Storm Keith

@ElectionMapsUK Reform win easily labour were strongest in this part but not now

Just the 1 council by-election this week, a Reform defence in Cliftonville (Kent).

@PollingReportUK This is sort of seat where it's often conservative Vs lib dem, where voting conservative makes far more sense than reform, to offset seats they will lose to reform. conservatives need to be opposition next time to stop rainbow coalition of chaos

PROJECTION: NORTH DORSET TOO CLOSE TO CALL (LEANING LIB) MAJ: 0.43% pollingreport.uk/seats/E14001388

@paul_rams34 @FindoutnowUK I do think this is closer to reality 30 31 is to high across country although in certain areas if will be higher but 22-24 is to low. And conservative need to be higher then labour greens and lib dems

NEW POLL - WESTMINSTER REFORM: 26% GREEN: 20% CON: 18% LAB: 15% LIB: 10% SNP: 3% PLAID: 1% OTHER: 7% via @FindoutnowUK, 01-02 Apr

@MaggieThatchr @ElectionMapsUK @TiceRichard Talking rural wealthy more southern areas where lib Dems R often there biggest challenger i live in Kent borders Surrey will be cons Vs lib Dems with reform picking up labour voters

@ElectionMapsUK @TiceRichard Well done the great people of Tottington 👏🏻 👏🏻 Although 26.7% are crazy. Who is still voting Tory? 🤯🤯

Tottington (Bury) Council By-Election Result: ➡️ RFM: 39.5% (New) 🌳 CON: 26.7% (-19.1) 🌹 LAB: 14.7% (-14.5) 🌍 GRN: 10.9% (New) 🏘️ TfB: 8.2% (New) No Bury Inds (-25.0) as previous. Reform GAIN from Conservative. Changes w/ 2024.

@MaggieThatchr @ElectionMapsUK @TiceRichard And would want labour or greens getting those votes seems strange l. For me reform first conservative in opposition is only way we can stop a rainbow coalition of left. When it's all said and done cons will wipe our labour and lib Dems in many seats if reform don't split it

@ElectionMapsUK The same can be said about voting reform in southern wealthy shires, where its often conservative against lib dem where at general election those seats will determine if lib Dems or conservatives r opposition to reform as it stands and beat labour in certain seats,will see in may

Hareholme & Waterfoot (Rossendale) Council By-Election Result: 🌍 GRN: 37.7% (+9.2) ➡️ RFM: 34.5% (New) 🌹 LAB: 19.2% (-27.9) 🌳 CON: 6.8% (-17.6) 🔶 LDM: 1.8% (New) Green GAIN from Labour. Changes w/ 2024.

@ElectionMapsUK @Moreincommon_ My instinct yougov 23 24 far to low and more at 30% probably to him but somewhere in middle is where they are at. We will only know when elections start rolling in

Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 30% (+3) CON: 21% (+1) LAB: 19% (=) GRN: 12% (=) LDM: 11% (-3) SNP: 2% (-1) Via @Moreincommon_, 28-30 Mar. Changes w/ 20-22 Mar.

@noqueenalive @ekajcw @BMGResearch No u need about around 3rd of population to vote 4 which it is doing.even if it's couple less cons will ensure it's not a 🌈 nightmare there jobs is 2 take lib dem and lab seats they never should of lost last reform voters may have 2 vote cons to help ref win majority some seats

@ekajcw @BMGResearch Reform do not hold 28% of the vote, that is an insane estimate. You would have to be universally liked for those kinda numbers

Reform lead of 9pts Ref: 28% (+1) Lab: 19% (-1) Con: 18% (=) Grn: 16% (+2) LD: 12% (=) SNP: 2% (=) Seat Estimate Ref: 346 Grn: 69 LD: 63 Con: 54 Lab: 45 SNP: 45 Via @BMGResearch (25-26 March) Changes with 4-5 March

@ekajcw @BMGResearch If people vote sensibiand it might mean swallowing urvhabd but conservative can be opposition if in rural southern areas people vote out lib Dems and similar where cons Vs labour and reform can't vwin then cons can stop all the party games if they've second 80-90 swap dems4cons

@ChuggsC15686 @bradfordgreens @Conservatives @reformparty_uk I agree in places where conservative have no chance, but people need to wish up if conservative can get rid of labour greens lot lib Dems in more fruendkyvrural seats then both can have the spoils. If people vote correctly we could end up reform as leading party and cons opps

@bradfordgreens Time for @Conservatives to withdraw and request their supporters vote @reformparty_uk Can't have #socialists winning

📈 The Green surge is real! 🟢 The Green Party is the only party that can stop Reform and replace the tired old parties. ✅️ On May 7th make your 3️⃣ votes Green.

@LauraELBailey75 @disgustedoftwe1 @ElectionMapsUK He is always grumbling at someone or something usually at the conservative probably is secret lib dem voter, seeing as tun wells has gone that way, whether they will make that mistake again remains to be scene

@disgustedoftwe1 @ElectionMapsUK Inferior? Wow thats not nice! Most people say Sevenoakes is pretty whilst Royal Tunbridge Wells is snobby - you just proved their point

Halstead, Knockholt & Badgers Mount (Sevenoaks) Council By-Election Result: 🌳 CON: 44.2% (-20.7) ➡️ RFM: 29.8% (New) 🔶 LDM: 20.9% (-14.2) 🌍 GRN: 5.1% (New) Conservative HOLD. Changes w/ 2023.

@hopwood_benncfc @marcus_bra83109 @ElectionMapsUK Ilu reckon labour could take a very rural sevenoaks seats they got no where best in a landslide m, sevenoaks is but like parts if Surrey cons Vs lib Dems with reform better in more labour areas but it's 85% green belt farmer not happy, cons flipped a lib dem seats 2 weeks ago

@marcus_bra83109 @ElectionMapsUK Just a guess but Stanford- reckon reform will split the Tory vote and greens might build on their share and nick it from lib dems

4 Council By-Elections are taking place this week: 🌳 Axholme Central (North Lincolnshire) 🌹 Brumby (North Lincolnshire) 🌳 Halstead, Knockholt & Badgers Mount (Sevenoaks) 🔶 Stanford (Vale of White Horse)

@PutBritain_1st @ElectionMapsUK I think reform will win sevenoaks not these wards lib Dems Vs conservative in some parts if 7oaks there is rep but cons flipped a lib dem seats 2 weeks ago in sevenoaks

@ElectionMapsUK I predict 2 Reform, 1 Lib Dem and a toss up between Reform and the Lib Dem’s in the other.

@Megaenglandd @ElectionMapsUK What do y mean! London is up so all if it is isn't it

@stormchasing100 @ElectionMapsUK Yes, but in May, hackney won't have a chance.

@BritainVotesNow Lincolnshire seats reform gains prime spots sevenoaks hold cons gained a sevenoaks seat 2 weeks ago from lib Dems, i assumed vale easy lib dem win, some suggesting cons won council seat if area, but con Vs lib Dems in England will be scrubbing them, alongside lab hammered ref up

🔔 Polls are OPEN for 4 Council by-elections happening today: 🌳 Axholme, Central North Lincolnshire 🌹 Brumby, North Lincolnshire 🌳 Halstead, Knockholt & Badgers Mount Sevenoaks 🔶 Stanford, Vale of White Horse Some Town & Parish Council by-elections are also taking place. We will post the results as they are announced.

@Megaenglandd @ElectionMapsUK No chance of any of them, they never win sevenoaks even in thumping majority times so no chance be bet con ref lib, but sevenyhad a conservative gain 2 weeks ago against lib Dems

@ElectionMapsUK Labour will win them all 💀💪

@ElectionMapsUK So conservative won sevenoaks only 2 weeks as a gain, cons and lib Dems strong in these parts, conservative hold, Lincolnshire is reform county hold for lib Dems in vale and i expect other Lincolnshire seat to go reform as well

@ekajcw This is why cons should accept 2nd place at general election is a good place to be they must defeat labour greens and lib Dems won't be easier but a lot of conservative labour marginal all if a sudden becomes winnable fact cons haven't overtaken labour in a seat says it all why

PROJECTION: Dover and Deal Ref: 37.3% (+13.5) Lab: 21.5% (-18.1) Grn: 17.3% (+10.8) Con: 15.6% (-6.1) LD: 5.2% (-0.2) Based on current polling averages

@givemeabreak67 @haydonperryman @GBNEWS We r relying on them a missing b other country would of blown it article 5 for sure would kick in if any nato country was hit and B it would be airforce tasked with blowing it up preferably over sea

@haydonperryman @GBNEWS Well said, even Col (Rtd) Richard Kemp stated this morning, we have no air shelters to go too, we have and are being let down massively by this government who clearly don’t have a clue what they are doing, it’s shocking and not only that they haven’t even proscribed the IRGC 🤷🏻‍♀️😡

Keir Starmer to hold emergency Cobra meeting after Iran threatens UK with 'British lives in danger' warning gbnews.com/politics/keir-…

@LeftieStats O come on imo there is no way labour will out vite cons if reform mop up some areas and cons do there usual areas only inner city cities will be left in west midlands and even there the Muslim extremists will probably win

🗳️#GE2029 estimate | West Midlands (county): ➡️ Ref: 30% (+12) 🔴 Lab: 21% (-16) 🔵 Con: 17% (-6) 🟢 Grn: 15% (+9) 🟠 Lib: 5% (-1) -- Seats -- ➡️ Ref: 17 (+17) 🔴 Lab: 3 (-18) 🟢 Grn: 2 (+2) ⚪️ Ind: 2 (+1) 🔵 Con: 1 (-1) ⚙️ WPB: 1 (+1) +/- vs GE2024