Kinfo

If I am reading a traders post and if there is any hint of market opinion I leave very quickly. The reason is obvious, one can not trade the markets with an opinion or bias. Reading or hearing about an opinion could affect your own mindset. It may work sometimes, but it can lead to missing moves and taking losses. My thoughts are to work with trend, be patient, watch price action and trade price action without bias or opinions. Trading Chat rooms can be very dangerous as well. Opinions and bias are plentiful. Cheers!

March +74.5K$ (+40K unrealized) March was a pretty steady and fruitful month in terms of opportunities, with war headlines driving a lot of the flow across both large caps and small caps, and oil-related small caps emerging early on as some of the main protagonists, offering trades across multiple timeframes and setting the tone for a good part of the month. My short strategy performed slightly below its usual standards with a 50% win rate versus a ~59% expected baseline, but that didn’t prevent the month from closing solidly green, with a few large outliers like $AHMA and $WNW carrying a disproportionate part of the performance, exactly how the model is supposed to behave when it’s working. The month didn’t start clean at all, with an early drawdown of around -40k in the first day as names like $BATL and $TURB didn’t fade as expected, and although my initial read was that they could turn into multi-day runners, I don’t operate on opinions and prefer to follow the system, which is far more reliable over time. Those names eventually did evolve into multi-day runners, creating strong swing opportunities later on despite the overnight costs. Closed the month at +74.5k realized, and I’m currently running around 50% of the roll exposed in big cap swing shorts built over the past months, with roughly +40k unrealized in march across names like $PLTR, $CVNA, $OKLO, $RR, $AVGO, $NVDA, $TSLA, $HYMC, $SLV and the quantum space, bringing the total monthly gain to +17.4%. The year now sits at +277k (224K realized), +41.6%, which considering January started with a ~150k downswing and 14/15 red days, is hard to complain about. Plan is to keep holding the swing shorts until stops or targets, which for most names sit 30–40% lower from current levels (mainly watching $PLTR towards the 70 area if the market gives), while maintaining the same execution consistency that was almost perfect in March, aside from the usual early pikes which I expect to reduce over time. On the side I’m still developing strategies across other timeframes and market caps, but those will take a few more months before being fully deployable. Slowly starting to add some small cap swings as well, with reduced size, mainly to better understand liquidity constraints and tail risk before scaling.