I swear to god you people have the worst epistemic hygiene. Literally none of these things have happened! People are not "viscerally" scared "from the halls of the Pentagon to the backroom congressional briefings." There is no, nor are there plans for an "AGI Manhattan Project." And very, very few people on Capitol Hill think "this is the most important challenge for [our] national security ... since the Atomic bomb." Could that change before the end of 2027? Sure, maybe. But until then, if this impresses you, you're telling on yourself.

@NateWitkin i think you are a bit out of the loop on DC's thinking here

@ShakeelHashim Care to elaborate? Which specific claim do you disagree with most and why?

@NateWitkin lots of people are viscerally scared, lots of people realize it is the most important natsec challenge. there is tons of reporting on this, the actions of the admin and increased securitization of AI speaks for itself, and if you talk to people in DC this is clearly happening

I have a hard time believing the scope of that fear is as wide as anticipated by Aschenbrenner. Clashes with what I often hear about a lack of understanding surrounding AI esp. in Congress. Even in natsec circles, I expect there is a range of opinion on how scared we should be. I don't buy that "most important challenge since nukes" is a widely held view. "A big challenge" is one thing, but that's a very strong comparative claim. Open to being wrong, and feel free to point me conflicting evidence.

@NateWitkin you are correct about the manhattan project, however.