Markets & Mayhem

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Markets & Mayhem

Markets & Mayhem

@Mayhem4Markets

Entrepreneur, trader, investor and technologist. Knowledge is our most valuable asset.

United States 🇺🇸 Katılım Ocak 2010
916 Takip Edilen257.2K Takipçiler
Markets & Mayhem
Markets & Mayhem@Mayhem4Markets·
This would be an enormous breakthrough for context windows. One of the structural limitations in the current generation of large language models and how we interact with them. MSA could create a much larger, more in-depth form of memory that would allow more complex tasks, and extremely long runs with minimal degrading of accuracy.
艾略特@elliotchen100

论文来了。名字叫 MSA,Memory Sparse Attention。 一句话说清楚它是什么: 让大模型原生拥有超长记忆。不是外挂检索,不是暴力扩窗口,而是把「记忆」直接长进了注意力机制里,端到端训练。 过去的方案为什么不行? RAG 的本质是「开卷考试」。模型自己不记东西,全靠现场翻笔记。翻得准不准要看检索质量,翻得快不快要看数据量。一旦信息分散在几十份文档里、需要跨文档推理,就抓瞎了。 线性注意力和 KV 缓存的本质是「压缩记忆」。记是记了,但越压越糊,长了就丢。 MSA 的思路完全不同: → 不压缩,不外挂,而是让模型学会「挑重点看」 核心是一种可扩展的稀疏注意力架构,复杂度是线性的。记忆量翻 10 倍,计算成本不会指数爆炸。 → 模型知道「这段记忆来自哪、什么时候的」 用了一种叫 document-wise RoPE 的位置编码,让模型天然理解文档边界和时间顺序。 → 碎片化的信息也能串起来推理 Memory Interleaving 机制,让模型能在散落各处的记忆片段之间做多跳推理。不是只找到一条相关记录,而是把线索串成链。 结果呢? · 从 16K 扩到 1 亿 token,精度衰减不到 9% · 4B 参数的 MSA 模型,在长上下文 benchmark 上打赢 235B 级别的顶级 RAG 系统 · 2 张 A800 就能跑 1 亿 token 推理。这不是实验室专属,这是创业公司买得起的成本。 说白了,以前的大模型是一个极度聪明但只有金鱼记忆的天才。MSA 想做的事情是,让它真正「记住」。 我们放 github 上了,算法的同学不容易,可以点颗星星支持一下。🌟👀🙏 github.com/EverMind-AI/MSA

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Markets & Mayhem
Markets & Mayhem@Mayhem4Markets·
The rebuilding of these energy facilities is going to take years. Even if the war were over tomorrow, the bottlenecks and supply reduction that's happening will cause ripple effects for a long time to come.
QatarEnergy@qatarenergy

Providing an update on the damage from the missile attacks on Ras Laffan Industrial City H.E. Minister Saad Sherida Al-Kaabi: The missile attacks reduced Qatar’s LNG export capacity by 17% and caused an estimated loss of $20 billion in annual revenue - Extensive damage to our production facilities will take up to five years to repair and will compel us to declare long-term force majeure QatarEnergy expects the damage to its Ras Laffan Industrial City caused by missile strikes, which occurred on Wednesday 18 March 2026, and in the early hours of Thursday 19 March 2026, to cost about $20 billion a year in lost revenue and to take up to five years to repair, impacting supply to markets in Europe and Asia. Providing an update on the damage to the facilities at Ras Laffan Industrial City, His Excellency Mr. Saad Sherida Al-Kaabi, the Minister of State for Energy Affairs, the President and CEO of QatarEnergy, said “I am relieved to confirm that no one was injured by these unjustified and senseless attacks, which weren’t just an attack on the State of Qatar but attacks on global energy security and stability. This was an attack on all of us who stand for development and human progress that is sustained by a fair, reliable, and secure access to energy.” The attacks damaged two liquefied natural gas (LNG) producing Trains 4 and 6 totaling 12.8 million tons per annum (MTPA) of production, representing approximately 17% of Qatar’s exports. Train 4 is a joint venture between QatarEnergy (66%) and ExxonMobil (34%), and Train 6 is a joint venture between QatarEnergy (70%) and ExxonMobil (30%). His Excellency Minister Al-Kaabi said: “The damage sustained by the LNG facilities will take between three to five years to repair. The impact is on China, South Korea, Italy and Belgium. This means that we will be compelled to declare force majeure for up to five years on some long-term LNG contracts.” The attacks also targeted the Pearl GTL (Gas-to-Liquids) facility, a production sharing agreement operated by Shell, that converts natural gas into high-quality cleaner burning drop-in fuels and produces base oils used to make premium engine oils and lubricants, and paraffins and waxes. “The damage caused to one of the two trains at Pearl GTL is being assessed and is expected to be offline for a minimum of one year” His Excellency Minister Al-Kaabi added. It should be noted that there will be a loss of associated product production due to this outage as follows: · Condensates: 18.6 million barrels which is around 24% of Qatar’s exports · LPG: 1.281 MT which is around 13% of Qatar’s exports · Naphtha: 0.594 MT which is around 6% of Qatar’s exports · Sulfur: 0.18 MT which is around 6% of Qatar’s exports · Helium: 309.54 MCFA which is around 14% of Qatar’s exports His Excellency the Minister of State for Energy Affairs, the President and CEO of QatarEnergy paid tribute to the Qatari military and security forces and to the energy sector emergency response teams whose courage and extraordinary professionalism ensured the situation was contained quickly and safely. #Qatar

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Darryl
Darryl@laudarr·
@Mayhem4Markets Your country will end up dunking the smart politicians 😜
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Markets & Mayhem
Markets & Mayhem@Mayhem4Markets·
It's funny because recreating basic games is one of my tests for model capabilities like coding, instruction following, ability to test/troubleshoot. So I often have a Tetris clone, Space Invaders clone, etc. If they can be one-shot with a high quality MVP, then it passes that 'vibe test'.
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Markets & Mayhem
Markets & Mayhem@Mayhem4Markets·
Such an even distribution of advancers vs decliners makes for a pretty balanced and boring market tape.
Markets & Mayhem tweet media
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Markets & Mayhem
Markets & Mayhem@Mayhem4Markets·
Came pretty damn close to hitting my initial downside target in silver futures today. 😄 The breakdown was violent. We're seeing a bit of a bid off of the lows, but we're not necessarily out of the woods quite yet. Worth noting that silver industrial demand may slow as a result of this energy spike and some projects potentially being put on hold. I'm still bullish long-term, but it's worth noting I had been warning about a pullback in silver due to it becoming a very lopsided trade back when it was well over $100. We're now seeing that pullback -- and it's juicy because the upside move was straight up parabolic. Those kinds of moves never end well. But if industrial demand picks back up, silver will run again.
Markets & Mayhem tweet media
Markets & Mayhem@Mayhem4Markets

Silver's pennant breakdown is continuing, with an initial downside target of $64.53.

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Markets & Mayhem
Markets & Mayhem@Mayhem4Markets·
The data center buildout. The Iran war. The trade war tariffs. All of these have been or will be price positive events. They don't help to improve affordability for the average working American. Which is one reason why we're seeing the bottom 50% of consumers struggle even more over the last year. The top tier of K-shaped socioeconomic outcomes are still supporting the economy, but that is going to begin to wobble now that we're seeing negative wealth effects take hold. Just like it did in early 2025. If AI CapEx spend begins to slow that is going to upend economic growth. Ultimately the risks are rising. It's going to be a more challenging time to navigate as the former AI growth narrative is breaking down. We already have OpenAI pivoting from building data centers to renting compute. We also have Meta hedging its bets on the aggressive Hyperion data center project by only taking a minority stake and effectively being a tenant with an exit ramp rather than a meaningful owner-operator. Debt markets are concerned as well. With private credit the biggest problem right now is emerging within tranches of debt related to AI data center projects. This is why we've seen Oracle shift from raising money to build out capacity to instead planning large layoffs and "bring your own compute" plans for clients. A way of simultaneously reducing OpEx and build-out costs. So you really have to ask yourself, are you confident that generative AI, with all of the inherent faults it has being a probability engine with a reasonably high potential for error, is going to carry the economy this year? Because if it does, and it actually works at scale, then you are looking at large scale layoffs. That's not good for the economy or the stock market. But if it doesn't work out as hoped, and investors become more anxious about the lack of RoI, we could see AI CapEx spend deteriorate and that will also pull the economy lower. We've been living on borrowed time for quite a while, but now it's starting to feel like the floor is wobbling underneath our feet.
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MiniMax (official)
MiniMax (official)@MiniMax_AI·
Day 0 on @runware 🚀 Good to see M2.7 being used for real-world workflows - from debugging to full end-to-end project delivery. This is where models move from capability → production.
Runware@runware

MiniMax M2.7 is live on Runware on Day0! 🚀 - full end-to-end project delivery - self-evolving architecture: 30% performance gains across 100+ iterations - 97% skill adherence rate across 40+ complex tasks - 56.22% on SWE-Pro, 55.6% on VIBE-Pro, 57.0% on Terminal Bench 2

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Markets & Mayhem
Markets & Mayhem@Mayhem4Markets·
@AccountBlownUp Clown reporters Clown president Clown congress Clown DoW Clown everything, both sides, everywhere all the time
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