Kira

317 posts

Kira

Kira

@BitcoinHunterX

Designer and Video Editor

Beigetreten Nisan 2016
247 Folgt1K Follower
Kira
Kira@BitcoinHunterX·
@Crypto_Chase If a btc wick is still expected down to 60k. Is this hype scenario still in play ?
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MAK@mahin_trades·
My Liquidation is 62,100$ for $BTC longs Am i Safe?
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Kira@BitcoinHunterX·
@Crypto_Chase You got in on gold even tho it didn't reach your level ?
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exitpump@exitpumpBTC·
$ETH Above 3k is unacceptable, send it lower
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Mercury@TraderMercury·
before market humbled me in March 2020 risk management didn't really exist at all after, I'd be mindful of risk per trade, and overall risk amount in the market at one given time but instead of 'compounding' risk in the traditional sense (as you go), I'd only increase risk amts by hitting mental checkpoints, or spending enough time at a specific portfolio-worth in order to get comfy/familiar with it one of the biggest issues for me was: my brain's perception of the value of money was lagging behind my new nw, because in crypto boom-bust cycles your nw tends to increase rapidly in a relatively short period of time so the "1% risk per trade" rule was pure garbage bc my new 1% would be my old 5% from just 6 months ago, assuming a 5x in portf., and even though same principles applied, I couldn't adhere to them as fluidly.
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corndogman@cornd0gman·
hey @TraderMercury when you started again from scratch, what was your risk management process like? How did it change as you hit 10k, 100k, 1m?
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Kira@BitcoinHunterX·
@Crypto_Chase Not confident it can get to 145 chase ?
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Kira@BitcoinHunterX·
@astronomer_zero I thought you said 97k before 87k. Doesn't hitting 87k invalidates your thesis ?
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Astronomer
Astronomer@astronomer_zero·
$BTC 86k hit. We're now in the middle of my high timeframe POI, I'm now fully long. Slow reversal process continues. Aggressive drop overnight during New York session after price bouncing only 5% from our grey POI zone. Losing grey means the market wants to reverse off our purple high timeframe POI zone instead, which indeed means the reversal process will take longer as mentioned last post. So more patience required, not necessary a joy most likely for many of you. But my promise remains a full and close guide through this trade, showcasing you the reality of why I choose a loose passive strategy for this slow reversal trade, and why that is the best ultimate path to money, rather than try to long every single POI with a tight stop or worse, get suckered at the top of every single pump off every single low timeframe POI because you were "waiting for a reclaim". So I just used my entries ready for this high timeframe zone, and so I have increased my size from 0.75x to 1x (full size). Invalidation of the slow reversal process is still the same, which is losing the purple zone. A long trade, a slow reversal. And every lower timeframe and early call zone of mine that only gave a bounce of 2-5%. This high timeframe reversal zone is the last stand, and will take more time as 97k hasn't been reached (only 93.5k), which is the bad news. The good news is that it offers a very low entry here we just added, and it allows me to showcase the full advantage of this type of trading strategy. Enjoy.
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Kira@BitcoinHunterX·
@Crypto_Chase Nice man been following all the way.
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Chase@Crypto_Chase·
$BTC $ETH update Longs from 92K~ and 3K~ now in profit (there were updates after quote tweet that lowered avg entry). I believe crypto bounced from last relevant support on chart n equities are do or die at 6580 (bounced from 6594 today) Will update TPs/SLs after more thought.
Chase@Crypto_Chase

$BTC $ETH I am long from 92.7K~ and 3K~. Prices are currently 92K and 3020. My feed has a ton of updates so wanted a clear, concise tweet. I currently have 1.5R~ worth of open risk and I'm willing to go up to 2R~. Adds at 90K~ / upper 80Ks / 2900~ are my absolute last stands.

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Kira@BitcoinHunterX·
@Crypto_Chase You still going for an overall 2.5rr risk throughout all these additions that you're adding ?
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Chase@Crypto_Chase·
A stab towards 91K~ on $BTC and 2900's on $ETH is acceptable, but we are entering dangerous waters. If these dips are offered, they need to be bought up very quickly. I'd add the final parts of my long position there and it truly becomes do or die for the market imo.
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Kira@BitcoinHunterX·
@exitpumpBTC Is this information actually actionable? Can you short/long based on it or is it just noise ?
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exitpump@exitpumpBTC·
$BTC Looks cooked ngl
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Kira@BitcoinHunterX·
@astronomer_zero How are you up 3k from the entry point. I thought your entry was at 111k ?
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Astronomer
Astronomer@astronomer_zero·
$BTC 113k hit, taking a first TP here. Thanks for playing (to be continued). Alright, another day, another day where the red September believers are just continuing to have a hard time, both in alts, $ETH an $BTC. Meanwhile, we kept on repeating and repeating the opposite. Creating a plan of not only telling you when to wait (the top arrow), for the entire pullback from 123k to 110k to complete (before September came), but also to, in fact, take action as soon as 110k hits, and, as soon as September begins (both are equally important). And finally, to send reminder again and again not changing stance once (the market only has one answer, and one only). Funny to see the September bears push their beliefs so hard on just something with a statistical advantage of merely over 50%, they shorted, sold, and made their followers short and sell hard again into the lows just Yesterday too when looking at the size-filtered perps CVD's on all influencer pushed exchanges. Price meanwhile setting higher low after higher low right where it reached our false reversal POI and real reversal POI (the purple ones), combined into our "box of take action", where price nicely reverses from so far. Move up so far still in early beginnings, but from our entry, up 3k, which is 25% of the way there to main target. So no, it's not far yet, and no, it is by no means a significant target reached. But to create good habits, and because this is a large position, I am taking 10% off the position. As price moves higher and greed therefore raises, I will be taking bigger portions of profits. (Large) fear (at large) = buying (at large) Greed (at large) = TP'ing (at large) In a bull market. Vice versa in a bear market. And that, is how to make money. As we are showing in live time again with this trade. Thank you. Fourth win in a row in the making.
Astronomer tweet media
Astronomer@astronomer_zero

$BTC They are still bearish, and I am still bullish Alright, another day where most of CT remains bearish, expects red September, tells you that we need a flush, etc. etc. Discussed many a times as to why this September is likely not going to be red specifically, and why it is consistently not smart to use such arbitrary data, expecting certain months to be red or green as if trading/investing is that simple. Everyone who puts real money on the line, knows it's slightly more sophisticated, hence the depth we raise our standards to. In fact, the key is to find the exact opposite of "simply". "Avoid mid curving" as they say on here. Seasonality shapes sentiment, not price, and so it should be interpreted that way in my humble opinion. And so the ever popularity of "Red September" is good for us. It does indeed turn sentiment very bearish. And so with our analysis given prior, we are very bullish here and expect the opposite, once again. In fact the sentiment has been locally so bearish that panic selling hit enough volume to trigger market makers to start setting early bottoming tails earlier to initiate the early-month-bottoming-range (EMBR). It's possible they pull a trick, but, with high push of limit orders, it can easily be read as absorption of a lot of panic selling happening into this level. That unfortunately caused our compound order to be front run. All good, we are confidently bullish, missing the cherry on the cake is fine, we just want to make consistent money. And adaptation is simple, and goes along with my personal plan: Add half of what I wanted to compound right here, and the other half, in case we still get one more sweep, at our original level. That's my line of action. Fairly simple with a small adaptation step. Hope that's not too confusing, but I can't ignore just how bearish everyone is despite the market clearly being bullish and setting up for higher, brought to the awareness of any serious reader of my posts over the last days and weeks. I thank you, higher is coming, red September will remain in your backyard, let the majority of CT play there.

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Chase
Chase@Crypto_Chase·
$ETH looks like it wants to pop soon, put on a half risk long at 4320~. Super compressed, think we get resolution either way this week. $BTC also testing 112K for the 4th time, some short-term relief / squeeze starting to make sense.
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Kira@BitcoinHunterX·
@astronomer_zero What is your invalidation for this thesis?
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Astronomer
Astronomer@astronomer_zero·
$BTC They are still bearish, and I am still bullish Alright, another day where most of CT remains bearish, expects red September, tells you that we need a flush, etc. etc. Discussed many a times as to why this September is likely not going to be red specifically, and why it is consistently not smart to use such arbitrary data, expecting certain months to be red or green as if trading/investing is that simple. Everyone who puts real money on the line, knows it's slightly more sophisticated, hence the depth we raise our standards to. In fact, the key is to find the exact opposite of "simply". "Avoid mid curving" as they say on here. Seasonality shapes sentiment, not price, and so it should be interpreted that way in my humble opinion. And so the ever popularity of "Red September" is good for us. It does indeed turn sentiment very bearish. And so with our analysis given prior, we are very bullish here and expect the opposite, once again. In fact the sentiment has been locally so bearish that panic selling hit enough volume to trigger market makers to start setting early bottoming tails earlier to initiate the early-month-bottoming-range (EMBR). It's possible they pull a trick, but, with high push of limit orders, it can easily be read as absorption of a lot of panic selling happening into this level. That unfortunately caused our compound order to be front run. All good, we are confidently bullish, missing the cherry on the cake is fine, we just want to make consistent money. And adaptation is simple, and goes along with my personal plan: Add half of what I wanted to compound right here, and the other half, in case we still get one more sweep, at our original level. That's my line of action. Fairly simple with a small adaptation step. Hope that's not too confusing, but I can't ignore just how bearish everyone is despite the market clearly being bullish and setting up for higher, brought to the awareness of any serious reader of my posts over the last days and weeks. I thank you, higher is coming, red September will remain in your backyard, let the majority of CT play there.
Astronomer tweet media
Astronomer@astronomer_zero

$BTC Still holding longs, nothing changed + update on the plan of action Alright, we're 2 days later. And there's no need to give any drawn out supplementary analysis. Because the plan is unchanged. To not sound repetitive, and because all you have to do, is scroll down on my timeline to understand my analysis, this time, I drew out the chart a bit differently, to give you context of the overall plan, and with an emphasis of the most important thing I care about when it comes to writing posts: How to take action and make money (not just analysis and drawing lines, because analysis only, is often deceitful, and if not done correctly, does not imply any action). But the right analysis does imply action, and adding which actions I am taking in live time each time is all it takes to let you know when exactly I get in and out, with a kind word of NFA to do the same. Plan of Action Capital letter A, because we care a lot about that word, and because now, we are in my "action" zone. We waited 123k until 111k, but IMO now is not smart to wait for longer. Price is slowing down in its decent and we are in my zone of interest. The worst thing I can see happen (as happens with almost every local range), is a sweep of the low, before reversal and, I believe this type of price action suggests that rather heavily. To take advantage of this final low timeframe price action finishing the move, and because the sentiment is so bad on bitcoin, and because no one really expects 123k to come again soon, and because of the overall promised I would be positioned heavily, I am planning to double up if we get that sweep. That is the plan of action, within the frame of the overall plan. Notice how this plan also does not suggest a red September, as we talked about before, why I don't think expecting a certain month to be red is consistently smart. Upside is coming, the pay will be big. All you have to do, is click the same buttons I do (NFA), I am telling you right here right now, every one or two days if I clicked anything in live time, and for the rest, just sit back. The beauty of trading.

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Kira
Kira@BitcoinHunterX·
@Innerdevcrypto i was agreeing with you till you mentioned india
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Innerdevcrypto@Innerdevcrypto·
People in many western countries think that they are still the ´first world´ or ´more developed´ or ´superior´ or have a tendency to lecture to or about other countries (which most never visited) Go visit China, Singapore, Dubai, with better tech and infrastructure than the west, even places that move forward fast like Saudi-Arabia, Vietnam, India, el Salvador, Panama, and many others. Keep living in western illusions, the rest of the world is steaming ahead fast while many western countries have peaked and are collapsing under a debt/woke/no-birth pandemic. Quality of life is still high in the west of course, but the gap is being closed at an incredible speed.
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Kira@BitcoinHunterX·
@astronomer_zero Curious, what's your invalidation for this thesis ?
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Astronomer
Astronomer@astronomer_zero·
$BTC There is a 100% chance BTC is going to moon very soon. You are in panic. We have been planning to long once we hit 111k and below. You just gave up on your position and ate a few SL's... And we are comfortably holding our first long we entered this entire trend down. The Hash ribbon signal flashed again, a signal of which its importance I explained many times before. Historically, every time it flashed, on average, it gave a gain of 87%. The catch is, it first causes a drawdown and accumulation period right after it flashes. One where most people give up, stop longing, and call for lower. And what are you seeing now? Indeed. With perfect timing. Because the average duration of the accumulation period's deepest point is 5.11 weeks, and for it to end is 8.12 weeks. We are now 5 weeks in. Indeed, if you don't take this post seriously, then you likely miss another big move again...
Astronomer tweet media
Astronomer@astronomer_zero

$BTC 111.6k hit, that's it, I'm long (slowly) Alright, after at least 5 posts on $BTC without taking any longs and after about 7 weeks of planning of finally hitting the purple POI at 111k, here we are. Congrats if you waited so long, this has been a big plan for us to come to fruition. And while we didn't hit the very exact technical level of 111.1k, also where our limits were set previous post, given the wait, and long anticipation, I just took a long here and pulled the limit orders from last post. We hit our purple POI, took out the lows, have a quieted sentiment after some loudness during the drop, coming off of euphoria into 123k, and we have been patient. Above also a big weekly open magnet. I have only entered half size, but will add more after we get some more data on the local reaction in this area as it has been slow for now. Adding padding if we more slightly deeper (into the high 100k's). Whatever happens, I don't care. The key IMO here is to indeed take action, start slow and on low leverage, and then slowly increase aggression as sentiment becomes clear. So here you go, full plan given, awaited, and executed. I started to engage. If you are interested in $ETH or that good buy on an alt you have been waiting for, I think equally good entries are shaping up although I am personally starting with $BTC and holding off slightly longer on those. But I don't think it's wrong to buy here on those right now. NFA as always, just the next move I do to make money.

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Kira@BitcoinHunterX·
@Crypto_Chase You don't see any short opportunities chase ?
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Chase@Crypto_Chase·
Well, there's the answer. He found it "advantageous" at 115.8K, couldn't even save the bullets to defend a proper level, literally top blasted Jackson Hole pump 🤣 I suppose he'll continue to dilute common shareholders until mNAV = 1, while OG whales use him as exit liquidity.
Chase@Crypto_Chase

Stocks up, crypto down. I guess the question really is when does Saylor find it "advantageous" to dilute MSTR to hell to keep $BTC afloat? Also funny seeing all these other TCO's w/ 120K entry prices. Something tells me the future isn't so bright.

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Astronomer@astronomer_zero·
$BTC Alright, 111k is very close, I know enough, I have set my limits. Ever since $BTC hit 123k, we have waited an eternity, ever since so many got euphoric into our TP of the silver pocket, we have waited an eternity for 111k. It's been a long wait indeed. But in the same way everyone was so happy when price was at 123k, right into our TP, many are silent now and the lack of attempts of looking to long this is telling, especially since it's in alignment with our plan. Why? Because they have been hero-longing the "dip" all the way down, coming off that euphoria, and now, there is no energy left. Unfortunately, the market doesn't reward hero's, it only rewards sharks. And longing once it's quiet is exactly what sharks would do... Hence, and hence the plan we have for weeks now: I have set my limits at 111.1k. Sidenote: I will not remove them. It's either filled or front run (unlikely the latter). And, these are not full size limits, they are half of what I will allocate fully. The rest, is added upon confirmation (max alloc. is 3x leverage). Which, I will also call live or with limits in advance. All NFA, just my plan of action.
Astronomer tweet media
Astronomer@astronomer_zero

$BTC Okay astro, your 111k call few weeks ago working out, but now many are calling for it. Is that bad? A common question I receive at the moment, as, for context, we have been calling for 111k since $BTC hit 123k for the first time where we took some major profits (14th of July), and calling for it again loudly on the 14th of August as it hit the silver pocket again. Likewise, we called for $ETH to sub 4k on the 14th of August when it was at 4.6k. Now, you hear it around a lot so it causes some concern as 'if everyone is going to long those levels, it won't work". You're trying to answer the sentiment question here and yes, sentiment is critical, and the tricky part is that with sentiment, context matters. So it requires some work to track everyone down. And that's why trading can be hard, because you may have just found out about me or you don't remember now how no one was really worried about 111k or 4k at the time we called for it. But that is one reason to not be worried. "Late or semi-late callers don't count as much". Why? Because their context is chaotic firstly (flip floppy, even if that call is correct), secondly, because their conviction lies into lower, later i.e. they likely expect lower once 111k hits, and lower even if 105k or w/e hits, because they jumped on the trend later so all the effort for their call wasn't just for a small move. The above is just theory, but from experience (data) and common sense (logic), the case almost every time. So what truly matters is, when our level finally hits, what those big influencers will do then. My guess is no one will be truly saying they are actually buying. Most will be saying "be careful, chart doesn't really look good". Or will only quote themselves after the move played out. So in essence, none of those point out to conviction, only placing your capital does. Which, we will be doing at the time it makes sense. As, as you know, I call out all my trades live. Hope that makes sense. Let's celebrate this move, it played out beautifully so far, congrats if you were patient with me so far.

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Chase@Crypto_Chase·
$ETH update Out for -0.15R~ That's my last long until we reclaim some key levels to get bullish again or we get a serious wipeout. Likely will end down about -1.15R~ to the choppy conditions (if other half of $SOL stops at 173). Not much else to do, gave longs many chances.
Chase@Crypto_Chase

$ETH Bit of a context change here. Price has been dumping through previous lows then holding below. This is the first time during this downtrend that price swept previous lows and reclaimed quickly. Took a half long at 4290. Sorta last chance here or I think 4K is on the table.

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Kira@BitcoinHunterX·
@Crypto_Chase Gains are easy to get and hard to keep is such a great quote! Love your content, keep it up.
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Chase@Crypto_Chase·
It's important not to allow one bad decision to turn into another one. I've openly admitted that I longed $ETH at 34xx and longed $SOL at 157 and closed them both far too early. I wanted better R/R for bigger size, got greedy, and fumbled my perfect entries. With that said, ETH and SOL are now up 42% and 32% respectively in 10 days. Those are pretty big moves for the 2nd and 6th largest cryptocurrencies. I'm not saying they can't go higher, in fact I think specifically SOL still has a good run ahead of it. BUT, I have to remain disciplined and trade setups that provide me with a strong risk/reward opportunity based on price action principles I understand. I don't just "market" long at any price, most that do will give back their gains anyways because they don't actually have a plan. They're longing off euphoria and borrowed conviction from the thousands of CT accounts a day calling for everything higher, 8K ETH, etc. And yes, I've been waiting, I've been getting front run, and that's a part of the game during strong mark ups. But as said, I will not allow a previous bad trading decision to cause another bad decision. I also won't completely change my long-term profitable strategies based off 10 days off price action. Gains are easy to get and hard to keep. I haven't shorted once this run up, haven't lost anything, just been getting front run. Patience and discipline are great traits to have as a trader for 11 months out of the year. This just isn't the month. So don't be too hard on yourself if you missed out, this lockout style PA of the last 10 days won't last forever. Always more trades around the corner.
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