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@Bicepmonkey

Protect the children, God, and country. The rest: stocks, gains, cars, and dreams. 🇺🇸⚖️ #Nanalyze 🧠 Read my articles → #MoneyMarket🪐

San Francisco Bay Area📍🏴‍☠️ Beigetreten Mart 2016
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📈📉💸@Bicepmonkey·
My investment portfolio as of April 1, 2026. Dividend Growth: $ABT $APD $CAT $ITW $JNJ $KO $MCD $NEE $PG $XOM Core ETFs: $QQQM $SCHD $VOO Disruptive Growth: $BILL $CRWD $DDOG $GTLB $IOT $ISRG $NOW $SNOW $SNPS $TEM Turnaround & Recovery: $BMI $CMG $GLD $META $MSFT $NVO $ORBS Blue Ocean: $ADYEY $BEAM $BYDD $COIN $CRSP $DLO $GH $MBLY $NVDA $NTLA $OKTA $ONTTF $PATH $PCOR $PL $SDGR $TCNNF $TWST Digital Assets: $BTC $DOGE
📈📉💸@Bicepmonkey

Recent changes: Sold $AXON at $547 on March 9 (3% trailing stop). Added $META at $525, $MSFT at $356, $GLD at $414 on March 27 (3% trailing stops set). Deciding between $FIG or $PSTG to replace $CFLT after the $IBM buyout.

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📈📉💸@Bicepmonkey·
I opened a new position in Figma stock $FIG today. Many people are looking at software stocks right now and feeling negative about them. The market seems sour on the whole group. I see things differently with Figma. We believe this company stands to gain significantly from the rapid growth of artificial intelligence. Figma leads the field in tools for user interface and user experience design. The company holds a large amount of its own data from public and private files, telemetry data, and user behavior within the product. All of that data gives Figma a real edge as artificial intelligence tools become more important. Customers can also buy AI credits to use the special artificial intelligence features built into Figma. Those credits create another stream of income that should grow over time. The latest numbers look solid. Figma reported 40% revenue growth in the most recent quarter. Gross margins sit near 80%. The company maintains a strong balance sheet with almost $1.7 billion in cash. A simple valuation ratio helps check if his stock looks expensive. It is a company's market cap divided by its annual revenue. The number shows how many dollars investors pay for each dollar of sales. When you look at the simple valuation ratio for Figma, it comes in around eight. That feels reasonable for a business of this quality. One key strength shows up in the net retention rate. It runs over 130%. That means existing customers keep spending more money with Figma each year. They expand their use of the product instead of cutting back. Only about one-third of Figma users are professional designers. The rest work in many different roles across their companies. This situation creates a powerful network effect. Once a team starts using Figma, more departments and more people inside the same organization tend to join in. The tool spreads naturally through the business. I added Figma to our Blue Ocean portfolio because these factors align well with long-term growth. Artificial intelligence will change how people design and build digital products. Figma sits right in the middle of that change with data, tools, and customer habits already in place. The high retention and network effect should help revenue keep climbing even if the broader economy slows down. My main concern right now is the high levels of stock-based compensation. The numbers look large due to one-time costs tied to the earlier-planned deal with Adobe $ADBE, and the initial public offering process. I will watch the numbers closely in future reports to see what normal levels look like once those special items fade away.
📈📉💸@Bicepmonkey

Figma stock $FIG now trades around $27 per share. The company went public and saw its value drop by 75 percent from its peak. Market cap stands close to $14 billion today. Adobe $ADBE tried to buy Figma for $20 billion a few years back. Regulators blocked the deal due to antitrust concerns. Adobe then paid Figma a $1 billion breakup fee. Figma builds software for design, prototyping, and team collaboration. One third of active users work as developers. Two-thirds come from other roles, such as product management. Annualized revenue reaches about $1.2 billion based on the latest quarter. This creates a simple valuation ratio of 13. That level looks fair when compared to other tech companies. The average ratio across many similar stocks sits near 7.5. Adobe holds a ratio of around 5. The business keeps growing. Revenue crossed $1 billion in the past year. Free cash flow shows steady improvement after removing one-time items, such as the Adobe payment. Gross margins stay high at 82 percent. Operating margins turn positive when stock-based pay gets excluded. AI brings more benefits than risks to Figma. Management states that better AI makes their platform stronger. Over half of large customers use AI features every week. Figma now sells extra AI credits when users exceed free limits. This helps cover the high cost of running large language models. Partnerships with OpenAI and Anthropic let teams build apps faster. Even if AI reduces some design jobs, it increases demand for AI tools that need credits. Adobe largely stepped away from head-to-head competition. It moved its XD product to maintenance mode with only bug fixes and no new features. Figma controls 77-90% of the collaborative design market. Adobe keeps its lead in high-end non-collaborative creative work. Figma estimates a total addressable market of $30 billion. Nearly all Fortune 500 companies already use the platform. Future growth can come from current customers spending more on added features. Recent filings show no serious red flags. Fundamentals remain solid. Profitability improves each year. AI supports expansion instead of threatening it. The current lower price may present a good value for investors who focus on companies with strong growth and cash generation.

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Josh Isner
Josh Isner@JoshIsner·
$Axon will not be spending anywhere close to $1.3B on its new campus. Don’t believe the BS.
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📈📉💸@Bicepmonkey·
People rarely speak of the rate that strikes stocks priced far beyond reason. However, it arrives without mercy. Take the quantum computing sector, where excitement has outrun reality for too long. IonQ $IONQ, Rigetti Computing $RGTI, D-Wave Quantum $QBTS, and Quantum Computing $QUBT all trade at levels that defy their current financial results. These companies post heavy losses and modest revenues while their share prices once soared on promise alone. Now the market is applying the correction it has long needed. Valuations compress as investors demand proof that the technology can deliver real profits, not just headlines. This does not mean the hype will never return. Markets love a good story, and quantum computing holds genuine long-term potential. However, history teaches a cold lesson. For any company carried aloft by inflated expectations, one of two outcomes must follow. Either the fundamentals strengthen enough to justify the price, or the valuation returns to industry averages. The rate is not a rumor or a theory. It is the market restoring balance. Smart observers watch it unfold and adjust accordingly. Over time, only those businesses that turn vision into earnings will stand tall. The rest learn the hard way that gravity still applies, even in the world of next-generation technology.
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📈📉💸@Bicepmonkey·
Revolut stands alone in the digital finance arena. While others chase scale, this global player has quietly built a customer base that now towers over the combined customer bases of its closest rivals. Revolut currently serves more than 70 million retail customers worldwide. That single figure dwarfs the total users held by SoFi $SOFI, Robinhood $HOOD, Dave $DAVE, and Chime put together. The numbers do not lie. Revolut adds roughly 1 million new customers every 17 days. It does so with steady precision, turning everyday banking into something far more powerful. In a world where attention scatters across apps and platforms, one company has drawn the crowd and kept it. That kind of dominance demands respect. The rest of the field still has work to do.
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📈📉💸@Bicepmonkey·
The global surgery market stands as one of the largest untapped opportunities in medicine today. Consider this stark reality. Of the 313 million surgical procedures performed worldwide each year, only 6% occur in the poorest countries. Those nations house more than one-third of the global population. True equity in surgical access requires at least 5,000 procedures per 100,000 people annually. That benchmark indicates that at least 425 million surgeries are needed each year once adequate coverage is in place. At an average cost of $10,000 per procedure, the potential market is roughly $4 trillion. Intuitive Surgical $ISRG built its da Vinci systems to make complex operations more precise, less invasive, and far safer. As the world works to close this massive access gap, the company sits at the center of a transformation that will expand surgical care to millions who need it most. The numbers do not lie. The opportunity is enormous, and the mission is clear.
📈📉💸@Bicepmonkey

x.com/i/article/2042…

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📈📉💸@Bicepmonkey·
The software sector continues its slide. Investors grow weary of fresh headlines, yet here I stand once more. Last Friday brought another advance from Anthropic with its latest Claude model. The market reacted with fresh unease. Many now fear that powerful AI agents, built to handle complex multi-step tasks once done only by humans, may reshape or even replace parts of the traditional software industry. Every software name in my Disruptive Growth portfolio now trades below its average price from the past four quarters. This moment calls for steady hands, not a rush for the exits. Where conviction runs deep, selective additions to strong holdings may make sense. As always, any such move will come with clear notice.
📈📉💸@Bicepmonkey

My investment portfolio as of April 1, 2026. Dividend Growth: $ABT $APD $CAT $ITW $JNJ $KO $MCD $NEE $PG $XOM Core ETFs: $QQQM $SCHD $VOO Disruptive Growth: $BILL $CRWD $DDOG $GTLB $IOT $ISRG $NOW $SNOW $SNPS $TEM Turnaround & Recovery: $BMI $CMG $GLD $META $MSFT $NVO $ORBS Blue Ocean: $ADYEY $BEAM $BYDD $COIN $CRSP $DLO $GH $MBLY $NVDA $NTLA $OKTA $ONTTF $PATH $PCOR $PL $SDGR $TCNNF $TWST Digital Assets: $BTC $DOGE

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📈📉💸@Bicepmonkey·
The shadows of hype cloak these new players in the AI infrastructure game. Yet one must cut through the noise with cold precision. Consider Nebius $NBIS, IREN $IREN, and CoreWeave $CRWV, the so-called neoclouds racing to supply GPU power for artificial intelligence workloads. Ignore the wild swings in share prices fueled by social media frenzy. Focus instead on the fundamentals. These companies carry more unknowns than most in the sector. Their paths to outsized rewards remain unclear at best. The central question stands sharp: Does the potential return justify the risks you assume? NVIDIA $NVDA presents a clearer long-term risk-reward balance. I choose to remain a long-term investor there. I will not allocate capital to the neocloud space. Paper gains vanish until realized. Strip them away and ask yourself honestly: Are you truly compensated for the dangers embedded in these ventures? The market offers better options for patient capital. This view rests on objective assessment, not emotion. In the end, discipline separates survivors from casualties in any high-stakes arena.
📈📉💸@Bicepmonkey

My investment portfolio as of April 1, 2026. Dividend Growth: $ABT $APD $CAT $ITW $JNJ $KO $MCD $NEE $PG $XOM Core ETFs: $QQQM $SCHD $VOO Disruptive Growth: $BILL $CRWD $DDOG $GTLB $IOT $ISRG $NOW $SNOW $SNPS $TEM Turnaround & Recovery: $BMI $CMG $GLD $META $MSFT $NVO $ORBS Blue Ocean: $ADYEY $BEAM $BYDD $COIN $CRSP $DLO $GH $MBLY $NVDA $NTLA $OKTA $ONTTF $PATH $PCOR $PL $SDGR $TCNNF $TWST Digital Assets: $BTC $DOGE

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📈📉💸@Bicepmonkey·
Never buy any asset without first establishing clear, objective rules for when you will sell it. And once those rules exist, you follow them without exception. Yet even the sharpest minds occasionally wonder: Does this principle truly apply in every single situation? My answer remains firm. It does. Discipline separates survivors from those who watch their capital vanish into regret. Markets tempt us with stories, emotions, and shifting narratives. Without predefined exit conditions, even the strongest conviction can crumble when fear or greed takes over. Define your sales triggers in advance. Honor them when the moment arrives.
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📈📉💸@Bicepmonkey·
Kratos $KTOS and AeroVironment $AVAV have carved out their places in this high-stakes arena. Now another player steps into the light. Aevex Aerospace $AVEX prepares to launch its initial public offering on the New York Stock Exchange. The company aims to raise $336 million at a valuation of up to $2.35 billion. It brings similar unmanned systems and precision technologies to the fight. However, when one looks at the numbers, weaknesses emerge. Aevex Aerospace $AVEX shows thinner gross margins. Heavy reliance on fixed-price contracts often squeezes profits when costs rise. The firm depends heavily on the United States government, which accounted for 78 percent of its revenue last year. That kind of concentration carries familiar risks in the defense sector. In this arena, strength and proven execution matter most. AeroVironment $AVAV delivers a sharper edge with its battle-tested platforms and steadier path forward. For those who prefer even less exposure to volatility, the larger established defense contractors still offer the safest shield.
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📈📉💸@Bicepmonkey·
Retail investors keep chasing dreams of overnight wealth. They end up learning a hard truth the expensive way. There are no get-rich-quick schemes. That phrase just hides the real game. Someone else is getting rich off of you. The market rewards patience.
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📈📉💸@Bicepmonkey·
The odds are one in a billion that we live in base reality. Elon Musk has long warned of this truth. When artificial general intelligence arrives, it will likely decode the simulation itself. What power would such knowledge grant?
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📈📉💸@Bicepmonkey·
I have just dropped my first analysis on X Premium. Of course, I opened with the one company I trust above all others in this space: Axon Enterprise $AXON. Read it when you get a moment. I would value your honest take. Going forward, expect two to three fresh pieces each week. This marks the beginning.
📈📉💸@Bicepmonkey

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📈📉💸@Bicepmonkey·
The latest Consumer Price Index report landed this morning, delivering a cold truth no one in the markets wants to hear. Inflation has surged to 3.3% over the past 12 months. That marks a sharp jump from 2.4% the month before. Core inflation sits at 2.6%. The month-over-month rise hit 0.9%. These numbers signal trouble ahead. The Federal Reserve finds itself backed into a corner with few good options left. Officials cannot cut interest rates without risking even higher prices that would destroy their credibility. At the same time, they cannot raise rates easily because consumer sentiment has dropped to record lows, and recent revisions to gross domestic product point to lower growth. The debt burden and ongoing money supply growth leave policymakers with their hands tied tight. Energy costs drive much of this pressure. Oil prices hover near $96 per barrel. The national average gasoline price is now $4.15 per gallon. In some states, the figure climbs higher. Diesel fuel approaches record levels near $5.68 per gallon. These increases ripple through farming, shipping, manufacturing, and delivery. Higher input costs for fertilizers, chemicals, and metals push up the prices of everyday goods. Real earnings fell 0.6 percent in March. That means purchasing power erodes even as prices climb. Look at the probabilities from the CME Fed Watch tool. Markets assign a 98.4% chance that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady at the April 29 meeting. For the June 17 meeting, the odds are 98.3% of no change. July shows only a slim 2.1% chance of a cut. Much can shift in the coming months, yet the pattern remains clear. The Federal Reserve stays on pause while inflation refuses to cool toward the 2.0% target. This situation creates a delicate balance for investors. Persistent inflation erodes the value of cash and fixed-income assets. Energy sectors and commodity-related industries may see continued strength as costs transmit through the economy. At the same time, higher borrowing costs and squeezed consumer wallets weigh on growth-sensitive areas. The broad market faces uncertainty as participants weigh the risk of sticky prices against the chance of slower economic activity. The United States economy has shown resilience before. However, the current mix of elevated energy prices, supply chain disruptions from global tensions, and a high-debt environment demands careful navigation. No quick relief appears on the horizon until energy markets stabilize, and that resolution remains uncertain. Markets will digest these figures over the coming sessions. Smart positioning requires focus on fundamentals rather than short-term noise. Companies with strong pricing power and solid balance sheets are better positioned to weather the storm. Those reliant on cheap credit or discretionary spending may face tougher roads. In the end, this report reminds every participant that the rules of the game have not changed. Inflation does not simply fade away when convenient. It demands respect, and right now it demands attention. The Federal Reserve must thread the needle with precision, or the consequences will spread far beyond Wall Street. Stay sharp. The shadows of higher prices grow longer, and only clear-eyed analysis cuts through them.
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Othram Inc.
Othram Inc.@othram·
Check out the preview for Episode 2 of our new YouTube series. “She Died Without a Name. 60 Years Later, She Reunited Her Children.” Full episode this Thursday. #dnasolves youtube.com/shorts/ZEolmAv…
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📈📉💸@Bicepmonkey·
Revolut stands as the clear European force, while Robinhood $HOOD and SoFi $SOFI represent the stateside forces. They dominate without mercy. One in 5 working age adults across Europe now relies on Revolut.
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📈📉💸@Bicepmonkey·
Microsoft $MSFT demands an extra payment for a Copilot feature that few actually use. Meanwhile, Anthropic $ANTHRO delivers real power. Claude works straight inside Excel to build financial models, analyze data, create tables, and clean messy datasets. All available in Claude Pro, Max, Team, or Enterprise plans.
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