The Compute Investor

Trump wants to decrease mass deportations of illegal aliens, has dragged America into another full scale war in the Middle East, gas prices are skyrocketing, inflation will rise which means cost of living will rise, no DOGE checks have been sent to struggling Americans but instead Trump wants $200 billion for his war and 13 U.S. soldiers have been killed, no one has been held accountable for the 2020 election or Epstein or Covid insanity or J6, and Tina Peters is still in prison. This is not what we thought MAGA would be. This is the same deep state ways of Washington that we thought we ended.

According to reports, Trump is preparing to send ground troops into Iran breaking a key covenant of MAGA, and a significant escalation in the Iran war. Never forget it was Trump who started Covid lockdowns with 15 days to slow the spread in 2020 while he was running Operation Warp Speed “for our safety.” If energy prices skyrocket and supply is strained, will Trump force us into an energy lockdown limiting our freedom to drive, travel, and use energy while he wages his war against Iran “for our safety”?

@JohnLoc18 It's news driven, so you can't depend 100% on charts right now. But agree, the chart looks bad, but one ceasefire tweet can change everything.

I’m sorry but

@ddw88523 abysmal volume so far today

$SPY 2 hours left for the daily candle to change. It will look really bad if we close below 648. I may need to be forced to buy a hedge in case some shit happen on Monday. I am still bullish but frustrated

@ChrisCamillo I'm not in this trade, but watching because I just want Dave to be wrong about it.

needoh getting banned in schools. not slowing. $GAIN

@IncomeSharks But we aren't really at extreme fear yet. We haven't had a capitulation wick with any volume yet.

Every local bottom in the stock market has been marked by Extreme Fear levels, a high Put to Call ratio, and bearish headlines. Fear and euphoria are powerful emotions that will always override logic and convince you your gut feeling is smarter than 100 years of historic data.

@MikeIppolito_ The token isn't really even needed, and if it is needed it doesn't need to be more than a few hundred dollars per token

The most likely outcome for Ethereum at this point is that the ecosystem succeeds but the token doesn't

@waynehhsiung Hero

It's all very abstract until you look at one. Just one. And imagine what she's going through after 7 years in this cage. This is why we had to break them out.

@ddw88523 You still think it happens today? Or early next week?

$SPY just fyi. Once squeeze starts I will not have time to post: make sure u take profits along the way. Starting with 660, 662, 666 670, 676. And leave runner. Nothing is More important than risk management. It doesn’t mean shit if prediction is correct but u end up losing money. Good luck!

Breaking out $SPY

"We’ve spent $8 trillion in the Middle East That’s 100 X annual federal spending on roads and bridges Picture how great our country could be if we’d spent that $ here Imagine how affordable groceries & housing would be if we hadn’t printed all that $," Thomas Massie has said.

@Mayhem4Markets What are you waiting on?

It was once said to buy when others are fearful. We're not too far from the point where I'm looking to do some of that. Not at the index-level, but within some of the more beaten down parts of the market that have strong turnaround potential.

@g0dfr0y Won't happen

Yes. And this one will involve the National Guard in every city. Food rations. Banks closed. And no economic relief of any kind. It will be 10x worse than the last lockdown.

Stocks are down again. Who's brave enough to buy the dip before the weekend?

@GAndersonTrades I think so

$SPY late shorts are about to get killed soon IMO. I’m still bearish on the market, but we should bounce to the high 660s soon if I had to guess

@TraderJonesy Are your probabilities of 673 still intact or did they change?

Will be interesting to see who wins today. Bulls or bears. It is life or death if you ask me. But given all the May puts I do have across the board with $QQQ, $TSLA, $NVDA, $GOOG and $SPY. I must try to trade calls to hedge for a short term bounce up to 666 for a lower high. I did add to my calls here. I will trim calls at 657, 660 and 666. This is why I will always stress start small and build the position. Never go full size all at once. We started near that 200 DMA. Original probability suggests 673 by Wednesday with a 70% chance and a 85% chance by Thursday. We will see if it plays out like the 683 one did and like the 663 one did. Right now the $SPY calls are down about 30%. I am waiting for 650 to add more. The bulls are at a make or break spot. I am being optimistic and giving it a shot. But we are not in the same environment as we were in November. The 200 DMA in November was down at 600 at the time. Right now, we are in a different situation than we were in November. This technical damage is something that we did not see in November. In November, we did not have a monthly sell signal with my signal line. In November, we did not have the 200 DMA up here. It was down at 600. In November, we did not have the weekly 2.5X ATR up here. In November, we did not have oil surging. In November, we did not have wars and rising yields and rising inflation. So yes, if we close below the 2.5x ATR on the weekly or the 200 DMA, I will likely close the calls and add more of the May puts back on. I will be looking for the move down to the 630s if we get the bearish close. I would PREFER to ride these calls to 666 and use my 670 and 673 target to build the puts back on. But we don’t always get what we want now do we. How we close today matters greatly.

@ChrisCamillo Higher.

never felt better about my AI trades

@ddw88523 Mondays have been mostly up days lately so you may be right. Squeeze into close today and then 1.5% pump on Monday

@ComputeInvestor If not today early next week. I am 90% sure squeeze will come Today

$SPY everyone. This not for trading advice and by no means I suggest buying 0DTE options. I used futures long. And long dated option for Microsoft. Chill. Hope everyone win!

@fit_businessman I see 676

$SPY easy money has already been made short. Caution on the bear trap roll. Target remains 676 pushed to next Wednesday. The bottom is likely in for spring unless oil over $100 MM games into high gear tomorrow.