Shakeel

15.2K posts

Shakeel banner
Shakeel

Shakeel

@ShakeelHashim

Editor, @ReadTransformer. Prev: AI safety and EA comms, journalist @TheEconomist, @Protocol, @finimize

London Katılım Ekim 2009
2K Takip Edilen8K Takipçiler
Shakeel
Shakeel@ShakeelHashim·
This NYT piece gets something quite importantly wrong, btw — the UK has no rules on predeployment evals or safety standards, and everything I’ve heard is that we’re a long way off from having them.
Shakeel tweet media
English
0
1
0
106
Shakeel retweetledi
Kevin A. Bryan
Kevin A. Bryan@Afinetheorem·
Always worth taking what Anton and friends work on seriously. Diminishing returns + bottlenecks quickly limit growth benefits on AI...but not if you have enough cross-sector spillovers + endogenous $ on higher MP innovation. "Sufficiently fast" does a lot of work here, of course!
Kevin A. Bryan tweet media
English
3
9
24
2.2K
Nathan Witkin
Nathan Witkin@NateWitkin·
"RSI" has always struck me as the classic example of a LessWrong-era coinage that just doesn't make much sense anymore. Either it has the trivial meaning of "AI makes AI developers more productive" or the implausible one of "AI autonomously rewrites its own capabilities with little-to-no human assistance." People used to mean the latter (see the LessWrong wiki definition here: lesswrong.com/w/recursive-se…). I have no clue what they mean now.
Timothy B. Lee@binarybits

I sincerely don't understand what people mean when they say this. On the one hand, every AI researcher is already using Claude Code (or its competitors) to help them develop new architectures. OTOH, AI models do not have bodies so they can't build data centers

English
3
3
13
2.6K
Timothy B. Lee
Timothy B. Lee@binarybits·
I sincerely don't understand what people mean when they say this. On the one hand, every AI researcher is already using Claude Code (or its competitors) to help them develop new architectures. OTOH, AI models do not have bodies so they can't build data centers
Jack Clark@jackclarkSF

I've spent the past few weeks reading 100s of public data sources about AI development. I now believe that recursive self-improvement has a 60% chance of happening by the end of 2028. In other words, AI systems might soon be capable of building themselves.

English
17
3
92
19.7K
Shakeel
Shakeel@ShakeelHashim·
@austinc3301 nope, it's not using the Codex browser or my normal browser -- think it's doing it via API calls to the Slides API
English
1
0
1
21
Shakeel
Shakeel@ShakeelHashim·
@austinc3301 I disconnected/reconnected the Drive integration and now it does seem to be able to edit the Slides directly fwiw — though it’s still very very slow
English
1
0
0
11
Shakeel retweetledi
Jeffrey Emanuel
Jeffrey Emanuel@doodlestein·
It will be obvious in retrospect that this particular deal (and others like it) will have done more to accelerate AI-driven job losses than just about anything else. Which seems weird to me given Dario’s stated concerns about economic disruption from things moving so fast.
Andrew Curran@AndrewCurran_

Official announcement from Anthropic:

English
6
4
30
5.7K
Shakeel
Shakeel@ShakeelHashim·
"When I look at all the publicly available information I reluctantly come to the view that there’s a likely chance (60%+) that no-human-involved AI R&D - an AI system powerful enough that it could plausibly autonomously build its own successor - happens by the end of 2028." — @jackclarkSF importai.substack.com/p/import-ai-45…
English
0
0
11
570
Shakeel
Shakeel@ShakeelHashim·
The crux of this debate is whether a lead of a “few months” is critical. I and many other supporters of export controls think it is; I also think Mythos is an existence proof of why this is the case.
Sebastian Mallaby@scmallaby

Adding to my replies below, and extending this debate among @CFR_org colleagues, I note that @edwardfishman’s new @ForeignAffairs essay drills down on what it takes to have an effective Geoeconomic weapon. One requirement is that the target country can’t figure out a new way of getting what it wants on about a one year horizon. If we define what China wants as being an Nvidia-quality firm, the US definitely has a Geoeconomic weapon. But if we define China’s goal as replicating US frontier AI capability, then clearly China is able to fast follow—it is only a few months behind.

English
0
0
2
436
Shakeel retweetledi
Scott Singer (宋杰)
Scott Singer (宋杰)@Scott_R_Singer·
"We come from different parties and have guided artificial intelligence policy under very different presidents. But we agree: A.I. has become so powerful that, along with its tremendous promise, the technology poses immediate risks to national security. The United States is competing with authoritarian powers for control of A.I.’s future. Yet the country lacks a strong plan to protect the nation from A.I.’s profound dangers." Powerful article in the New York Times from @deanwball and Ben Buchanan
English
2
3
10
972
Shakeel retweetledi
Michael Story ⚓
Michael Story ⚓@MWStory·
Sad that these people are so lost in a fog of entitlement that they forget the purpose of research spending: to benefit from the research! Not to employ people who’d otherwise have nothing to do theguardian.com/technology/202…
English
6
12
84
17K