren't going to sell to you off-market because you can "close fast with cash".
They're not in the business of taking a 25% haircut to save on the "hassle from listing with a broker".
There's something to be said for sticking to the 20-60 unit space. There is a lot more upside in those little deals where older owners have no scale, no systems, and no efficiency.
A fair price to them might be an exceptional basis for you given your knowledge of how to more efficiently add value and manage those smaller properties.
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@WallStreetMav Florida is great, just that our wages havent kept up with shelter costs. that is the main problem with Florida right now.
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Because a decent chunk of Real Estate in this country relies on cheap gas.
Its only accessible via car, and because of its low density its built far away from real job centers. This means that the value of these properties would tank if the price of gas/energy rises to the point where commuting from these places costs more than the saved value of moving out here to own these homes

ja3k@ja3k_
Idk why gas prices are so culturally salient in america. You could drive an hour a day and it probably comes to less than $3k/year. Is it because they put the price on billboards along the road?
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🔴The US private credit industry is facing its biggest CRISIS in years:
The combined market cap of Blackstone, KKR, Apollo, Brookfield, Ares, Carlyle, and Blue Owl has fallen ~$200 BILLION since mid-2025 to ~$450 billion, the lowest since early 2024.
Stocks of major private credit firms have plunged -25% or more year-to-date, as a wave of redemptions hits the $1.8 trillion industry.
Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs estimates that retail credit fund assets grew from $34 billion at the end of 2021 to $222 billion at the end of 2025, but that growth has now gone into reverse.
Goldman projects private credit funds could lose $45 billion to $70 billion in assets over the next 2 years, a potential decline of up to -30% from the 2025 peak.
The funds that have already reported withdrawals manage ~$166 billion in portfolios, a fraction of the ~$1.5 trillion invested across direct lending funds, but the contagion is spreading.
Notably, BofA compared the turmoil to the early days of the 2008 Financial Crisis, when subprime was "contained" until it was not.
The private credit unwind is accelerating.

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If you're having a bad day, remember that someone paid $450,000 to live next to Snoop Dog in the metaverse
Polymarket@Polymarket
JUST IN: Meta announces they'll be shutting down the Metaverse, after pouring $80,000,000,000.00 into the project.
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I'm hiring at Compass!
I have a personal mission to help everyone understand the US housing market.
We're adding to the economics team to help me scale that mission.
Our first spot is a Northern California-focused market analyst. If you love the data and you love the Bay Area, check out this role!
(More Compass Econ Team opportunities coming soon. Stay tuned!)
compass.com/careers/?gh_ji…
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@barbarismcrit these are brand new homes. they're updated. but they're crap builds.
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Yeah most people can’t afford to spend half a million dollars for a shitty 1300 sq ft house that hasn’t been updated
More Perfect Union@MorePerfectUS
Sales of new homes in the U.S. have plummeted. The latest data shows sales of new single-family homes down 17.6% — hitting the lowest levels since October 2022.
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@cherrygarciafan and most of the real estate markets haven't even gone negative yet. that's just getting back to near 0 growth.
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@theficouple they say that because these areas are either really affordable or because their housing market is so bad.
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@jonbrooks miami insurance alone is enough to make the numbers fall apart. plus hurricane risk. people buying the dream, not the math
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@jonbrooks Property owners are aware that people from out of state will pay more just to say they have a house in Miami. They buy the clout.
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@CookResearcher yeah miami seems overbuilt. outskirts are also overpriced.
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@jonbrooks We are the early stages of a real estate bust. It’s hit the rest of Florida hard. When will it come to Miami?
Overbuilding signs are everywhere in Miami.
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@jonbrooks Real estate prices aren't crazy in a US context; it's the carry cost. And double whatever HOA they're telling you.
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@IAmAdmirX it's very possible to see a larger correction in the next 2 years if rates remain elevated.
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@jonbrooks Wait 12–24 months. Prices will collapse by at least 20% worldwide.
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