I struggle with what to say about the new AI 2040: Plan A website. It all seems so implausible to me that I'm not sure where to start. There's an epistemic chasm between those who think superintelligence implies near-omnipotence and those (like me) who don't.

@binarybits Consider that to many of us the present state of AI was implausible as recently as 5-10 years ago.

@Surveil__Lance Rapid progress in capabilities isn't the main part I'm skeptical about.

@binarybits Well I think you are anchored to a false Hayekian approach because AI isn’t going to be constrained in a way where it lacks data